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If there's no way Bernie can win (Original Post) hootinholler Apr 2015 OP
Strawman rock Apr 2015 #1
Not a strawman just a question hootinholler Apr 2015 #7
Are we supposed to pretend he is? MaggieD Apr 2015 #33
Exactly MaggieD Apr 2015 #31
I had noticed rock Apr 2015 #45
Odd post for someone who called Warren and Obama dishonest, liars, etc. merrily Apr 2015 #78
I hope people click that link MaggieD Apr 2015 #86
I hope they click as well or just read this post. merrily Apr 2015 #90
See the LOL there? MaggieD Apr 2015 #93
He can win. Nothing is set in stone, see 2008. morningfog Apr 2015 #2
Reminds me of goofy parents fadedrose Apr 2015 #3
Pretty amusing, isn't it? djean111 Apr 2015 #4
I think you got it figured out Hoot madokie Apr 2015 #5
lol NCTraveler Apr 2015 #97
I'm just glad someone who has the potential to change the debate mmonk Apr 2015 #6
There is no way he can win, but him running is a good thing for many reasons Renew Deal Apr 2015 #8
What do you base that prediction on? Also, are you referring to the nomination battle or the KingCharlemagne Apr 2015 #60
Well, he'll be running in the Dem primary against her Erich Bloodaxe BSN Apr 2015 #9
Seems to me that the only ones tearing down candidates here MaggieD Apr 2015 #29
Of course it seems like that to you. Erich Bloodaxe BSN Apr 2015 #34
Can you provide some examples of people.... MaggieD Apr 2015 #37
I can't provide any examples you can't find for yourself. Erich Bloodaxe BSN Apr 2015 #39
There aren't any people bashing Bernie MaggieD Apr 2015 #41
I see a little here and there of reactionary comments about Bernie, but very few and nothing NoJusticeNoPeace Apr 2015 #51
+100000000 MaggieD Apr 2015 #52
Actually, in the day since you posted this comment, I've read 3 or 4 Bernie bashing threads. Erich Bloodaxe BSN Apr 2015 #89
Post links to them, please. MineralMan May 2015 #110
I really think you need to come up with a few examples--or risk being disregarded. MADem Apr 2015 #53
You yourself have contended on numerous occasions Art_from_Ark Apr 2015 #75
Got a link for that accusation? MaggieD Apr 2015 #88
Are you multiple people posting under the same name and don't know what the others are posting? Art_from_Ark May 2015 #103
The post you linked to says nothing of the sort MaggieD May 2015 #109
That assertion is based on Bernie running as a third party Gothmog May 2015 #104
Link? MaggieD Apr 2015 #87
There were some threads a long time back urging Sanders to run as third party candidate Gothmog May 2015 #105
I second that! FarPoint Apr 2015 #76
I don't think Bernie can win Dem2 Apr 2015 #10
Have faith - he has the issues and people all over the country have been listening to him talk jwirr Apr 2015 #22
If everyone who "generally agrees with everything he says" but doesn't think he's electible Maedhros Apr 2015 #56
I don't know who else will be on the primary ballot Dem2 Apr 2015 #58
funny how that works frylock Apr 2015 #61
If he wins the primary, he wins the general BrotherIvan Apr 2015 #82
If Bernie is the nominee, I will support him and I will hope that he wins the general Gothmog May 2015 #106
It is almost statistically impossible in the electoral college for a Republican to win BrotherIvan May 2015 #111
The Democratic Blue Wall requires a viable and competitive candidate Gothmog May 2015 #112
It's impossible to say this early in the game who can win gollygee Apr 2015 #11
issues & actions are the things that should matter /nt think Apr 2015 #12
There is a large element of fear at play. Enthusiast Apr 2015 #13
Fear of what? MaggieD Apr 2015 #35
Clinton surrogates have argued for no primary election and going straight to coronation. AtomicKitten Apr 2015 #59
I'm with you. Enthusiast Apr 2015 #66
Pssst...this is a political blog. We talk about politics here. brooklynite Apr 2015 #14
Because they are telling the truth. JaneyVee Apr 2015 #15
I'm glad he's in and I hope there are more. onehandle Apr 2015 #16
Corporatists want to win ...no surprise. L0oniX Apr 2015 #17
I hope Sanders wants to win. NCTraveler Apr 2015 #98
+1 blkmusclmachine Apr 2015 #18
