Quinnipiac: Obama ahead of Romney by 4%; thanks to

[Marzupialis]

Conducted April 11-17.
Their next most recent poll (February) had Obama up 2%:

Story

[titaniumsalute]

1. A national poll really means nothing

It comes down to the electoral college and individual states. Obama can win the popular vote by 4% and lose the election.

[SmellyFeet]

2. Agree, but I think it's actually the opposite.

I think he wins even bigger if he's ahead nationally.

Look at the swing states to see how far ahead he is in the electoral college.

http://www1.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2012/president/2012_elections_electoral_college_map.html

[Marzupialis]

3. What is the likelihood of that?

Of someone winning the popular vote by 4% and yet losing the electoral college? How often has it happened?

[ProSense]

4. Strange numbers

April 19, 2012 - Big Lead With Women Gives Obama An Edge On Romney, Quinnipiac University National Poll Finds; Christie, Rubio, Ryan Top GOP Running Mate List

President Barack Obama holds a thin 46 - 42 percent lead over former Massachusetts Gov. Mitt Romney, according to a Quinnipiac University national poll released today. New Jersey Gov. Christopher Christie, Florida Sen. Marco Rubio and Wisconsin U.S. Rep. Paul Ryan lead the guess list for possible Romney running mates.

Looking at personal characteristics, 81 percent of American voters think the president is likable, compared to 63 percent for Romney. Obama cares about their needs and problems, 57 percent say, compared to 44 percent for Romney. The Republican has strong leadership qualities, 61 percent say, compared to 60 percent for the president, the independent Quinnipiac (KWIN-uh-pe-ack) University poll of 2,577 American voters finds.

Romney is seen as better on the economy 47 - 43 percent, better on creating jobs 45 - 42 percent, better on gas prices 44 - 31 percent and better on immigration 43 - 39 percent. The president is viewed 52 - 32 percent as better on women's issues and 46 - 40 percent on foreign policy. The two men are seen equally on taxes and health care.

<...>

"The gender gap remains, with Obama leading among women 49 - 39 percent and trailing slightly among men 46 - 43 percent," said Brown. "The racial gap is even wider: Romney leads 52 - 36 percent among whites, while the president is ahead among blacks 94 - 3 percent and among Hispanics 64 - 24 percent."

Obama leads among Democrats 88 - 6 percent, while Romney leads 83 - 8 percent among Republicans and 46 - 39 percent among independent voters.

- more -

http://www.quinnipiac.edu/institutes-and-centers/polling-institute/national/release-detail?ReleaseID=1737

Romney's support among Hispanics is 24 percent. Yet the poll shows he's better on immigration "43 - 39 percent."

Immigration is the very reason Romney has alienated Hispanic voters. His proposals are atrocious. The numbers don't make sense.

This leads me to believe that the independents polled were right leaning.

[WI_DEM]

5. 63% find Romney likable!?

[spanone]

6. by election time, romney will be loved and revered in every poll possible thanks to msm