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a kennedy

(29,681 posts) Tue Apr 3, 2012, 07:23 AM Apr 2012

Intrade has Walker at 50.6 % chance of reelection and individual mandate 60.7% unconstitutional

http://www.intrade.com/v4/home/

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Intrade has Walker at 50.6 % chance of reelection and individual mandate 60.7% unconstitutional (Original Post) a kennedy Apr 2012 OP

IMO, Intrade leans WAY conservative. denverbill Apr 2012 #1

Intraders have Obama at 60.5% Sulla Apr 2012 #2

denverbill

(11,489 posts)

1. IMO, Intrade leans WAY conservative.

Reply to a kennedy (Original post)

Tue Apr 3, 2012, 11:51 AM

Apr 2012

The people that trade there, by and large are all BIG believers that the market knows all. Ultracapitalists. Mostly young and probably mostly white males. IIRC, Intrade had McCain and Obama damn near even going into election week.

I have yet to see a case when Intrade was predicting a different result from the polls and the polls were wrong. Intrade usually comes crashing back to reality on election day.

Sulla

(17 posts)

2. Intraders have Obama at 60.5%

Reply to denverbill (Reply #1)

Tue Apr 3, 2012, 12:12 PM

Apr 2012

I think it's mostly inhabited by degenerate gamblers.

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