Discussions about who can or cannot win an election are MineralMan Apr 2015 #19
1980 Recursion Apr 2015 #20
Yes, Carter presiding over an economic downturn and high interest rates had jeff47 Apr 2015 #43
Bradley Recursion Apr 2015 #44
I said liberal. You listed two conservatives. (nt) jeff47 Apr 2015 #47
Bingo LondonReign2 Apr 2015 #46
So true. When they win, it's proof that they're great. Marr Apr 2015 #65
You are leaving out Republican treachery in that 1980 scenario Fumesucker Apr 2015 #80
No one can predict who will win Geronimoe Apr 2015 #21
Yeah I hear that a lot LordGlenconner Apr 2015 #57
Hillary has already failed to "seal the deal" in a very real way. So she feels vulnerable. nt Romulox Apr 2015 #23
I like Bernie (and have for many years now) deutsey Apr 2015 #24
They fear competition and scrutiny. Orsino Apr 2015 #25
Our local right-wing newspaper has been running anti-Hillary cartoons every day for a year. Chipper Chat Apr 2015 #26
Bernie scares the Oligarchs. A tidal wave of public support for Sanders NorthCarolina Apr 2015 #27
You don't have to be a Clinton supporter to realize that MaggieD Apr 2015 #28
They probably think that if they keep saying it it will come true! Lmao! darkangel218 Apr 2015 #30
Until he raises enough money to be competitive, procon Apr 2015 #32
See: Obama, 2007 LondonReign2 Apr 2015 #48
OK, that wasn't my question, but lets do a brief recap: procon Apr 2015 #50
Which Senator gave a speech that was viewed to the point of crashing a website? Exilednight Apr 2015 #83
OK, I'll explain. procon Apr 2015 #94
Let me explain. It wasn't team Bernie, it was the Exilednight Apr 2015 #100
I'm not making that claim. Despite protestations otherwise I don't think winning is his plan. stevenleser Apr 2015 #36
I agree MaggieD Apr 2015 #38
Image does matter Hutzpa Apr 2015 #40
The one I've heard is he's too old. Spitfire of ATJ Apr 2015 #42
He's clearly in command of his wits, so I'm not seeing that as very persuasive. winter is coming Apr 2015 #62
It depends on his getting the young people excited. Spitfire of ATJ Apr 2015 #63
I think his ideas will likely do that. Time will tell. n/t winter is coming Apr 2015 #68
I think he needs to be presented as the next FDR and Teddy combined. Spitfire of ATJ Apr 2015 #70
Bob Dole is still kicking around despite all of the "Bob Dole is so old,.." jokes. Spitfire of ATJ Apr 2015 #67
The same red herring was posed when Kucinich ran in the past Orrex Apr 2015 #49
The Third Way would greatly prefer a republican President rather than a liberal democrat Zorra Apr 2015 #54
Years ago I heard that DC wants the choice to be between Authoritarian Right and Libertarian Right. Spitfire of ATJ Apr 2015 #64
I do not care if DonCoquixote Apr 2015 #55
He's got my vote in the primary Aerows Apr 2015 #69
Things that make you scratch your head and say 'hmmmmm." hifiguy Apr 2015 #71
Seriously what else have they got? Warren Stupidity Apr 2015 #72
About $2.5 billion I'm told... Fumesucker Apr 2015 #81
That's what they want, but they don't have it. I find it Exilednight Apr 2015 #84
Kind of funny, as it is up for sale as well. Both seem to be correct. nt. NCTraveler Apr 2015 #99
kick Zorra Apr 2015 #73
I don't think Bernie can win, but he can certianly influence the policy debate bhikkhu Apr 2015 #74
Ah, Jesus Hussein Christ. NanceGreggs Apr 2015 #77
It's always a pleasure when you show up hootinholler Apr 2015 #92
Good post Gothmog May 2015 #108
Because they still believe that "Not As Bad" is the path to victory..however hollow. Tierra_y_Libertad Apr 2015 #79
I like and admire Bernie but I doubt that he can raise the funds necessary to win a general Gothmog Apr 2015 #85
Mr. Sanders doesn't scare anyone, he's too nice a guy. But he'll be an 'also ran' underahedgerow Apr 2015 #91
Hillary supporter here. Never made that claim. nt. NCTraveler Apr 2015 #95
My heart goes out to the poor little Sanders supporters here. NCTraveler Apr 2015 #96
It is unlikely he will win the general or primary. hrmjustin Apr 2015 #101
Just means we've got a Horse Race and a Primary...Go Bernie !!! libdem4life Apr 2015 #102
Well, I'll see you at the convention and we'll compare notes. Adrahil May 2015 #107

