Poll: Democrats Gaining in Battleground and Ryan Budget Could Finish the Job
Overview
Last month, virtually all House Republicans voted for Paul Ryan’s latest budget plan (“The Path to Prosperity”)—and according to the latest battleground survey by Greenberg Quinlan Rosner for Democracy Corps and Women’s Voices. Women Vote Action Fund, they will pay the price in November.[1] In this survey of 1000 likely voters in the 56 most competitive Republican-held districts, the climate has shifted in favor of the Democrats. Voters view the Democratic Party more favorably than the Republican Party, the President is viewed far more favorably than Mitt Romney, and both the President and congressional Democrats have made gains on the ballot since last September.
Several key subgroups have turned against these Republicans including unmarried women, suburban voters, senior women, and moderates.
These are districts that Republicans collectively won by an 11-point margin just a year and a half ago—and as incumbents stake claim to unpopular positions on this newest Ryan budget, their already weakened position erodes further.
The President’s approval and vote against Romney has surged in the battleground. Obama is now tied (with a marginal 1-point advantage) with the presumptive GOP nominee. This compares favorably to the 7-point deficit he faced against Romney in these districts in December. Just 32 percent give the former governor a positive rating.
http://www.democracycorps.com/strategy/2012/04/democrats-gaining-in-battleground-and-ryan-budget-could-finish-the-job/
