Unexpected findings from the YouGov poll about TPP.

[DanTex]

Some things are about what I'd expect. For example, overall the numbers are 32% for, 35% against, 33% not sure.

But, it gets a little odd once it's broken down. For example Democrats support it more than Rep or Ind:
Dem 46-26
Ind 23-44
Rep 23-39

However, Moderates support it more than Lib or Con:
Lib 25-32
Mod 38-31
Con 29-42

The income bracket most opposed to it is 100+:
<40 31-33
40-100 38-34
100+ 24-42

Also, Black and Hispanic are much more in favor than White:
White 23-42
Black 45-21
Hispanic 57-16
Other 43-31

I'm not sure if this means anything, but I found it interesting. One thing to keep in mind is that the number of people in each of these subsamples is around 300, which makes the margin of error pretty big, something like 5%. But even with a 5% MOE, many of these differences are significant.

Here are the raw numbers on this and a lot of other issues. I've added up "very" and "somewhat" for the numbers I posted, and hopefully I haven't made too many mistakes.
https://d25d2506sfb94s.cloudfront.net/cumulus_uploads/document/ttjqflfkfd/econTabReport.pdf

[DemocratSinceBirth]

1. While the data is all over the place

While the data is all over the place it indicates it is not universally opposed as its detractors suggest.


The data suggests that as income goes up support for free trade goes down and support for protectionism goes up... That suggests to me poor folks like and need to buy inexpensive stuff and richer folks want to protect what they have.

[Octafish]

2. Wonder what the numbers would be if We the People could, you know, read the thing.

Going from what's leaked, you don't have to be college educated to figure out who's gonna get the loot.

Thank you for the heads-up, DanTex.

[GeorgeGist]

3. SOS different package.

The rich will get richer.

[pampango]

4. It also shows Democratic support (and republican opposition) for NAFTA & free trade generally.

... opinions of NAFTA today are no longer bi-partisan, with Democrats far more positive than Republicans about the agreement. Majorities of Democrats believe NAFTA has been good for consumers and for companies (only 41% and 37% of Republicans respectively agree). Half of Democrats say NAFTA has been good for the economy (just 37% of Republicans think that). However, Democrats divide evenly on whether NAFTA has been good for U.S. jobs (half of Republicans say it has not). Overall, Democrats say NAFTA has been good for the country, while Republicans disagree.

And by two to one, Democrats say free trade generally is good for the United States, something Republicans, whose party is known more for favoring free trade, divide on in this poll.

That seems to be what every poll shows.