hootinholler

(26,449 posts)
7. Not a strawman just a question
Wed Apr 29, 2015, 08:02 AM
Apr 2015

Look at the Bernie threads since yesterday for evidence of those quick to point out how unelectable Bernie is.

 

MaggieD

(7,393 posts)
33. Are we supposed to pretend he is?
Wed Apr 29, 2015, 10:44 AM
Apr 2015

I think you'll find the concept that he is a long shot to be pretty common.

 

MaggieD

(7,393 posts)
31. Exactly
Wed Apr 29, 2015, 10:40 AM
Apr 2015

Look around on DU. The ONLY group of people bashing ANY candidate are Sanders/Warren supporters.

merrily

(45,251 posts)
78. Odd post for someone who called Warren and Obama dishonest, liars, etc.
Thu Apr 30, 2015, 02:53 AM
Apr 2015

Warren in this OP and in many posts on this thread.

http://www.democraticunderground.com/10026560570

Obama in this one http://www.democraticunderground.com/10026577254#post60

Granted Obama is not running in 2016 and Warren has not declared and may never. Nonetheless, it seems you feel that criticism of only one Democrat is forbidden.

 

MaggieD

(7,393 posts)
86. I hope people click that link
Thu Apr 30, 2015, 08:03 AM
Apr 2015

Because if the do they will see that I said neither. You seem to make things up nab out what other people posted quite often. Why do you do that?

merrily

(45,251 posts)
90. I hope they click as well or just read this post.
Thu Apr 30, 2015, 09:59 AM
Apr 2015

realFedUp (24,909 posts)
24. I believe Obama was elected
And the last Senate election dealt with some states with gerimandered disric

Response to realFedUp (Reply #24)

Mon Apr 27, 2015, 09:59 PM

MaggieD (955 posts)
60. LOL - cause he lied and pretended to be a lefty liberal

Is that all you need? Someone who lie to you about be left instead of center left?


 

MaggieD

(7,393 posts)
93. See the LOL there?
Thu Apr 30, 2015, 11:56 AM
Apr 2015

That means it's a joke.

Were you at DU during the last primaries? It was the same nastiness by the purists then. Except Obama was the super liberal demigod they worshipped. The were nasty as hell to anyone who was realistic about him and realized he wasn't anything more than he actually turned out to be - center left at best.

So let me be clear. He didn't lie. The purists just aren't very good at knowing the actual politics of the politicians they worship and /or bash.

 

morningfog

(18,115 posts)
2. He can win. Nothing is set in stone, see 2008.
Wed Apr 29, 2015, 07:56 AM
Apr 2015

An early upset changes the primary narrative and calculus.

fadedrose

(10,044 posts)
3. Reminds me of goofy parents
Wed Apr 29, 2015, 07:57 AM
Apr 2015

who say if you don't do as I say, the boogeyman is gonna get you.

Thankfullly, mine didn't do that.

 

djean111

(14,255 posts)
4. Pretty amusing, isn't it?
Wed Apr 29, 2015, 07:57 AM
Apr 2015

We do need a Bernie thread, though, before the thread-jacking starts in earnest.

madokie

(51,076 posts)
5. I think you got it figured out Hoot
Wed Apr 29, 2015, 07:58 AM
Apr 2015

Sometimes I wonder if for every one of us good Democrats we, DU, has about 2 that are DINO's, democrats in name only.

mmonk

(52,589 posts)
6. I'm just glad someone who has the potential to change the debate
Wed Apr 29, 2015, 08:01 AM
Apr 2015

in this country away from how the media wants to with many of their fake issues is in.

Renew Deal

(81,868 posts)
8. There is no way he can win, but him running is a good thing for many reasons
Wed Apr 29, 2015, 08:04 AM
Apr 2015

Last edited Wed Apr 29, 2015, 03:33 PM - Edit history (1)

 

KingCharlemagne

(7,908 posts)
60. What do you base that prediction on? Also, are you referring to the nomination battle or the
Wed Apr 29, 2015, 03:14 PM
Apr 2015

General Election?

Erich Bloodaxe BSN

(14,733 posts)
9. Well, he'll be running in the Dem primary against her
Wed Apr 29, 2015, 08:05 AM
Apr 2015

so it is, of course, in her interest for her and her supporters to tear him down. Doesn't surprise me at all, and it's no more than the same thing happening in the other direction. She doesn't want another 'Obama surprise' to take away from her coronation this time around.

Erich Bloodaxe BSN

(14,733 posts)
34. Of course it seems like that to you.
Wed Apr 29, 2015, 10:45 AM
Apr 2015

And you've made your thoughts on anyone who doesn't support HRC quite clear in post after post.

Erich Bloodaxe BSN

(14,733 posts)
39. I can't provide any examples you can't find for yourself.
Wed Apr 29, 2015, 10:55 AM
Apr 2015

I don't 'store' or 'bookmark' comments to use in future arguments. So I'd be using the exact same search functions you would (or maybe fewer if you're a 'star' member and have access to the advanced search that I don't have.).

So feel free to search or not search for such comments as you wish. I'm not going to do it for you.

But I can certainly point out that in re the wording you used 'tearing down candidates' (as opposed to Bernie specifically), there certainly have been plenty of 'Warren bashing' comments onsite. And now that bernie has finally decided to run, I expect such comments against him to become more common too.

 

MaggieD

(7,393 posts)
41. There aren't any people bashing Bernie
Wed Apr 29, 2015, 10:59 AM
Apr 2015

The only people bashing Democrats here are the HRC bashers. And you know it.

NoJusticeNoPeace

(5,018 posts)
51. I see a little here and there of reactionary comments about Bernie, but very few and nothing
Wed Apr 29, 2015, 01:34 PM
Apr 2015

like what the HRC bashers do.

We should ALL Be fucking grateful as hell we have so many QUALIFIED AND DECENT PEOPLE running or talking about running

LOOK at the other party, my god people, our people are so vastly superior.

