Welcome to DU! The truly grassroots left-of-center political community where regular people, not algorithms, drive the discussions and set the standards. Join the community: Create a free account Support DU (and get rid of ads!): Become a Star Member Latest Breaking News General Discussion The DU Lounge All Forums Issue Forums Culture Forums Alliance Forums Region Forums Support Forums Help & Search

babylonsister

(171,107 posts)
Fri May 30, 2014, 07:15 PM May 2014

America Is Becoming a Bit More Liberal. That's Pretty Unusual Six Years Into a Democratic Presidency

http://www.motherjones.com/kevin-drum/2014/05/america-becoming-bit-more-liberal-thats-pretty-unusual-six-years-democratic-presi


America Is Becoming a Bit More Liberal. That's Pretty Unusual Six Years Into a Democratic Presidency.

—By Kevin Drum
| Fri May 30, 2014 12:21 PM EDT


Why are there more moderate Democrats than moderate Republicans? This has never been because Democrats are spineless wimps who won't stand up for liberal values. The main reason is simple: there aren't very many self-identified liberals in America. There never have been. Self-IDed conservatives have outnumbered self-IDed liberals by 10-15 percentage points for decades. This means that Democrats are forced to appeal more to the center than Republicans are.

But Gallup reports that this is changing. On social issues, the ID gap has narrowed to nearly zero. On economic issues conservatives still have a healthy 21 percentage point lead, but that's way down from 2010. Here's the chart:



In one sense, you should take this with a grain of salt. Sure, there are now more self-IDed liberals, but that's compared to 2010, a high-water mark for conservative identification.

In another sense, this is pretty unusual. Normally, the country gets steadily more liberal during Republican presidencies and steadily more conservative during Democratic presidencies. This is, presumably, because voters get increasingly tired of whoever's in power and more open to the idea that the other guys might have better answers. But this time that hasn't happened. There's too much noise in the Gallup chart to draw any definitive conclusions, but if you compare the numbers now to the average from the last few years of the Bush presidency, the country has actually gotten a bit more liberal. That's something that rarely happens six years into a Democratic presidency.

The trend is more noticeable on social issues, which shouldn't surprise anyone. On gay rights in particular, the country has plainly moved in the direction of more tolerance, and conservatives are just flatly out of step. As this trend continues—and it's inexorable at this point—the conservative position strikes more and more people as not merely misguided, but just plain ugly. And you don't self-ID with an ideology that you think is ugly.

