Romney is up 7% over Obama in latest Rasmussen poll??

[adigal]

Are the Americans smoking crack en masse?? Really? I hope this was done before the bullying story came out.
http://www.nydailynews.com/news/election-2012/mitt-romney-opens-7-point-lead-obama-poll-article-1.1076395

We have work to do, people.

[RandySF]

1. Wasn't Rasmussen crap during the 2008 race?

[former9thward]

17. They were only 1 point off.

Final result Obama 53% McCain 46%. Final Rasmussen poll Obama 52% McCain 46%. http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/elections/election_2008/2008_presidential_election/final_rasmussen_poll_results_presidential_election

[Dawgs]

26. They were only one point off when they needed to be accurate.

There is no way of knowing if they are accurate now. They could put out whatever they want.

[former9thward]

28. I am not a fan of conspiracy theories involving polls.

Because nobody ever seems to come with facts to verify these theories. I think most pollsters try to be accurate as possible because that is how they make money. Pollsters come up with different results because they use different assumptions about the electorate. The problem is that the electorate never stays exactly the same as it was the election before.

[JaneQPublic]

19. Other polls are more accurate

This from http://www.publicpolicypolling.com:

[Sheepshank]

20. Rassy tends to be off target, right up until voting time.....

...then in order to save some level of credibility and hope to retain some tacit level of a decent reputation, they will suddenly post more reality that fantasy.

[snooper2]

2. LOL, the poll fret is starting already...

Let's wait to see what the polls are saying on say, November 6-10th LOL

[adigal]

11. I know, I know...I just cannot believe it is even close

It should be a blowout from now to November.

[Cali_Democrat]

3. Rasmussen is not a reliable pollster.

This is not possible. There' no way Obama can be winning women, blacks, latinos and youth...but still losing by 7% to Romney. That's horseshit. It doesn't pass a basic smell test.

Rasmussen is a Republican pollster and he lacks any credibility. The only people that will flog this poll are the folks at Faux Newz and Drudge Report.

[Capt. Obvious]

25. Ras has some races under his belt

Wasn't he the only one who picked the 2008 NH D primary results?

And I think it was him who nailed the 2010 MA special election

[cali]

4. oh for fuck's sake. not this idiocy again

Rasmussen is an RNC henchman.

This is not accurate.
'
Please LEARN something about Rasmussen.

[adigal]

12. OK, I am not an Idiot, thank you very much

A Gallup poll has Romney up by 3, according to the article. Two other polls have Obama up. But NOTHING should show Romney up at all.

[madamesilverspurs]

5. Rasmussen

was showing McCain ahead, right up to the moment that Obama was declared the winner.

Rasmussen polls are good fodder for comedy, useless for anything else.


-

[adigal]

13. Thank you - I was getting Rasmussen confused with Zogby

which I think has also been off, but more reliable than Ras.

[former9thward]

18. Not true at all.

Rasmussen showed Obama ahead by 6. Final margin was7. http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/elections/election_2008/2008_presidential_election/final_rasmussen_poll_results_presidential_election

[CreekDog]

6. Rasmussen weights Republican

"Currently, the baseline targets for the adult population are

35.8% Republicans
33.0% Democrats
31.2% unaffiliated.

Likely voter samples typically show a slightly larger advantage for the Republicans."

http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/obama_administration/daily_presidential_tracking_poll

[cali]

9. According to Nate Silver

Silver concluded that Rasmussen's polls were the least accurate of the major pollsters in 2010, having an average error of 5.8 points and a pro-Republican bias of 3.9 points according to Silver's model.[23] He singled out as an example the Hawaii Senate Race, in which Rasmussen showed incumbent Daniel Inouye only 13 points ahead, whereas in actuality he won by a 53% margin[24] – a difference of 40 points from Rasmussen's poll, or "the largest error ever recorded in a general election in FiveThirtyEight’s database, which includes all polls conducted since 1998".[23]

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Rasmussen_Reports

[RDANGELO]

7. Interestingly

They haven't come out with a presidential poll in a swing state in about ten days the same period that Romney has been ahead. When they have done that in the past, they seem to contradict one another. The onther day, they did one on Massachusetts.

[WI_DEM]

8. Why do we need another post on this Rasmussen Poll?

[My Pet Goat]

10. Gallup shows an entirely different story, so there!

http://www.gallup.com/poll/150743/Obama-Romney.aspx

[adigal]

14. It should not even be CLOSE!!!

That it is close blows me away. I have not been a huge fan of all that Obama hasn't done in the past 4 years, starting with allowing the tax cuts for the wealthy to stand, and not pushing single payer, but to even imagine Romney, or any Republican, as president, really and truly scares the hell out of me. So much so that even though I swore I would vote for Obama but not contribute, I am going to make as many contributions as I can afford to make before the election.

[Politicalboi]

15. Did they leave out women?

Did they leave out Ron Paul? Did they leave out Hispanics, blacks, and most minorities? These polls are bullshit, and way too early. Besides, there has GOT to be more bully victims coming forth soon. This isn't over for Rmoney.

[adigal]

16. I hope you are right...more bullying victims would be the end for him

And they have to be out there.

[aaaaaa5a]

21. Its (R)asmussen folks relax.

Plus, the tracking polls for Rasmussen and Gallup are terrible. They fluctuate like a roller coaster for no reason. Use the actual standard polls and not the daily tracking polls to get an accurate stance on the shape of the race.

[bowens43]

22. It won't be easy

Anyone who thinks Romney will be easy to beat is in for a surprise. This is going to be a very close election that can go either way.

[FarCenter]

23. It's like 47% - 47% pretty much decided, with about 6% that are swing voters

The key will be how a handful of swing states break, so national polls are sort of useless.

[JoePhilly]

24. Rasmussen will be adding about +6 to Romney up until the last week

Then suddenly, they will have Obama up 6%.

[Aerows]

27. I think that's other Republican bullies terrified

That it won't be a close race. They can't be relevant if Romney is an utter asshole, everyone knows it and pretty much detests him.

It's the media.