Erich Bloodaxe BSN

(14,733 posts)
89. Actually, in the day since you posted this comment, I've read 3 or 4 Bernie bashing threads.
Thu Apr 30, 2015, 08:28 AM
Apr 2015

Now that he's announced that he will be running, they're popping up faster.

MineralMan

(146,324 posts)
110. Post links to them, please.
Fri May 1, 2015, 10:33 AM
May 2015

We'll judge for ourselves. Without links, we can't see what you're talking about.

MADem

(135,425 posts)
53. I really think you need to come up with a few examples--or risk being disregarded.
Wed Apr 29, 2015, 01:37 PM
Apr 2015

Go on and use that search function, since you're apparently "aware" of these examples you have mentioned, you'll be able to find them from remembered discussions.

I've never seen anyone bash Sanders here. I've seen people express a view that his victory is unlikely, but that's not "bashing." You know, not like the sort of "bashing" that would involve, say, making fun of his voice, or his hair, or his spouse, or how much money people are willing to pay him for giving a speech, etc. Or expressing that he "hasn't done enough" in his time in office...you know, that kind of thing. Haven't seen it!

Art_from_Ark

(27,247 posts)
75. You yourself have contended on numerous occasions
Thu Apr 30, 2015, 02:35 AM
Apr 2015

that Bernie is no better than Nader and would only be a spoiler who would help the Republicans win.

Art_from_Ark

(27,247 posts)
103. Are you multiple people posting under the same name and don't know what the others are posting?
Fri May 1, 2015, 03:20 AM
May 2015

Or is your memory about what you post so short?

http://www.democraticunderground.com/10026577254

Gothmog

(145,462 posts)
104. That assertion is based on Bernie running as a third party
Fri May 1, 2015, 07:28 AM
May 2015

Bernie is running for the Democratic nomination and not as a third party candidate. Nader was the Green Party Candidate and Nader did cost Al Gore the 2000 election.

Bernie is not Nader and is not running as a third party candidate

Gothmog

(145,462 posts)
105. There were some threads a long time back urging Sanders to run as third party candidate
Fri May 1, 2015, 07:30 AM
May 2015

Sanders is running in the Democratic Primary and not as a third party candidate

Dem2

(8,168 posts)
10. I don't think Bernie can win
Wed Apr 29, 2015, 08:22 AM
Apr 2015

I don't believe he'd win the general election if he won the Democratic primary. That's my opinion.

I'm glad he's in the race, however, as I generally agree with everything he says and would prefer a Bernie or Elizabeth in an ideal world.

jwirr

(39,215 posts)
22. Have faith - he has the issues and people all over the country have been listening to him talk
Wed Apr 29, 2015, 10:08 AM
Apr 2015

about them for a long time. The economy may be getting better in some ways but he is talking to the rest of us. We need him.

 

Maedhros

(10,007 posts)
56. If everyone who "generally agrees with everything he says" but doesn't think he's electible
Wed Apr 29, 2015, 02:24 PM
Apr 2015

actually voted for him, he'd win in a landslide.

Dem2

(8,168 posts)
58. I don't know who else will be on the primary ballot
Wed Apr 29, 2015, 03:02 PM
Apr 2015

but I'd certainly consider voting for Bernie.

BrotherIvan

(9,126 posts)
82. If he wins the primary, he wins the general
Thu Apr 30, 2015, 04:47 AM
Apr 2015

Jeb will be the Republican nominee. Conservatives hate him and moderates loathe him (just like Rmoney). They fell in line against Obama, but since Sanders jives with a lot of people, they may cross over. Or more importantly, stay home. But Republicans are immaterial in a national presidential election. You have to energize the base to show up and get independents to get off the couch and vote. Maybe a person of his integrity and honest message can do that. We are already seeing signs all over the internet that he can.

Gothmog

(145,462 posts)
106. If Bernie is the nominee, I will support him and I will hope that he wins the general
Fri May 1, 2015, 07:35 AM
May 2015

Right now, I am not convinced that Bernie would be a viable general election candidate and I am supporting HRC. Bernie needs to convince a majority of the party to support him in the primary process and I look forward to hearing him explain how he can win in the general.

We can not afford to lose this election. If the GOP controls the White House, we will lose the SCOTUS for a generation. Electabiliy is an important issue in the primary process and I will vote for the candidate in the Democratic primary who I think is most electable

BrotherIvan

(9,126 posts)
111. It is almost statistically impossible in the electoral college for a Republican to win
Fri May 1, 2015, 11:42 AM
May 2015

Here is an excellent analysis that I read at the time about "The Blue Wall"

http://www.dailykos.com/story/2014/11/20/1346224/-GOP-Columnist-The-VERY-Bad-News-FOR-THE-GOP-in-the-GOP-s-Midterm-Victory

?1416509181

The Blue Wall is a block of states that no Republican Presidential candidate can realistically hope to win. On Election Day that block added New Hampshire to its number and Virginia is shifting At the outset of any Presidential campaign, a minimally effective Democratic candidate can expect to win 257 electoral votes out of the 270 needed to win. If Virginia joins New Hampshire that number will be 270 out of 270.