It's a funny thing. People say they don't like President Obama's foreign policy, but it turns out they approve of the specific things he's doing. They say they don't like Obamacare, but they like the things Obamacare does. They say they don't like Obama's economic policy, but they largely approve of his actual positions. You see this over and over. It doesn't look like Obama is doing much to move the country in a more liberal direction, but in his slow, methodical, pragmatic way, he's doing just that. A lot of people might not know it, but they're attracted by his no-drama approach to incremental social change. It frustrates those of us who want to see things change faster, but in the end, it might turn out to be pretty effective.
103 replies = new reply since forum marked as read
Highlight: NoneDon't highlight anything 5 newestHighlight 5 most recent replies
America Is Becoming a Bit More Liberal. That's Pretty Unusual Six Years Into a Democratic Presidency (Original Post) babylonsister May 2014 OP
Obama will be remembered as a great president RainDog May 2014 #1
Yes he will and despite all the attempts by the GOP, he will leave office scandal free. Rex May 2014 #2
Are Medicare and Medicaid chopped liver? MannyGoldstein May 2014 #4
which has nothing to do with what I said RainDog May 2014 #5
"But Obama has the legacy of health care legislation..." MannyGoldstein May 2014 #8
ohhhkeee RainDog May 2014 #15
Nice. NealK May 2014 #43
LOL RainDog May 2014 #49
Post removed Post removed May 2014 #50
Ouch, being proved wrong must really sting. Scuba Jun 2014 #99
LOL RainDog Jun 2014 #100
Well, for what it's worth, I appreciate your advocacy. Scuba Jun 2014 #101
Thanks RainDog Jun 2014 #102
Good points. LBJ gets the credit for Medicare. JDPriestly May 2014 #28
+1 n/t NealK May 2014 #42
+1 n/t NealK May 2014 #44
Nope. SCHIP = 7.5 million. ACA + SCHIP expansion = 13 million. joshcryer May 2014 #48
You're right that ACA has added more insureds than SCHIP MannyGoldstein May 2014 #53
But corporate Obama could've vetoed it. joshcryer May 2014 #82
I suppose that he *could* be even further to the right than many Congressional Republicans MannyGoldstein May 2014 #88
I knew the Long family many years ago. IrishAyes May 2014 #63
How much are you willing to risk on that? Rent's due.... IrishAyes May 2014 #61
Wish I'd thought of that. IrishAyes May 2014 #60
What? frazzled May 2014 #36
I agree. Warren DeMontague May 2014 #18
Yeah, he'll be remembered as a true statesman. joshcryer May 2014 #31
Ouch! NealK May 2014 #45
Well said... well said. IrishAyes May 2014 #59
Comparing Medicare, Medicaid, the Civil Rights Act, and the Voting Rights Act to Heritage Care Doctor_J May 2014 #72
+1 - his presidency has been transformative Politicub Jun 2014 #94
I totally agree! cilla4progress Jun 2014 #96
But not so unusual 7 years into a depression for the 99% MannyGoldstein May 2014 #3
It's such a shame the Republican-controlled House RainDog May 2014 #6
I didn't write that it was Obama's fault, did I? MannyGoldstein May 2014 #9
ohhhhkee RainDog May 2014 #11
so is, there is nothing he can do Doctor_J May 2014 #10
we're all entitled to our opinions RainDog May 2014 #12
You are correct. He wagged his bank youknowhat, and saved us all from utter ruin. jtuck004 May 2014 #76
I suppose we'll see about that cold war RainDog May 2014 #79
That whole shakin' thing seems to be a preoccupation among the leaders these days. While the earth jtuck004 May 2014 #83
Shakin'? RainDog May 2014 #84
Ha. That was fun. <G>. "apocalyptic scenarios". I have had the same. But over time as I read jtuck004 May 2014 #85
The French Revolution was started by the middle/upper classes RainDog May 2014 #86
Imho, without the Sans Culottes that whole discussion would have been moot. jtuck004 Jun 2014 #92
well... RainDog Jun 2014 #93
Didn't say the peasants won, said it would have been a shootout at the OK country club jtuck004 Jun 2014 #98
It's like Obama is the only one in DC that is not a hysterical fool. nt bemildred May 2014 #7
Wait, shouldn't America become more liberal economically? joshcryer May 2014 #32
'sight' in this case, Manny;not 'site'. IrishAyes May 2014 #65
My bad. MannyGoldstein May 2014 #67
I never done made no such thing before myself. IrishAyes Jun 2014 #89
The continued growth in inequality, plus all of the corporate-friendly legislation, helps alot Doctor_J May 2014 #70
"Normally, the country gets steadily more liberal during Republican presidencies..." woo me with science May 2014 #13
"In terms of policy, Obama's has been a Republican presidency" Cali_Democrat May 2014 #22
Because they're only paying attention to the surface? Armstead May 2014 #40
Liberals are dumb and easily fooled by words. Gotcha. Ikonoklast May 2014 #54
NO that's not what I said Armstead May 2014 #55
Bingo. truebluegreen May 2014 #26
I'm convinced the Internet is having a growing influence on this dynamic. Uncle Joe May 2014 #14
Which is why (along with profit) it's being handed to corporate ownership as we speak. woo me with science May 2014 #33
People dump on Facebook, but I believe it has been instrumental in spreading a lot of good messages. Arugula Latte May 2014 #68
Thanks Obama! Cha May 2014 #16
Yes! Kath1 May 2014 #30
Oy! All the rw talking points sure make their way into people's heads who are Cha May 2014 #34
It is a shame and most of those people are elderly. Kath1 May 2014 #37
Thank you for passing on the encouragment, Kath! Cha May 2014 #38
Pass it on! Kath1 May 2014 #39
Great subthread, thanks guys. freshwest May 2014 #78
Agreed - love the sub-thread cilla4progress Jun 2014 #97
It's a good thing alone not to have conservative backlash treestar May 2014 #17
and will have great repercussions for the supreme Court. FSogol May 2014 #20
Yeah, maybe they've seen what the "conservatives" are up to .. and they want Nothing to do with Cha May 2014 #35
K&R! nt sheshe2 May 2014 #19
I hope it continues to go more liberal. Jamastiene May 2014 #21
Dont forget Clintons nonsense Armstead May 2014 #41
I baking powder? NealK May 2014 #47
The statement thst it was Bush who caused all the damage Armstead May 2014 #52
Most of the so called conservative/republiCONS... butterfly77 May 2014 #23
How true. Louisiana1976 May 2014 #77
Was just about to dupe you again, babylonsister! Hissyspit May 2014 #24
We have a centrist presidency, reactionary house, and centrist senate. nt valerief May 2014 #25
K & R Iliyah May 2014 #27
IMO that is good news - they are beginning to understand that we have no place else to go at this jwirr May 2014 #29
Not real sure if it's getting more liberal or if the GOP is just more unpopular davidn3600 May 2014 #46
Bingo. Citizens United blew up in their faces. McCamy Taylor May 2014 #51
But the Keystone Kops are getting their way and their backers are winning Armstead May 2014 #56
The Keystone Cops--by definition---never get their way. McCamy Taylor May 2014 #73
Really? Are they losing a lot of elections I am not hearing about? Doctor_J May 2014 #66
Maybe because what we have is NOT a Democratic presidency? n/t PowerToThePeople May 2014 #57
well perhaps there's something to thank our azurnoir May 2014 #58
I was thinking the same thing actually. cstanleytech May 2014 #62
Not to mention the overwhelming disgust RainDog May 2014 #80
It's been a conservative 6 years, so there is some natural pushback Doctor_J May 2014 #64
Sorry, that narrative is less compelling than ... 1StrongBlackMan May 2014 #69
So the DC Dems will seize on this wonderful news and shift to a full-throated populist campaign Doctor_J May 2014 #71
Rephrase that: the Dems will mobilize the base to get out the vote. McCamy Taylor May 2014 #74
The people are getting more liberal. They will not come out vote for TPP, KXL, for-profit schools, Doctor_J May 2014 #75
GOTV! It's just getting started for the dems Politicub Jun 2014 #95
Not sure Flatpicker May 2014 #81
Younger people aren't into saving the Great White Males. Spitfire of ATJ May 2014 #87
Finally. A Gallop Poll that I can appreciate. ancianita Jun 2014 #90
Not unbelievable at all when you realize Obama is a center right president. n/t Dawgs Jun 2014 #91
The right wing MEDIA is the reason the masses don't recognize what they LIKE loudsue Jun 2014 #103

RainDog

(28,784 posts)
1. Obama will be remembered as a great president
Fri May 30, 2014, 07:30 PM
May 2014

imo. All presidents make mistakes or decisions that I think are not the right one.

But Obama has the legacy of health care legislation, when decades of Democrats were unable to make this happen - including Kennedy.

Obama has not followed the lead of Bush Jr., who told a reporter that, to be a great president, someone has to have a war - or to win a second term, a president has to start a war (this is something Maggie Thatcher took to heart too, btw.)

That he has been able to avoid many idiotic conflicts that have been the reasons the U.S. has been involved in so many stupid wars or "wars" because Congress doesn't declare them is a great testament to this president, considering how the right wing has hounded him since his first day in office, has tried to block every bit of legislation, has tried to pretend they offer something better - he has avoided all their petty bullshit without resorting to wagging the dog.

