2015 hurricane season predicted to be “the most active and dangerous in 3 years"

[snooper2]

http://www.stlucianewsonline.com/2015-hurricane-season-predicted-to-be-the-most-active-and-dangerous-in-3-years/

Global Weather Oscillations Inc. (GWO), a leading hurricane cycle prediction company, says, “The 2015 Atlantic Basin hurricane season will be the most active and dangerous in at least 3 years, and the next 3 seasons will be the most dangerous in 10 years”.
CEO David Dilley says GWO has issued “the most accurate predictions of any organization 6 years running, and GWO is the only organization to predict the correct number of hurricanes in 2014 and that an El Niño would not form.”

GWO issues predictions based on its “patent pending” Climate Pulse Technology developed by Mr. Dilley. GWO currently has 11 United States prediction zones from New England to Texas, and the Philippine Islands in the western Pacific. He also issues accurate predictions for El Niño events and other climate cycles.

GWO issues predictions based on its “patent pending” Climate Pulse Technology developed by Mr. Dilley. GWO currently has 11 United States prediction zones from New England to Texas, and the Philippine Islands in the western Pacific. He also issues accurate predictions for El Niño events and other climate cycles.

Mr. Dilley says that while the past two hurricane seasons (2013 and 2014) were dominated by hostile upper atmospheric winds that suppressed tropical activity, the next few years will enter a natural “Climate Pulse Enhancement Cycle” that will be favorable for more active and intense hurricane seasons.

[Wella]

1. This prediction and $4 gets me a latte at Starbucks

Seriously, they are always predicting "the worst hurricane season ever!" and then it never materializes.

[mitch96]

2. I still pucker

when I hear about a hurricane coming.. Been thru a couple of them and, well I pucker.. Then again I can always run.. Kinda difficult with earthquakes and tornadoes

M
Hurricane alley...

[trumad]

3. Just talking with my friends today about the 3 we went through in Central Florida back in 2004

I hate Hurricanes.

[KamaAina]

5. I do, too!

That damned Karmanos stole them from Hartford!

[deutsey]

4. GWO's prediction may be correct

but this is from GWO's press release (i.e., company puff piece), so it's hard to take this source too seriously.

[deutsey]

6. Weather Underground analysis: "2015 will feature below average activity in the Atlantic basin"

2015 Hurricane Season Outlook

After all of this analysis I've come to a conclusion that 2015 will feature below average activity in the Atlantic basin for a third straight year due to the high probability of El Nino conditions and a weak AMO being present. I expect anywhere between seven to ten named storms, four to seven hurricanes, and zero to two major hurricanes for the upcoming 2015 Atlantic hurricane season. The overall pattern favored with the accompanied positive Pacific Decadal Oscillation will lead to overall troughing across the eastern United States. This will recurve most storms out in the open Atlantic while opening the Gulf coast and Southeast United States up to homegrown mischief sneaking up from the Caribbean and southwest Atlantic if they manage to develop. Regardless of activity and overall favored steering patterns discussed, this does not mean that the odds of someone being hit are diminished. Storm tracks are determined by the unique pattern at hand and their tracks can and will catch people off guard if they are not prepared. Even with the lack of activity it only takes one catastrophic hurricane to make a hurricane season go from harmless to deadly.

http://www.wunderground.com/blog/TylerStanfield/comment.html?entrynum=10

This is his analysis based on current data, anyway.