To win a GOP candidate has to win all nine “tossup” state and one solidly Blue state. Thus, in the next, and into the foreseeable future, Presidential elections will be decided in the Democratic Primary. What are the chances that a Republican candidate capable of appealing to the increasingly right wing GOP will appeal to enough Democrats to win in tossup and Blue states?


This is so important for people to understand, I might make an OP out of it.

Gothmog

(145,462 posts)
112. The Democratic Blue Wall requires a viable and competitive candidate
Fri May 1, 2015, 01:28 PM
May 2015

I am very familiar with the Democratic Blue Wall and the analysis behind that grouping. In each of the races where the Democrats have won states behind the blue wall, we had a competitive canidate who either spent more than the GOP candidate (Obama in 2008) or a similiar amount as the GOP candidate (Gore 2000, Kerry 2004 and Obama 2012). The swing states were blue because the Democratic candidate was viable and could match the funding of the GOP candidate.

Very few of these states behind the Democratic blue wall are locks so that anyone with a D behind their name are assured of winning. In each of the elections where the blue wall came into play, we have well financed candidates who were otherwise viable. Sanders will need to raise over a billion dollars to be competitive given that the GOP will spend atleast that and the Koch Brothers are spending $889 mllion.

Right now several of the states in the list of blue states have GOP governors and so a democratic victory in these states is not a lock. The Democratic blue wall is not magic and even now Nate Silvers rates Hillary Clinton as being 50/50 in winning in 2016 even given her funding advantage. If we run somone who can not compete with the GOP candidate, the blue wall will not save that candidate

gollygee

(22,336 posts)
11. It's impossible to say this early in the game who can win
Wed Apr 29, 2015, 08:26 AM
Apr 2015

I remember a great number of people saying Obama couldn't win 8 years ago. Maybe even the majority of people at DU. No one knows at this point.

Even if he doesn't get that far, he'll drive the discussions to the left. I don't see any negative to him running at all. I might very well vote for him. (I wait a long time to decide.)

 

AtomicKitten

(46,585 posts)
59. Clinton surrogates have argued for no primary election and going straight to coronation.
Wed Apr 29, 2015, 03:11 PM
Apr 2015

Both Chuck Schumer and Howard Dean have sung the praises of no primary. The Clinton campaign is hedging their bets by announcing their plan to spend $100 million in the primary and $2.5 billion overall, an embrace of Citizens United that is gag-worthy in a not too subtle attempt to dissuade competition.

It appears the thought of Hillary being annihilated in debates by Bernie, a genuine progressive and truth-teller, has some Clinton supporters anxious. However, they can be expected to continue to pat Bernie on the head dismissively up until his candidacy blossoms into a perceived actual threat. That's when the gloves will come off and we will see an election in which no card remains unplayed by Clinton surrogates, and we know how nicely that worked out for her before.

brooklynite

(94,667 posts)
14. Pssst...this is a political blog. We talk about politics here.
Wed Apr 29, 2015, 08:33 AM
Apr 2015

PS - would you like me to count the number of posts that say Clinton will lose in November? Pretty defensive, don't you think?

onehandle

(51,122 posts)
16. I'm glad he's in and I hope there are more.
Wed Apr 29, 2015, 08:50 AM
Apr 2015

Free advertising and presentation of our ideas and ideals.

Most of the definitive fear based predictions I see are about Hillary losing.

'Hillary will lose the primary to a liberal'

'Hillary will lose in the general, and we'll have a teabagger President'

Repeated over and over and over, by a few.

MineralMan

(146,324 posts)
19. Discussions about who can or cannot win an election are
Wed Apr 29, 2015, 09:32 AM
Apr 2015

not at all unusual on DU. Many people have the opinion that Senator Sanders is an extreme long shot for the Democratic nomination. There are many reasons to think that. You'll see people explaining those reasons on DU until the primaries are over.

It's not a matter of being adamant. It's a matter of observation of political campaigns.

Personally, I welcome all candidates in the Democratic primaries. The more, the better the discussion and clarification of positions. So far, I don't have a candidate in the primaries. I'll be watching and listening.

Recursion

(56,582 posts)
20. 1980
Wed Apr 29, 2015, 09:36 AM
Apr 2015

Primary candidate forces establishment pol to the left, opponent gets clobbered for it in the General.

HRC is not an incumbent, so some of that argument doesn't apply, but the basic algebra is that every primary voter she has to move left to pick up represents two general election voters she alienates by that

Yes, yes, I know: DU believes the electorate is more liberal than the party apparatus thinks. But if the question is why HRC supporters care, it's that.

jeff47

(26,549 posts)
43. Yes, Carter presiding over an economic downturn and high interest rates had
Wed Apr 29, 2015, 11:22 AM
Apr 2015

nothing at all to do with it. And the Iranian hostage situation didn't at all play into Reagan's campaign. It was all Ted Kennedy's fault.



