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LuckyTheDog

(6,837 posts)
Thu Apr 19, 2012, 02:32 PM Apr 2012

Here is how the campaign for president will play out

Prediction: Willard Mitt Romney will continue to benefit from a "bump" in the polls now that he's once again being seen as the inevitable nominee. That's partly because of all the "feel good" press he'll get as he continues to roll up delegates.

The polls will remain tight into late spring and early summer. Mitt will pull ahead (as McCain did) for a time once he is actually nominated and picks Tim Pawlenty as his running mate -- but Mitt will peak there.

When all the smoke clears, Election Night 2012 will look a lot like Election Night 2008. Mitt will fail to close the deal.

7 replies = new reply since forum marked as read
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Here is how the campaign for president will play out (Original Post) LuckyTheDog Apr 2012 OP
Pawlenty? Oh, that'll really add sizzle to the ticket jberryhill Apr 2012 #1
They'll have to hand out No-Doze Aerows Apr 2012 #2
Hope you're right but don't underestimate Romney bowens43 Apr 2012 #3
To a percentage, sure. A large one? I don't think so... Bluenorthwest Apr 2012 #5
I tend to agree. Ganja Ninja Apr 2012 #4
Mitt might pick someone more right-wing than he is, someone from the South or. JDPriestly Apr 2012 #6
After the Palin fiasco, I think Willard will play things safe (nt) LuckyTheDog Apr 2012 #7
 

bowens43

(16,064 posts)
3. Hope you're right but don't underestimate Romney
Thu Apr 19, 2012, 02:41 PM
Apr 2012

to a large percentage of Americans he seems like a reasonable , well spoken guy with good hair who isn't black......

this will NOT be an easy win for Obama

 

Bluenorthwest

(45,319 posts)
5. To a percentage, sure. A large one? I don't think so...
Thu Apr 19, 2012, 02:58 PM
Apr 2012

In fact, last poll I saw on such things the President showed what I'd call giant margins on Romney. Mitt is not warm, he does not engender trust, people think the President is more principled and consistent, more honest, more ethical....
http://firstread.msnbc.msn.com/_news/2012/04/19/11288206-nbcwsj-poll-romneys-image-improves-but-remains-a-net-negative?lite

Ganja Ninja

(15,953 posts)
4. I tend to agree.
Thu Apr 19, 2012, 02:42 PM
Apr 2012

Mitt will lead in the media's polls all summer long as the establishment tries to demoralize the left. Then for ratings sake the gap will suddenly close a week or two before the election.

JDPriestly

(57,936 posts)
6. Mitt might pick someone more right-wing than he is, someone from the South or.
Thu Apr 19, 2012, 03:47 PM
Apr 2012

an Evangelical Tea-Bagger who is very flamboyant. That is my best guess.

In fact, I really like Biden, but I wonder whether Obama will stick with him or pick a younger person who could help out in swing states or the South.

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