That, imo, is the example of a great leader.

 

Rex

(65,616 posts)
2. Yes he will and despite all the attempts by the GOP, he will leave office scandal free.
Fri May 30, 2014, 07:36 PM
May 2014

Something they will try with all their might to deny. Obama is a great president. Nothing they can do will change that. Obama has been a better POTUS then any other in my lifetime (43). Head and shoulders above Bill Clinton imo and NO GOPuker exPOTUS can hold a candle to his accomplishments. He should have never compared himself to Reagan, Reagan was an idiot. Obama is brilliant.

RainDog

(28,784 posts)
5. which has nothing to do with what I said
Fri May 30, 2014, 07:43 PM
May 2014

about the ACA and Obama's presidency.

Every president in this nation has had to deal with the right wing nutjobs that, for some odd reason, this country seems to breed like rabbits.

To say he did one thing does not mean other things are insignificant.

oi gevalt (that's the Australian/rocksteady/yiddish version), manny up!

 

MannyGoldstein

(34,589 posts)
8. "But Obama has the legacy of health care legislation..."
Fri May 30, 2014, 07:50 PM
May 2014

"But Obama has the legacy of health care legislation, when decades of Democrats were unable to make this happen - including Kennedy."

i'd wager that more uninsured Americans gained coverage under Kennedy's SCHIP program than under ObamaCare, for example.

RainDog

(28,784 posts)
49. LOL
Sat May 31, 2014, 03:16 AM
May 2014

So, someone is forced to engage in a meaningless conversation here for your sake?

I don't think so.

People here crack me up, really. Attempts to call out people over nothings.

This is why I don't really bother too much with the baiters. If that's taking my ball and going home, then so be it. I've got better things to do.

buh-bye.

edit to add: thank you to the jury for hiding the post below me. major creepy vibe for me from someone I have never PM'd, don't know, and just hope this person has me confused with someone else or is just... who knows.

Response to RainDog (Reply #49)

RainDog

(28,784 posts)
100. LOL
Sun Jun 1, 2014, 08:11 PM
Jun 2014

I have an opinion. So do you. So do others.

There is no sting in that. What's funny is people who attack others for having an opinion they don't like.

This is why I generally don't post about anything but the marijuana legalization movement here.

This sort of b.s. from either side - because I have opinions the other side disagrees with as well - anyway, this sort of b.s. is why I don't bother to read most comments related to anything about Obama here.

This is why I have so many people on ignore on both side of this issue and others - because people simply don't have the capacity to be civil.

Not worth my time once I see this.

RainDog

(28,784 posts)
102. Thanks
Sun Jun 1, 2014, 08:39 PM
Jun 2014

I appreciate that you are part of that here, too. You've always contributed with kicks and recs to keep information in front of eyes here on that issue - not just from me, but from others as I well.

I try to do that for others who post about the issue here too.

The thing I've come to understand over time is that activists (and I don't consider myself one on the mj issue - I'm just an observer) make changes in society and politicians come along after activists have done the ground work.

...but, in a way, that makes its own sense because politicians represent a broad range of people with various beliefs or understandings. And pols are part of the system, while activists are many times outside of it - until they create their own niche within it.

joshcryer

(62,287 posts)
48. Nope. SCHIP = 7.5 million. ACA + SCHIP expansion = 13 million.
Sat May 31, 2014, 02:51 AM
May 2014

Nice try.

(Obama got SCHIP expanded by 4 million plus the 9 million covered under ObamaCare.)

 

MannyGoldstein

(34,589 posts)
53. You're right that ACA has added more insureds than SCHIP
Sat May 31, 2014, 08:10 AM
May 2014

But SCHIP would have expanded even if McCain had won in 2008.

 

MannyGoldstein

(34,589 posts)
88. I suppose that he *could* be even further to the right than many Congressional Republicans
Sat May 31, 2014, 09:33 PM
May 2014

But then it wouldn't be triangulation anymore, would it?

IrishAyes

(6,151 posts)
63. I knew the Long family many years ago.
Sat May 31, 2014, 11:52 AM
May 2014

Huey was repugnant in many ways but undeniably brilliant. When the state legislature refused to fund all the paved roads he wanted, he took the miniscule amount they did give him and used most of it (minus his usual 'commission') to build a series of 1-mile paved stretches spaced out all over the state. People would be struggling along in the dust or mud, then hit that blessed pavement, and suffer even more when the dirt road resumed. Next time Huey asked for road $, he got plenty.

Although born into poverty, he managed to acquire a superficially elegant manner and could speak and move comfortably in upper echelons. But he never lost the common touch. I've seen film of one of his home state speeches where he's pounding the podium and shouting that he's "gonna make those crooks in Washington give back summa that grub they ain't got no business with!"

If he had lived, he almost certainly would've made it to the WH and become America's worst, most savage dictator. I don't think he was any saner than Earl.

frazzled

(18,402 posts)
36. What?
Sat May 31, 2014, 12:34 AM
May 2014

Obamacare affects everybody in the country, including:

• those with employer insurance (everything from abolition of annual and lifetime limits to no co-pays or deductibles for preventive care such as physicals, colonoscopies, and tests, to limits on the amount of profits insurance companies can make)

• those in the private market (we think of Obamacare as only this, so I don't need to list all the provisions, but it's not just this)

• those on Medicare (closes donut hole for prescription drugs; no Part B payments for preventive care)

• those on Medicaid (in case you hadn't noticed, it's expanding Medicaid by millions of people)

So it affects, in one way or another, every single citizen in the country, in smaller and larger ways.

joshcryer

(62,287 posts)
31. Yeah, he'll be remembered as a true statesman.
Sat May 31, 2014, 12:08 AM
May 2014

Probably wind up in the top 10 of Presidents in 50 years.