So which evil liberal killed Al Gore's campaign? Nader? If that's true, why did more registered Democrats in FL vote for W than vote for Nader? And why did Gore do very badly in many blue-leaning purple states?

You're a conservative Democrat. Own it instead of trying to blame liberals for the failures of conservative Democratic ideology.

Recursion

(56,582 posts)
44. Bradley
Wed Apr 29, 2015, 11:25 AM
Apr 2015
So which evil liberal killed Al Gore's campaign? Nader?

No, Bradley, and probably Feinstein.

LondonReign2

(5,213 posts)
46. Bingo
Wed Apr 29, 2015, 11:48 AM
Apr 2015

"Own it instead of trying to blame liberals for the failures of conservative Democratic ideology."

Whenever the right wing of the Democratic party falls on its face they attempt to blame liberals. No amount of evidence will ever convince them otherwise.

 

Marr

(20,317 posts)
65. So true. When they win, it's proof that they're great.
Wed Apr 29, 2015, 06:12 PM
Apr 2015

When they lose, it's proof that we're awful.

Fumesucker

(45,851 posts)
80. You are leaving out Republican treachery in that 1980 scenario
Thu Apr 30, 2015, 04:07 AM
Apr 2015

The Reagan campaign conspired with the Iranians to hold the embassy hostages until Reagan took office.

 

Geronimoe

(1,539 posts)
21. No one can predict who will win
Wed Apr 29, 2015, 10:06 AM
Apr 2015

At this time in the 2008 election, Hillary was the inevitable candidate and what a surprise she and pundits, taking heads and media got in the first primary in Iowa.

 

LordGlenconner

(1,348 posts)
57. Yeah I hear that a lot
Wed Apr 29, 2015, 02:40 PM
Apr 2015

And it's true. She was way ahead. Thing is, Bernie Sanders is not Obama when it comes to campaigning. He's not the fundraising juggernaut either. Think about what it took for Obama to knock Hillary off her perch during the 2008 race, assuming you actually followed the race, and ask yourself if Bernie is capable of doing that.

This is not a question of whether or not he should run, or his value as a candidate. But rather, what are the chances he can catch lighting like Obama's campaign did.

They are at or near zero.

Point being, beware of low-lying fruit comparisons of apples and oranges.



deutsey

(20,166 posts)
24. I like Bernie (and have for many years now)
Wed Apr 29, 2015, 10:15 AM
Apr 2015

However, I do think our political establishment is set up in a such a way that the odds are stacked against him winning a general election. It is even more stacked against him having a successful presidency if he did.

I'll be very happy to be proved wrong, however.

Even if I'm right, I still think his candidacy is important in that his political perspective needs to be included in the debate.

Orsino

(37,428 posts)
25. They fear competition and scrutiny.
Wed Apr 29, 2015, 10:16 AM
Apr 2015

It would be much easier to climb aboard the money train, to fall in line, to cheer when commended.

Politics is messy, though. It's SUPPOSED to be messy. I have little doubt that Sec. Clinton will win the nomination, but hope at least that other candidates can force more progressive commitments from her campaign.

She says she's here to listen, which implies a willingness to change. Those are good things that we shouldn't fear.

Chipper Chat

(9,685 posts)
26. Our local right-wing newspaper has been running anti-Hillary cartoons every day for a year.
Wed Apr 29, 2015, 10:21 AM
Apr 2015

They are totally committed to derailing her. I would giggle if Bernie became the nominee and they would walk around the office in a twit saying "look at all that wasted effort."

 

NorthCarolina

(11,197 posts)
27. Bernie scares the Oligarchs. A tidal wave of public support for Sanders
Wed Apr 29, 2015, 10:31 AM
Apr 2015

could spell the undoing of almost a century of their subterfuge.

 

MaggieD

(7,393 posts)
28. You don't have to be a Clinton supporter to realize that
Wed Apr 29, 2015, 10:32 AM
Apr 2015

I'd be more than happy to be wrong, but I don't think he stands a chance. I guess time will tell.

procon

(15,805 posts)
32. Until he raises enough money to be competitive,
Wed Apr 29, 2015, 10:41 AM
Apr 2015

the question of "winning" isn't even a viable issue. He's made a point of renouncing corporate cash, so what's his alternative plan for raising the $1-$2 billion the top tier contenders will need?

He's only polling in the single digits, so very few people are even aware of him, and of those, how many will give him money, and would that be enough to fund his ground game in all 50 states?

procon

(15,805 posts)
50. OK, that wasn't my question, but lets do a brief recap:
Wed Apr 29, 2015, 01:30 PM
Apr 2015

There is no comparison to be made.

Obama was a well known national figure for Democrats ever since his keynote address at the 2004 Democratic National Convention. As a Senator, his nationwide polling was in the upper 40th percentile even before he announced his candidacy for President of the United States in Feb 2007, rivaling the front runners in both parties. In the same time frame, Sanders still hasn't even started an Exploratory Committee as a presidential candidate, and remains a virtual unknown to voters outside his home state, polling only in single digits.

