Welcome to DU! The truly grassroots left-of-center political community where regular people, not algorithms, drive the discussions and set the standards. Join the community: Create a free account Support DU (and get rid of ads!): Become a Star Member Latest Breaking News General Discussion The DU Lounge All Forums Issue Forums Culture Forums Alliance Forums Region Forums Support Forums Help & Search

ProSense

(116,464 posts)
Thu Apr 19, 2012, 05:05 PM Apr 2012

Obama leads Romney by three; Christie would make it a tie

Obama leads Romney by three; Christie would make it a tie

Raleigh, N.C. – President Obama opens what is now effectively the general election contest with a three-point lead over his nearly-crowned opponent Mitt Romney in PPP’s latest national poll, 49-46. Both parties are coalescing around their standard-bearers, with Obama up from 79% to 84% of Democrats in the last month, and Romney up from 78% to 82% of the GOP. Obama leads 52-43 with independents, up from 48-42.

Romney’s favorability numbers are still poor, but they have already begun to rebound since it became clear he would be the nominee. In March, only a third of American voters saw him favorably and 58% unfavorably. That is now 39-51. Republicans have quickly joined ranks, moving from only 49-42 to 67-22. Independents have improved their view of him as well, from 29-58 to 36-50, but that is balanced out by Democrats growing even more sour on their autumn foe (20-71 to 14-79).

Speculation about Romney’s potential running mate ramped up almost as soon as Rick Santorum dropped out of the GOP primary battle, and PPP finds that Santorum would be one of the only running mates that would immediately help Romney at this point. A unity ticket would bring the contest to a 48-46 edge for Obama, as would a matchup featuring fellow social conservative Mike Huckabee on stage with Romney.

But the option that would make the national popular vote tightest would be Chris Christie. In that case, the Obama-Biden and Romney-Christie tickets would tie at 47% apiece. Jeb Bush would make it a one-point contest, with Obama edging Romney 48-47.

- more -

http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/2011/PPP_Release_US_041912.pdf


Interesting that Obama's standing among independents improved to a 9-point lead over Romney. Yet the March PPP poll had Obama up by 4 points over Romney, one more than the current poll.

http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/main/2012/03/obama-up-three-to-eight-nationally.html
7 replies = new reply since forum marked as read
Highlight: NoneDon't highlight anything 5 newestHighlight 5 most recent replies
 

Liberal_Stalwart71

(20,450 posts)
1. Not that I think any of these polls, good or bad, matter...
Thu Apr 19, 2012, 05:10 PM
Apr 2012

but I have to question how it is possible for Obama to be beating R-Money among every demographic group except for white men and yet he's still only a few points ahead.

Strange!

SlimJimmy

(3,180 posts)
3. I would like to see the poll results with a sample of *likely* voters. I don't ever have a warm and
Thu Apr 19, 2012, 05:14 PM
Apr 2012

fuzzy when they use only registered voters.

GodlessBiker

(6,314 posts)
4. Might it be a good idea for Hillary to be the Vice-Presidential candidate, that is,
Thu Apr 19, 2012, 05:25 PM
Apr 2012

if she would even think about doing it in order to set her up for 2016?

I don't know. What if Rmoney picks Condi. She has her baggage, huge baggage from the war, but it may give some people the feeling that they are advancing equal rights by voting for Rmoney, even though they would be doing quite the opposite.

Mr.Turnip

(645 posts)
5. huh PPP did two national polls this week, odd.
Thu Apr 19, 2012, 05:27 PM
Apr 2012

the one released I think yesterday was O +6 but that was due to a higher number of undecideds in that poll, I think Obama had about the same number.

Also Gallup really need to change their model, they are out of step with every single other poll now.

blm

(113,063 posts)
7. Hah...I would LOVE for Christie to be the VP nominee - most people are completely unaware
Thu Apr 19, 2012, 06:09 PM
Apr 2012

that Christie was the lobbyist used by Bernie Madoff's group to lobby for securities fraud to be EXEMPT from NJ's fraud laws. Christie succeeded at that task, btw.

Now how do you think most fair-minded Americans will react to that?

Latest Discussions»General Discussion»Obama leads Romney by thr...