NealK

(1,895 posts)
45. Ouch!
Sat May 31, 2014, 02:39 AM
May 2014

It's very late and I'm really tired. I first read it as: he'll be remembered as a true car salesman.

 

Doctor_J

(36,392 posts)
72. Comparing Medicare, Medicaid, the Civil Rights Act, and the Voting Rights Act to Heritage Care
Sat May 31, 2014, 03:39 PM
May 2014

is pretty insulting to LBJ and all of the people who helped make those things happen. Leave the shameless rewriting of history to the Repukes.

Politicub

(12,165 posts)
94. +1 - his presidency has been transformative
Sun Jun 1, 2014, 01:06 PM
Jun 2014

And will reverberate through American history.

There are so many examples - but one I always think about when the idea of legacy comes up is his simple phrase "From Seneca Falls, to Selma to Stonewall." This wonderful rhetorical flourish during the 2nd inaugural placed gay liberation in its place in the story of american progress.

RainDog

(28,784 posts)
6. It's such a shame the Republican-controlled House
Fri May 30, 2014, 07:45 PM
May 2014

has no power and are at the mercy of that mean old Obama who has used his bully pulpit to call for various actions to improve the economic situation of the middle and lower classes.

Honestly, it's all the president's fault is the rhetoric of a child.

 

MannyGoldstein

(34,589 posts)
9. I didn't write that it was Obama's fault, did I?
Fri May 30, 2014, 07:51 PM
May 2014

I sure as heck think that he White House full o' bankers didn't help, of course, but I was simply addressing the OP.

 

Doctor_J

(36,392 posts)
10. so is, there is nothing he can do
Fri May 30, 2014, 07:52 PM
May 2014

Passing a heritage foundation healthcare plan and race to the bottom hardly make a "great presidency" imo.

RainDog

(28,784 posts)
12. we're all entitled to our opinions
Fri May 30, 2014, 07:58 PM
May 2014

but the bulk of my post was about the way he has not fallen into the trap of wagging his war youknowhat.

too many people in this nation fall for that shite all the time. Bush Junior only got "re-elected" because he started a war that was still going on when elections rolled around again.

...and that's precisely why that war happened, for one reason. The others, of course, have to do with invading nations for oil companies - something Smedley Butler understood as the principle reason for the American military since the civil war.

 

jtuck004

(15,882 posts)
76. You are correct. He wagged his bank youknowhat, and saved us all from utter ruin.
Sat May 31, 2014, 04:37 PM
May 2014

Timmy said so on Jon Stewart. Then the audience laughed in his face.

But you are correct, he should be given credit for ending that stupid war, and saving a LOT of lives on both sides. If only he had told the State Department to quit fucking around in the Ukraine, he might not be leaving us a cold war that we have to fight...again.


 

jtuck004

(15,882 posts)
83. That whole shakin' thing seems to be a preoccupation among the leaders these days. While the earth
Sat May 31, 2014, 07:59 PM
May 2014

burns...

I'm thinking the rest of us may have a vested interest in going another direction.

RainDog

(28,784 posts)
84. Shakin'?
Sat May 31, 2014, 08:20 PM
May 2014

you mean like this?



Sometimes I have these apocalyptic scenarios in my head of a future in which young people drag those in the oil industry and the pols who love them out into the streets flooded with water...

Same with the frackers. Although if precedent is set in a lawsuit from an individual regarding fracking, no politician will be able to push that sort of thing because the businesses will find it's too costly for them.

Sadly, that's what too many CEOs, etc. respond to, not a consideration of the impact of their actions on their children's children.

To effectively stop something, the cost has to outweigh the "I don't give a shit about people or the environment" attitude among some businesses and pols.
 

jtuck004

(15,882 posts)
85. Ha. That was fun. <G>. "apocalyptic scenarios". I have had the same. But over time as I read
Sat May 31, 2014, 08:45 PM
May 2014

Myles Horton, Freire, Alinsky, the priest who founded Mondragon, Mother Jones, Matles and othe IWW folks, I came to realize that the only hope is for the oppressed to be led into helping themselves learn to take control of the assets, via business and ownership. (Some can rise to the occasion, but most times the human spirit has been beaten down so much among those with little or no income that they simply don't have the means without outside assistance and encouragement).

Because even in the French Revolution the people who started it became the last victims of the same guillotine that cut the heads off the tyrants in the beginning, and the wealthy took over. Mother Jones and the IWW and Industrial unions tried to encourage people to take control. Their efforts were associated with the communists and the socialists to hurt them, even though they said they rejected those ideas as not useful here, but they were never able to create what they meant because Gompers and the Business\Trade Unions, along with the government, business, and most of the population killed them or ran them off or carved them away from the effort with incentives. And here we are today.

Mondragon isn't a perfect example, but their rebellion, against a much more bloodthirsty dictator, was to teach a group cooperative principles and enough technical skills to build current technology, then borrow money from neighbors and begin to operate those assets as a cooperative. Today their revenue is in the billions of euros, and their unemployment is less than the areas around them. Even the Steelworkers have started to worked with them.

I think people get caught up in the admittedly delicious site of the serial killers we call bankers getting even a tenth of a percent of the pain and horror they have caused others through their theft and malfeasance, but that does nothing to make sure their victims can walk away from their oppression, or even to help them realize how screwed over they really are, by many they trust.

Instead I think there are populist ways we could structure it so people learn how they could free themselves from this plantation, these rentiers and perhaps not return. But in order to do that we would have to quit being so afraid of each other, and I think the world is gonna burn up b4 that happens.

Thank you for the video.

RainDog

(28,784 posts)
86. The French Revolution was started by the middle/upper classes
Sat May 31, 2014, 09:03 PM
May 2014

Not the poor and unrepresented.

The King called the three (clergy, aristocrats, commoners (i.e. lawyers, etc.) "houses" together to deal with the reality that the aristocrats did not want to pay taxes to pay the costs of wars Louis had either started or assisted (including the American Revolution.) The aristocrats wanted to put this cost on the commoners (not the poor) who were educated but denied benefits the aristocracy and clergy enjoyed from the King.