Look at the FEC reports and you'll find that in the 2nd quarter of 2007, comparable to today, Obama had already pulled in open $33 million contributions. Sanders has no money, and until he actually files the paperwork, he can't even accept donations to run a presidential campaign.

Sanders doesn't have any field organization, but in this same time frame, Obama, for instance, had deployed grassroots teams with staff working the phones in a network of field offices. He had 37 field offices in Iowa alone.

While I wish him, and all the other Democratic candidates, the best, Sanders faces some real, serious challenges, and a reasonable person should be asking how he plans to overcome these hurdles in order to run a serious campaign as a top tier contender instead of just being another show horse that also ran.




Exilednight

(9,359 posts)
83. Which Senator gave a speech that was viewed to the point of crashing a website?
Thu Apr 30, 2015, 05:11 AM
Apr 2015

A. Clinton

B. Obama

C. Sanders

D. All of the above.

E. None of the above.

procon

(15,805 posts)
94. OK, I'll explain.
Thu Apr 30, 2015, 03:07 PM
Apr 2015

When a website gets a surge of traffic it can bring the site down, but that is a failure of management, not load.

Look, the domain owner (let's call him Team Bernie) hires someone to build his website, setting the cost parameters according to his budget. Most domain owners are shortsighted and don't understand what a valuable tool the Internet is, so they tend to go cheap. With a low budget, this means the IT department has to buy the lower cost hosting packages with a limited bandwidth that don't allow for server expansion during periods of peak server load like the popular speech you reference.

Team Bernie gambled that he could get by with a limited server capacity, and that failure resulted in his website problems. Had he contracted with experienced IT professionals for top notch web design, they knew how to manage rapid load changes on web servers, so that problem would have been intercepted on the fly, handled seamlessly on the backend, and the website would continue to function normally.


Exilednight

(9,359 posts)
100. Let me explain. It wasn't team Bernie, it was the
Thu Apr 30, 2015, 04:27 PM
Apr 2015

Official Senate website. I'm pretty sure they can handle massive amounts of traffic.

 

stevenleser

(32,886 posts)
36. I'm not making that claim. Despite protestations otherwise I don't think winning is his plan.
Wed Apr 29, 2015, 10:46 AM
Apr 2015

His plan, in my humble opinion, is to modify the conversation of the campaign as much as possible by making a strong argument for progressive positions.

This is why, as a Hillary supporter and self described pragmatic progressive, I welcome him to the campaign.

To any extent that he moves the needle on the public preferring progressive positions on the issues, I am totally in support of that.

For her part, Hillary gets to seem moderate and when general election time comes its impossible for Republicans to paint her as an extreme liberal.

Of course, no candidate can say that winning isn't their plan if they hope anyone will listen to them. That's despite the fact that some folks now and historically have been running for the Vice Presidential position or to simply improve their name recognition for various other reasons.

Hutzpa

(11,461 posts)
40. Image does matter
Wed Apr 29, 2015, 10:56 AM
Apr 2015

I know Bernie is not running to gain the support of DU members alone, but to win the support of the populace on a larger scale.

winter is coming

(11,785 posts)
62. He's clearly in command of his wits, so I'm not seeing that as very persuasive.
Wed Apr 29, 2015, 05:21 PM
Apr 2015

His age might be a good argument to take a close look at his VP, but that should be true for any Presidential candidate.

Orrex

(63,219 posts)
49. The same red herring was posed when Kucinich ran in the past
Wed Apr 29, 2015, 11:53 AM
Apr 2015

And the answer once again is "he truly seems to stand very little chance of success."

Don't get me wrong--I would LOVE to see Sanders take the Whitehouse, and I would vote for him in a heartbeat. I just don't think that it's realistic to expect him to win, and my assessment isn't based on defensiveness or fear.


His commendable history as a "democratic socialist" will be used as a pile-driver to bludgeon his campaign every minute of every hour between winning the primary and the general election. He will be decried as a communist with "foreign" ideas, and he will be attacked for not being a real American. His brother's former candidacy for the Green Party in the UK will be offered as proof of this, as will Bernie's own praise of Scandinavian-style socialism.

His age will be a factor. The same pundits who adore "maverick" John McCain will claim that Sanders is too old, and they'll claim it constantly. They'll imply that his health is questionable, and they'll suggest that he's not fit to serve as President.

His heritage will be a factor, especially as it pertains to his less than cozy relationship with Bibi and Likud. In addition to supposed problems involving "our greatest ally," he'll have to face the idiocy of anti-Semitism. Not a major factor in Vermont, perhaps, but the nation as a whole has a large population of haters.

His politics will be a major factor. For most Americans, self-identifying as a "democratic socialist" is tantamount to growing a Stalin mustache and instituting a pogrom. Bernie's unparalleled record of social responsibility notwithstanding, he would be identified as "the Socialist Candidate" in every media outlet until Nov 2016, probably by saying "74 year old Socialist Bernie Sanders spoke in Poughkeepsie, and..."

