Welcome to DU! The truly grassroots left-of-center political community where regular people, not algorithms, drive the discussions and set the standards. Join the community: Create a free account Support DU (and get rid of ads!): Become a Star Member Latest Breaking News General Discussion The DU Lounge All Forums Issue Forums Culture Forums Alliance Forums Region Forums Support Forums Help & Search

MindMover

(5,016 posts)
Sun Apr 15, 2012, 08:41 PM Apr 2012

Have we reached Peak Oil...?

Global Oil Production Update: EIA Revises Two Decades of Oil Data

Since 2005, despite a phase transition in prices, global oil production has been trapped below a ceiling of 74 mbpd (million barrels per day). New production from new fields and new discoveries comes on line, but, it has not been at a rate fast enough to overcome declines from existing fields. Overall, global decline has been estimated at a minimum of 4% per year and as high as 6+% a year. Given that new oil resources are developed and flow at much slower rates, the existing declines present a formidable challenge to the task of increasing supply. I see no set of factors, in combination, that would take global production of crude oil higher in 2012, or next year, or thereafter.

http://gregor.us/oil/global-oil-production-update-eia-revises-two-decades-of-oil-data/

[url=http://www.flickr.com/photos/41483660@N04/7082148321/][img][/img][/url]
[url=http://www.flickr.com/photos/41483660@N04/7082148321/]8-Global-Average-Annual-Crude-Oil-Production[/url]
6 replies = new reply since forum marked as read
Highlight: NoneDon't highlight anything 5 newestHighlight 5 most recent replies

neverforget

(9,436 posts)
1. I think so. All the easy to get to oil has been tapped. Now we're on to the deeper, more difficult
Sun Apr 15, 2012, 08:59 PM
Apr 2012

to get to oil.

 

randome

(34,845 posts)
2. I've been on DU for 11 years.
Sun Apr 15, 2012, 09:02 PM
Apr 2012

And this idea has been promoted every year. And I know for a lot longer before DU.

I WISH we were at peak oil. Maybe we'd stop fouling the air, then. Sadly, it does not appear to be coming anytime soon.

 

Spider Jerusalem

(21,786 posts)
5. All indications are that the global peak of conventional oil production is past.
Sun Apr 15, 2012, 11:53 PM
Apr 2012

The chief economist of the IEA has acknowledged a peak in conventional production in 2006. Production appears to be on a plateau, with depletion of conventional oil being made up for by non-conventional resources (tar sands, heavy oil, deepwater).

See here, for instance: http://newswatch.nationalgeographic.com/2011/05/05/the-world-has-passed-peak-oil-says-top-economist/

 

FarCenter

(19,429 posts)
3. Globally we've reached Peak Oil; in the US we are past the peak of usage.
Sun Apr 15, 2012, 09:14 PM
Apr 2012

US production peaked in the '70s. Since then our increased consumption has been based on imports.

Now global production has plateaued, and other countries are consuming more oil.

Therefore, US oil consumption will decline steadily over the next decade.

 

RC

(25,592 posts)
4. Oil peaked in 1973.
Sun Apr 15, 2012, 11:38 PM
Apr 2012

Since then we have been drilling previously known, but untapped sites.
That chart in the OP would be more useful if it went back to at least the 1960's.

 

Spider Jerusalem

(21,786 posts)
6. US oil production peaked in 1970
Reply to RC (Reply #4)
Sun Apr 15, 2012, 11:58 PM
Apr 2012

global production in 2006; a chart going back to the 1960's wouldn't be that useful because global production continued to increase after the US passed its peak of production.

Latest Discussions»General Discussion»Have we reached Peak Oil....