They couldn't come to an agreement.

So, factions in ALL THREE made the "Tennis Court Oath" to deal with the situation. Lafayette was an aristocrat. Robespierre was a lawyer. The middle/upper classes used propaganda to gain the loyalty of the peasants (sans culottes).

but, as you mention - a factor in revolution seems to be a retrenchment and despotic power among those who have taken down the ruling power. That was The Terror... which, as you note, only ended when Robespierre, the man who called for it, was beheaded himself because he had created such paranoia and fear among the revolutionaries they could not get anything done.

So, Napoleon took charge.

The Russian Revolution - Stalin took charge.

To me, evolution is better than revolution. Those in positions of power just have to recognize it is in their self interest to pay taxes because, otherwise, the society in which they live may fall into chaos and they may lose their loved ones or their lives.

That's what it all comes down to - can their fear of certain unrest (because this is, in fact, a certainty when conditions degrade to a point at which the middle class no longer feels invested in the status quo - the middle class, not the poor), overcome their greed.

It's up to the wealthy to decide how they want the future to go.

 

jtuck004

(15,882 posts)
92. Imho, without the Sans Culottes that whole discussion would have been moot.
Sun Jun 1, 2014, 09:59 AM
Jun 2014

And they were beheaded by the thousands during the terror with the same guillotine.

It's only up to the wealthy to decide which way they want to go if the people on this plantation are too scared to take it in hand, decide that uncertain security is better than freedom.

The wealthy, by and large, will never, ever decide it is in their interest to pay more taxes. And, frankly, the American people haven't exactly given them that much reason to really give a flying rat's ass.

They are not, and will never be, afraid of the people here, who so far have proven beyond a shadow of a doubt that they prefer mortgages and cable and lazyboys and student loans and more people in poverty and GMO foods while banks get richer and the planet gets hotter. There are enough of us, we could change it anytime we want to, but so far the creation of excuses is winning over.

We shall see what happens.

RainDog

(28,784 posts)
93. well...
Sun Jun 1, 2014, 11:48 AM
Jun 2014

it seems to me that history is driven by those who are motivated to make change because they have a stake in the current system yet are left out of the power/decision making.

Emmanuel Todd has written about this in terms of demographics. You want to know which nation will have a revolution? Look at the un/under employment figures for the college educated/trained. Look at the level of education for women and the birth rate (which falls with the education of women.) Those women want a seat at the table as well.

That's how he was able to predict the fall of the Soviet Union way back in the 1970s. He predicted the U.S. empire would fall, as well, if we do not get out of the business of "micro-wars" on smaller nations (i.e. kicking sand in the face of the little guy) because we perceive it is in our economic interest to do so.

This is one reason I said Obama has done something good - to scale back that sort of action by the U.S.

But, sure, the sans culottes provided the raw mass to force the King to return to Paris when he tried to flee (he would've gone on to take the side of the royals in other empires in Europe, many of them his "cousins", who declared war on France soon after the revolution.) So, the reason he was beheaded was so that he could not be restored under the old system - but it was the third estate that made that happen, not the sans culottes. Robespierre argued for regicide.

The sans culottes were not, generally, put under the guillotine. It was, again, the aristocracy and clergy, first, to get rid of them because of their opposition to revolution, then factions within the revolution (i.e. Girondins v. The Mountain, or Jacobins) - the leaders, not the followers were the ones who were executed.

Whoever told you French peasants were leaders of the French revolution is wrong. They're also wrong about who was executed as part of various purges.

This is the sad reality. The peasanty were gun fodder, but at no time were they leaders of the French Revolution. Again, this is how it goes - whether the lower classes are used to fight wars for state power or for revolution. This is ALWAYS how it goes.

So, you would have to ask yourself - what is motivation for someone in that situation to do something - b/c, if they know about history, they know they will not be included in power-sharing after a revolution. The only thing that makes it worthwhile to "rise up" is if they receive enough benefit in their society to do so.

This is why I say it's up to the wealthy. They can be the thing that makes it worthwhile to rise up by their non-response. Most people don't want to fight. Most people just want to be able to live their lives with their loved ones and friends. But if conditions are such that its impossible to survive - they will push back - but only after the middle/upper classes motivate them to take down the existing power structure by the promise of something a little better, at least.

Here's what happened, also, during the French Revolution. The revolutionaries confiscated the wealth of the aristocrats and the bishops (and other wealthy clergy). People took this wealth, that was in "things" like silver candelabras, etc. and sold them to people in other nations - this is how the revolutionaries, in part, financed the war that the aristocrats and royals in greater Europe declared.

They insured the end of their empires by this action. Napoleon is a controversial figure - but he, more than any sans culotte, etc. changed and revolutionized all of Europe by creating laws for universal education, standard measurements for trade, by putting his guy in power in various nation-states, etc. There was a backlash to him, too, but the changes he made were so great, and were so beneficial, ultimately, to the most people across Europe that he won the revolution everywhere, even tho there were periods of restoration.

Modern Europe exists because of Napoleon, not because of peasants.

 

jtuck004

(15,882 posts)
98. Didn't say the peasants won, said it would have been a shootout at the OK country club
Sun Jun 1, 2014, 02:59 PM
Jun 2014

and not a Revolution without them.

But it seems we are getting bogged down in agreement.

I just doubt that any "revolution" is going to do much good. The truly wealthy see those as a moneymaking opportunity, pit their lapdogs against "them" and enjoy it like Stanley what's his name at the basketball game. And perhaps with faster Internet access than the people whose tragedy they benefit from.

I think that the people's tactics are wrong. I don't think relying on the wealthy to do what would be against their nature to do, again, and expecting a different result, again, is a good strategy.