They will also claim that his career spent representing the tiny state of Vermont hasn't prepared him for the Whitehouse, and he'll be slammed for being out of touch with the values of mainstream America.

And that's all before we even get into the reality of Hillary's massive warchest and support structure already built.


I admire everything about Sanders, and I've never disagreed with a single political statement I've heard from him, but I simply don't think it's realistic to expect him to win.




Zorra

(27,670 posts)
54. The Third Way would greatly prefer a republican President rather than a liberal democrat
Wed Apr 29, 2015, 01:40 PM
Apr 2015

like Bernie Sanders as President.

Like republicans, the Third Way will do whatever they possibly can to derail his campaign.

Bernie is a genuine democratic threat to corporate control of government.

 

Spitfire of ATJ

(32,723 posts)
64. Years ago I heard that DC wants the choice to be between Authoritarian Right and Libertarian Right.
Wed Apr 29, 2015, 06:03 PM
Apr 2015

DonCoquixote

(13,616 posts)
55. I do not care if
Wed Apr 29, 2015, 01:49 PM
Apr 2015

we had 100 percent veracity from God that bernie would not win the Democratic nomination. If nothing else, he inocoluates Hillary against the idea that she had no opposition. He will also keep Hillary honest, or as is said of her former boss: "hold the feet to the fire."

You know damned well Erskine Bowles is trying to apply pressure, he wants all our social sec checks to pay fopr tax breaks, despite being a democrat.

 

Aerows

(39,961 posts)
69. He's got my vote in the primary
Wed Apr 29, 2015, 06:37 PM
Apr 2015

I'll do everything possible to help him be the nominee and eventually the President.

 

hifiguy

(33,688 posts)
71. Things that make you scratch your head and say 'hmmmmm."
Wed Apr 29, 2015, 06:41 PM
Apr 2015

They're scared of someone from the Democratic wing of the Democratic party (as opposed to the Turd Way corporatist wing). Why else?

Exilednight

(9,359 posts)
84. That's what they want, but they don't have it. I find it
Thu Apr 30, 2015, 05:16 AM
Apr 2015

Absolutely disgusting that it takes that kind of money to run for a job that doesn't even pay 1/1000 of that.

Whoever says democracy is not for sail has never seen US politics.

bhikkhu

(10,720 posts)
74. I don't think Bernie can win, but he can certianly influence the policy debate
Thu Apr 30, 2015, 01:37 AM
Apr 2015

I'd much rather have election year a competition on who can be most clear about objectives toward income equality and social justice than who we should bomb, or how we're going to defeat "terror".

NanceGreggs

(27,816 posts)
77. Ah, Jesus Hussein Christ.
Thu Apr 30, 2015, 02:47 AM
Apr 2015

Yet another "Hillary supporters are adamant, on the defensive, and live in fear" OP.

Discussing the electability of ANY candidate is par for the course at this point in the process, and will be for many months to come.

"Rather defensive - element of fear at play ..."

Cue up the creepy music and

Gothmog

(145,462 posts)
108. Good post
Fri May 1, 2015, 07:41 AM
May 2015

We are in the primary process now and we need to pick the strongest candidate for the general. I like Bernie Sanders and admire him but I do not think that he is the strongest general election candidate

Gothmog

(145,462 posts)
85. I like and admire Bernie but I doubt that he can raise the funds necessary to win a general
Thu Apr 30, 2015, 07:49 AM
Apr 2015

The Kochs will spend almost $900 million in this race and the RNC and its allies will be spending a similar amount. I doubt that Bernie could raise the funds necessary to compete

underahedgerow

(1,232 posts)
91. Mr. Sanders doesn't scare anyone, he's too nice a guy. But he'll be an 'also ran'
Thu Apr 30, 2015, 10:09 AM
Apr 2015

in the primaries. And when the general election happens, it's fairly logical to think that he could be a strong write in candidate.

He's a nice guy, but he's not Presidential material.

 

NCTraveler

(30,481 posts)
96. My heart goes out to the poor little Sanders supporters here.
Thu Apr 30, 2015, 03:15 PM
Apr 2015

Myself included. We are just so overwhelmed with Clinton supporters. lol.

http://www.democraticunderground.com/10026592890

 

libdem4life

(13,877 posts)
102. Just means we've got a Horse Race and a Primary...Go Bernie !!!
Thu Apr 30, 2015, 04:31 PM
Apr 2015

He is very effective. I've just recently come to understand who he is, and I thank DU for that. I never was quite on the Hillary bandwagon, but Bernie I could get excited for and social media and the internet are adding methods to get out the word that weren't there in other elections. I think Obama rode the wave of social media. Wasn't that involved at that time.

 

Adrahil

(13,340 posts)
107. Well, I'll see you at the convention and we'll compare notes.
Fri May 1, 2015, 07:37 AM
May 2015

If I am wrong, i will eat crow. But I don't think that will happen.

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