We ran 10,000 simulations through our Senate model. They came back dead even.

[applegrove]

We ran 10,000 simulations through our Senate model. They came back dead even.

By Aaron Blake, the Fix, Washington Post

http://www.washingtonpost.com/blogs/the-fix/wp/2014/09/17/we-ran-10000-simulations-through-our-senate-model-they-came-back-dead-even/?tid=rssfeed

"SNIP.......................



On Tuesday, The Fix looked at the latest numbers from the Post's Election Lab. It showed that Democrats, for the first time this year, were now favored to hold the Senate.

Well, we're a few hours past that, and we can now say this: The battle for control of the Senate is a pure toss-up. Not just like a this-is-very-close toss-up, but like a 50-50-odds toss-up.

Our team ran 10,000 simulations using our most recent ratings of the 36 seats up for grabs on Nov. 4. It showed Republicans with a 50.03 percent chance of winning the Senate and Democrats with a 49.97 percent chance of holding the Senate. Again: pure toss-up.

....

Similar forecasting models put together by FiveThirtyEight and the New York Times's Upshot blog have also been showing the race getting quite close. FiveThirtyEight has the GOP as 53 percent favorites, while the Upshot has Republicans at 51 percent.



........................SNIP"

[Jackpine Radical]

1. We're just past Labor Day, which is about when

the general public starts paying attention.

[LiberalAndProud]

2. So it's GOTV

I've got to run, so just skimming the article.

Which states are in the tossup column. Iowa maybe, Colorado for sure, am I right?

b back L8er.

[MFM008]

3. illl go with the guys

Who say dems win lol.