The people, 99%, whomever, need to fix themselves, adopt as part of their culture the learning of how and why to take over assets and run them for themselves. Help each other, not the tyrant. That's how profit is made here, so find ways to disrupt it and change the flow to themselves, like any good business person, socialize what makes sense.

But if we could fix our broken culture and learn from places like Mondragan, or people la Boetie (quit helping the tyrant - he/she only has what you gave them, eh?)....we could...

<fantasy interrupted>

snort. I'll wait for evidence that we aren't still burning ourselves up.

joshcryer

(62,287 posts)
32. Wait, shouldn't America become more liberal economically?
Sat May 31, 2014, 12:09 AM
May 2014

Assuming 7 years into a depression? I seem to recall that argument being made for FDR...

IrishAyes

(6,151 posts)
89. I never done made no such thing before myself.
Sun Jun 1, 2014, 07:52 AM
Jun 2014


Especially late at night, when somehow the contraction 'who's' sneaks in where I no damn well it should be the possessive. My keyboard betrays me. Then I wind up feeling like Urkel, thinking "Did I do that?"
 

Doctor_J

(36,392 posts)
70. The continued growth in inequality, plus all of the corporate-friendly legislation, helps alot
Sat May 31, 2014, 03:22 PM
May 2014

I would guess that people are getting awfully sick of it. I myself am getting "more liberal", when measured against the continued rightward march of the government and media.

woo me with science

(32,139 posts)
13. "Normally, the country gets steadily more liberal during Republican presidencies..."
Fri May 30, 2014, 07:59 PM
May 2014

In terms of policy, Obama's has been a Republican presidency.

Obama says he'd be seen as moderate Republican in 1980s
http://www.democraticunderground.com/1014336360

The record shows aggressive, proactive pursuit of a corporate agenda.
http://www.democraticunderground.com/?com=view_post&forum=1002&pid=3202395

CUT THE CRAP! Your Month in Review from the most "progressive" administration ever.
http://www.democraticunderground.com/10025006297

http://m.
 

Cali_Democrat

(30,439 posts)
22. "In terms of policy, Obama's has been a Republican presidency"
Fri May 30, 2014, 09:12 PM
May 2014

If that's true, then why do 85% of liberal Dems approve of Obama? In fact, he has a higher approval among liberal Dems than among conservative Dems.

 

Armstead

(47,803 posts)
40. Because they're only paying attention to the surface?
Sat May 31, 2014, 01:55 AM
May 2014

His words are reassuring to liberals. Apple pue and motherhood platitudes.

I used to fall for them.

But actions and appointments and favored policies? Corporate and moderate conservative.

 

Armstead

(47,803 posts)
55. NO that's not what I said
Sat May 31, 2014, 09:37 AM
May 2014

First of all, I am just as guilty of what I am describing below as anyone. I either zone out on purpose or accept the lies at face value at times too. So I am not putting myself above this all.

We are subjected to misleading and totally wrong propaganda 24/7 from the Media, Corporate Flaks and too many Politicians.
They dispense narrow and often misleading narratives, and ignore, suppress or twist information. They also mischaracterize, trivialize and/or demonize alternative interpretations.

Without sounding conspiratorial -- It is similar to Orwellian brainwashing. War Is Peace. Freedom is Slavery....Not quite that blatant or sinister, but has similarities. "We have to form monopolies and eliminate competition to protect competition."... "We have to eliminate and/or outsource jobs to protect jobs." ....."We have to slash people's pay to protect our standard of living"......etc.

People are busy with their lives, and don't have the time or energy to see beyond this self-imposed veil of the "conventional wisdom." Most of us -- to varying degrees -- habitually accept the Big Narrative, unless something strikes a particular chord to piss us off and/or inspire us to press for change...

As a result its more comfortable to accept that everything is basically okay. It's a societal equivalent of saying "the guy carrying my television set out the door isn't really robbing me."

This has put a straightjacket on our collective ability to objectively look at the facts and trends of what has been happening over the last 40 years. It causes many people to tune out the Big Picture, and/or become so cynical that they decide that any real reform is impossible.

Many people who consider themselves "liberals" have bought into it too. They either accept token "advances" as progress, or they become jaded and say "What, you think the minimum wage should be $1 an hour more? What are you a radical leftist who wants Ponies?"

In that narrative, politicians who are really corporate conservatives, but say the right apple pie stuff, are considered "liberal." Meanwhile people who are even somewhat more liberal these days are branded as "radical left" and the fringe, etc.



Uncle Joe

(58,517 posts)
14. I'm convinced the Internet is having a growing influence on this dynamic.
Fri May 30, 2014, 08:00 PM
May 2014

Liberalism wasn't damaged so much by the Republicans as it was by a ready, willing and able corporate media.

The "liberal" media accepted that label without serious argument and then overcompensated to the corporate/conservative point of view.

The Internet's primary gifts to the people is in inducing literacy and mass debate which in turns fosters reason, this benefits the liberal/progressive point of view.

I believe this Internet induced liberal/progressive dynamic will continue to grow in influence and power, having said that, I'm also convinced the war against Net Neutrality is based on the threat this poses to corporate supremacy and conservative dogma.

Thanks for the thread, babylonsister.

woo me with science

(32,139 posts)
33. Which is why (along with profit) it's being handed to corporate ownership as we speak.
Sat May 31, 2014, 12:11 AM
May 2014

The murder of net neutrality
http://www.democraticunderground.com/?com=view_post&forum=1002&pid=4903646

Obama's Crony Capitalism will Kill Net Neutrality. *New* FCC Staff in bed with ISP's
http://www.democraticunderground.com/10024906730

It's too dangerous to the corporate PTB the way it is.

.
 

Arugula Latte

(50,566 posts)
68. People dump on Facebook, but I believe it has been instrumental in spreading a lot of good messages.
Sat May 31, 2014, 01:12 PM
May 2014

I see all sorts of straight people (myself included) posting things in support of gay marriage. After awhile, it starts to "normalize" that view to even many of the bubble-living church-going types who usually don't hear opposing views.

