How Hillary outperforms a generic Democratic presidential candidate

[DemocratSinceBirth]

Here's another important dynamic to understand: Hillary Clinton outperforms a generic Democratic presidential candidate. While she leads Bush/Rubio/Walker between 8-14 points, a generic Democratic presidential candidate barely beats a GOP generic candidate, 39%-36%. And the difference comes from the key Democratic-leaning demographic groups. A generic Democrat has a 16-point lead among those 18-34 (46%-30%), but Hillary's average lead over Jeb and Rubio here is 29 points (58%-29%). A generic Democrat has a 62-point lead among African Americans (69%-7%), but Hillary's lead against Bush/Rubio here is 87 points (91%-4%). And a generic Democratic candidate holds a 9-point lead among Latinos (40%-31%), but Hillary's average here against Jeb/Rubio is 42 points (65%-23%).



http://www.nbcnews.com/meet-the-press/first-read-most-important-number-nbc-wsj-poll-n380181




WoW

[hrmjustin]

1. Despite what some here say Hillary is well liked in the party.

[rock]

7. "Really well liked" is not an exageration

Many of us are not ashamed to say we love her (don't tell Bill).

[Tarheel_Dem]

2. Thanks for pointing this out. Proof that not just any "Democrat" can win. I am more convinced....

than ever that HRC is our best chance to hold the White House for another term. Too much is at risk with a Republican WH, legislature, and USSC. I don't know what's so hard to grasp.

[sufrommich]

3. She's in a great position going into the election. nt

[DemocratSinceBirth]

6. She is hitting Obama's numbers in all the key demographics and that's all that matters.

[elleng]

4. Well, how many 'generic' Democratic candidates do we have, really?

Bernie Sanders- Now A FACEBOOK INFERNO

http://www.democraticunderground.com/10026884347

Martin O'Malley on TPA cloture vote in Senate: "What have we come to?"

http://www.democraticunderground.com/10026888190

[stevenleser]

11. Bernie would be an inferno as a general election candidate all right. As in a disaster.

He's getting crushed in head to head matchups against Repug candidates in all but the bluest of blue states where he is running even against them (i.e. California). And their name recognition is similar so its not a name recognition issue.

With Bernie making California a toss up state, we could expect a very bad night on election night.

[elleng]

12. because the election that's happening now tells you so?

have I missed something? Last I checked, the election doesn't occur until 2016, and primaries and caucuses don't begin until around then, like Iowa, February, 2016.

[stevenleser]

13. Yes I know, the polls are skewed or wrong or whatever. We're supposed to ignore them because your

candidate isn't doing well right now.

Whenever you are in the position where you have to attack or discount poll results, you are in a bad place.

[geek tragedy]

5. That's an interesting data point. Of course, the real problem may be that the Democratic brand

is in really, really rough shape.

[onehandle]

9. Well, Hell. Let's quit. nt

[geek tragedy]

10. Not that, but the party wouldn't be well-served by ignoring fundamental

problems regardless of who the candidate is.

[MineralMan]

8. Interesting numbers. Thanks for posting those results.