Religious belief and church affiliation is dropping more rapidly now, too, and that has a lot to do with the Internet as well.

Kath1

(4,309 posts)
30. Yes!
Sat May 31, 2014, 12:04 AM
May 2014

Friend of mine just told me she was at a family gathering where an older relative was going through the RW talking points about Obama "scandals." She said her two daughters, age 22 and 24, "heads were about to explode." Young people today don't want war and are opposed to the cancer of inequality. They are liberal and, yes, they voted for and still support Obama. This is encouraging news for ALL OF US!

Cha

(297,975 posts)
34. Oy! All the rw talking points sure make their way into people's heads who are
Sat May 31, 2014, 12:21 AM
May 2014

susceptible to the brainwashing. What a shame.

Very Encouraging.. Mahalo, Kath!

Kath1

(4,309 posts)
37. It is a shame and most of those people are elderly.
Sat May 31, 2014, 01:02 AM
May 2014

They want to go back to the society of the 1950s and most of us DON'T.

Peace is better than war. Women should have control over their own bodies. Racism and sexism are intolerable. The environment needs to be protected. Adults who love one another should be able to marry. These are just a few "liberal" concepts. I'm very happy that our President is a liberal and I find it VERY encouraging that the country, especially the young, are moving in that direction.

treestar

(82,383 posts)
17. It's a good thing alone not to have conservative backlash
Fri May 30, 2014, 08:26 PM
May 2014

If we can get another Dem President that will mean people aren't getting tired of liberalism. That leads to more liberals.

FSogol

(45,580 posts)
20. and will have great repercussions for the supreme Court.
Fri May 30, 2014, 09:04 PM
May 2014

We need another 12 years of Democratic Presidents.

Cha

(297,975 posts)
35. Yeah, maybe they've seen what the "conservatives" are up to .. and they want Nothing to do with
Sat May 31, 2014, 12:23 AM
May 2014

that bullshit backlash.

Jamastiene

(38,187 posts)
21. I hope it continues to go more liberal.
Fri May 30, 2014, 09:07 PM
May 2014

That would fix a lot in this country, but only if we could keep liberals or at least left of center presidents and congresses for more than just two terms. If we could have sustained Democratic presidents back to back, serving two terms each, that *might* by enough time to fix all of Bush's nonsense. Obama has made as much progress as is to be expected, but eight years will not be long enough to fix all of Bush's nightmarish nonsense.

 

Armstead

(47,803 posts)
41. Dont forget Clintons nonsense
Sat May 31, 2014, 02:00 AM
May 2014

Deregulation of finance in 1990 -- Crash of 2008

Direct cause and effect.

Bush only helped the damage along.

 

Armstead

(47,803 posts)
52. The statement thst it was Bush who caused all the damage
Sat May 31, 2014, 07:05 AM
May 2014

It was in response to the notion that all our problems are due to BUsh and tge GOP

In the long picture, Clinton did a lot of damage, which made Bush's job much easier.

I agree with the poster that we need consistent period for a liberal or center left governance to undo the damage.

Alas, in terms of policies related to the economy and distribution of weakth and power, we haven't hsd that with either Clinton or Obama or many of the Dems in Congress



 

butterfly77

(17,609 posts)
23. Most of the so called conservative/republiCONS...
Fri May 30, 2014, 09:45 PM
May 2014

are really liberal they just hate certain racial groups so they will vote against their own best interests when they really believe in what the Dems run on and never implement once they take office...

jwirr

(39,215 posts)
29. IMO that is good news - they are beginning to understand that we have no place else to go at this
Fri May 30, 2014, 10:51 PM
May 2014

point. GOTV.

 

davidn3600

(6,342 posts)
46. Not real sure if it's getting more liberal or if the GOP is just more unpopular
Sat May 31, 2014, 02:39 AM
May 2014

Really the GOP is a bit of a mess.

McCamy Taylor

(19,240 posts)
51. Bingo. Citizens United blew up in their faces.
Sat May 31, 2014, 04:11 AM
May 2014

With a handful of crazy billionaires controlling the GOP---i.e the "Tea Party"---no one wants to be "conservative". Cause conservatives spell "Moron" m-o-r-a-n. And who wants to be ridiculous?

Obama is a normal Democrat. A normal Democrat looks stellar compared to the Tea Party crowd. Ask anyone "Who would you rather be? Obama? Or the guy carrying the "moran" sign?" He is gonna say Obama.

Sort of like the Great Depression made FDR look good, because who wouldn't look good after Hoover? Oh, almost forgot. Who wouldn't look good after Dumbya? After eight years of a selected not elected Chimp-in-Chief, Americans love having a president that does not embarrass them, one that actually makes them feel good about their country.

Obama is basically the JFK of the 21st century but smarter and not a philanderer. And the Republicans are the Keystone Cops.

 

Armstead

(47,803 posts)
56. But the Keystone Kops are getting their way and their backers are winning
Sat May 31, 2014, 09:47 AM
May 2014

The narrative continues to be that we have to let the wealthy and Big Corporations shirk their social and economic responsibilities to society -- and therefore public programs are starved and the "deficit" drives endless cuts.

Many people may be getting sick of Joe the Plumber, but the people who are footing his bills continue to bamboozle us and rob us and drive the basic "conventional wisdom."

McCamy Taylor

(19,240 posts)
73. The Keystone Cops--by definition---never get their way.
Sat May 31, 2014, 03:45 PM
May 2014

The Tea Party is over. The conventional wisdom is that the 1% is not fit to run the country and has no right to run the country. I expect to see the uber-rich hiding their wealth and giving their wives tractors for Christmas very soon to prove that they are just plain folks like you and me.

 

Doctor_J

(36,392 posts)
66. Really? Are they losing a lot of elections I am not hearing about?
Sat May 31, 2014, 11:58 AM
May 2014

Not getting corporate-friendly legislation? Losing profits?

Your subject line is preposterous.

azurnoir

(45,850 posts)
58. well perhaps there's something to thank our
Sat May 31, 2014, 10:06 AM
May 2014

Tea run House of Reps for after all-I'll happily give them credit for this

cstanleytech

(26,347 posts)
62. I was thinking the same thing actually.
Sat May 31, 2014, 11:45 AM
May 2014

It kinda makes sense to because except for a brief period congress has been under republican control for years.

RainDog

(28,784 posts)
80. Not to mention the overwhelming disgust
Sat May 31, 2014, 06:29 PM
May 2014

the American people expressed when the teabaggers were willing to create a global financial crisis because they can't be petty tyrants.

But these sorts of actions will allow the Democratic Party to have a more viable left as the teabaggers crash and burn the Republican vehicle.

A lot of people see the Republican Party now as the party of hate.

That's all they focus their attention on - hatred that Americans overwhelmingly do not support their political views, in spite of their gerrymandering attempts to pretend they're anything other than a public nuisance.

 

Doctor_J

(36,392 posts)
64. It's been a conservative 6 years, so there is some natural pushback
Sat May 31, 2014, 11:53 AM
May 2014

If people want to completely absolve the president from any contribution to that, that's fine, but the point of the typical trend is that the populace tend to react to the trajectory of the government. The government has become more conservative/corporate since 2009 (bank bailouts, no prosecutions of the really big criminals, corporate health care, drone murder, NDAA, for-profit schools), so people are reacting to that.

 

1StrongBlackMan

(31,849 posts)
69. Sorry, that narrative is less compelling than ...
Sat May 31, 2014, 02:45 PM
May 2014

What non - DUer are actually saying ... that they like the direction this presidency has attempted to take us, but for the gop, and would like to see more progressive legislation, now that they are seeing it as possible.

 

Doctor_J

(36,392 posts)
71. So the DC Dems will seize on this wonderful news and shift to a full-throated populist campaign
Sat May 31, 2014, 03:37 PM
May 2014

from now until 2014, then, after being swept into office, will enact a FDR/JFK/LBJ agenda in anticipation of even more gains in 2016!!!!111!1ones!!



I can be pretty funny sometimes.

McCamy Taylor

(19,240 posts)
74. Rephrase that: the Dems will mobilize the base to get out the vote.
Sat May 31, 2014, 04:10 PM
May 2014

And then it no longer sounds so far fetched.

So, yes, we are going to see a whole lot of executive action on a whole lot of issues that members of the Democratic base hold near and dear. Why do you think that Obama suddenly got over his cold feet on gays in the military and gay marriage? Dems win by increasing their own voter turnout. And results were astounding. By showing that they had a spine on that issue which the GOP claimed to have made taboo, the administration caused a 180 degree change in public opinion.

By turning Gay Rights into the Civil Rights of the 21st century, Obama and the Democrats have revitalized the party. Americans love this about the Dems--the fact that we stand up for everyone. That we stand for fairness. So, we will see the administration stand up for voting fairness, pay fairness, fairness for immigrants, fairness for the aged----

Oh, and I am going to toot my own horn a little. Back in 2010, when Citizens United caught everyone by surprise for the first and only time (Dems are now raising money as fast as the GOP) and the GOP regained the House, I advised the president to start using his executive superpowers to overcome the inevitable gridlock and wall to wall House hearings which I knew were on the horizons. It took him a while, but I am glad that he and his staff finally came around to my way of thinking:

http://journals.democraticunderground.com/McCamy%20Taylor/556

Here's for you, Mr. President, this blond is no Marilyn Monroe, but she loves you (and especially Michelle ) all the same

 

Doctor_J

(36,392 posts)
75. The people are getting more liberal. They will not come out vote for TPP, KXL, for-profit schools,
Sat May 31, 2014, 04:22 PM
May 2014

and more fracking. If the DC Dems, including Obama and Hillary, want to capitalize on this news, they need to actually respond to the peoples' needs. The Fan Club seems to think that GOTV means driving people to the polling place. It doesn't. It means explaining what they're getting for their vote. Right now that is almost nothing. As to your list

Re-establish the "Fairness Doctrine".

Bring the troops home from Afghanistan.

Prosecute voting rights violations.

Cut drug prices for Americans by having the FDA ok imports.

Prosecute banksters who throw people out of their homes illegally.

Appoint a special prosecutor to investigate foreign money in U.S. elections.

Make Halliburton give back money that was paid for shoddy---and lethal---work in Iraq.

End the two year waiting period that people with medical disabilities face before they can get Medicare.

No government contracts for companies which outsource.


None of these have happened, nor are they going to happen.

Politicub

(12,165 posts)
95. GOTV! It's just getting started for the dems
Sun Jun 1, 2014, 01:16 PM
Jun 2014

I wouldn't say the blockbuster 20% reduction in carbon emissions EO is the first volley in the GOTV strategy, but it's sure part of it.

More to come!

Also, keep your eye on GA. We have a very strong den senate candidate, Michelle Nunn. The republican race to the bottom sideshow isn't yet getting the kind of coverage it will for the general. They are writing ads for us.

The republican's own words will turn people off to them and draw a stark contrast between reasonable and nuts.

Flatpicker

(894 posts)
81. Not sure
Sat May 31, 2014, 06:42 PM
May 2014

I think millenniumism may have played a factor in shifting the populace very far right.
Now we are just getting back to normal.

loudsue

(14,087 posts)
103. The right wing MEDIA is the reason the masses don't recognize what they LIKE
Tue Jun 3, 2014, 10:58 AM
Jun 2014

(about Obama's foreign policy, ObamaCare, and his economic policies) about Obama, because the media will not allow the truth to be spoken. This country has become propaganda central.

Latest Discussions»General Discussion»America Is Becoming a Bit...