General Discussion
Related: Editorials & Other Articles, Issue Forums, Alliance Forums, Region ForumsDow up 100+ and holding.
For a variety of reasons, the DJIA jumped over the 13,000 hurdle at the open this morning and is up above 13060 and seems to be leveling there.
On Edit: Pulled link, since DU didn't parse it correctly. You know how to see the chart, anyhow, if it interests you.
TheWraith
(24,331 posts)MineralMan
(146,317 posts)The overall trend is up. Folks seem to be feeling bullish.
Disclaimer: I have absolutely no money invested in the market. It's an indicator only.
TheWraith
(24,331 posts)Loudmxr
(1,405 posts)For a Marxist(Groucho) Leninist, Kenyan, fascist, communist out to destroy America.. he is not doing a very good job of it.
Our President has been very good to me financially. That is why only a few put money into his opponents campaigns. Do me a favor and let's re elect him.
Tarheel_Dem
(31,235 posts)I also heard the other day that we've somehow pretty much insulated ourselves from the Greek debt crisis, and any fallout that may occur. I just remember months ago that economists, on NPR, were on edge because of the possible impact a Greek default would have on our own economy. I admit I don't fully grasp these complicated economic issues, but I wondered how they've gone from near panic, to now saying it won't be nearly as bad as we had predicted?
MineralMan
(146,317 posts)and less concern about the Fed in one story. I'm not certain, but it appears that the market is a little more optimistic today, for whatever reason. I'm just posting the DJIA as a point of data, for those who are interested. It seems to be a leading indicator of several things, from a historical viewpoint, and a lagging indicator of other things. I just find it interesting, and tend to look at the average from the perspective of a long-term smoothed curve. For some time, that curve has been moving up.
Tarheel_Dem
(31,235 posts)I know I do.
MineralMan
(146,317 posts)MadHound
(34,179 posts)All it truly means is that those thirty, count them, thirty corporations are, for various reasons, doing better today than they were yesterday.
Trying to use the DOW as some sort of economic barometer has always been a sucker's game, because the variables that make the DOW rise and fall are far too many and too many are counter-indicative. For instance, if a corporation announces seven thousand layoffs, that usually means that companies DOW price is going to rise, perhaps even skyrocket, since that corporation's cost of doing business went down. But in the real economy, especially in the town(s) where those jobs were lost, an uptick is not a good thing, and can erode at the local, regional, even national economic well being.
All that a hundred point jump means is that the rich got richer, and thirty corporations are doing well. That's it.
MineralMan
(146,317 posts)I posted it as a data point. You're welcome to interpret it in any way you choose. I did not interpret it at all. It is the current state of one measure of the economy. Make of it whatever you will.
MadHound
(34,179 posts)MineralMan
(146,317 posts)I look at it on a five-year basis, as a smoothed curve. That curve is trending upwards, and has been for some time now. That's a good thing.
I'm not sure why you're taking exception with my posting of this data point, but knock yourself out, I guess.
MadHound
(34,179 posts)I'm not taking exception with your posting of this, I'm simply pointing out that a hundred point swing isn't any sort of reliable economic indicator.
Why are you upset that I'm pointing out that simple fact?
MineralMan
(146,317 posts)I posted the information. Everyone can decide how to think about it.
I'm not upset in any way. You think it's unimportant, and that's just fine with me. I think the over all trend is very important for a number of reasons. After a bit of a dip, the DJIA is continuing a curve that I believe is an indicator of recovery. But, I did not say any of that in my post. I merely posted the data. As you know, I'm not in the least bashful about posting analysis when I think it's warranted. I did not analyze in any way in my OP. I just posted the day's trend.
eridani
(51,907 posts)MineralMan
(146,317 posts)The DJIA is a marker for the economy. One needn't have any money invested or any money at all, for that matter, to look at market numbers to see how the economy seems to be doing. The stock market is up a lot since Obama took office. That is a sign of recovery. I have no money in the market at all, but I do watch this indicator, among others, to see how the general economy is doing, and how confidence levels are faring. That affects my small business of writing web site content for small businesses. If people are confident, they improve their websites and I eat.
It's just a point of data that, when combined with lots of other points of data, point toward a recovering economy. That helps everyone.
eridani
(51,907 posts)Of course the economy is recovering. The problem is the appalling New Normal that it is recovering TO.
SmellyFeet
(162 posts)It also goes down when the DOW goes down. I'm certainly not rich or anywhere near well off, so it's not just the top corporations or 1% that benefit.
Nye Bevan
(25,406 posts)So one thousand, count them, one thousand corporations are doing better today than they were yesterday.
Higher stock prices mean a lower cost of equity capital for companies. In other words, it is easier for them to raise money to expand, which of course creates jobs. The run up in the stock market indicates a huge vote of confidence in Obama's policies.
eridani
(51,907 posts)--since a year after the start of the recession. With nearly all the reccovery gains going to the 1%, the only TRUE job creators still don't have the money to spend. With few anticipated customers, why would companies want to produce more? The 2010 census indicated that 48% of American families are either low income or outright poor. That means that half the population has almost no discretionary income.
Zalatix
(8,994 posts)The rest of America? Well, we've got jobs coming back, but they're all low paying bullshit.
Guess what's next? Austerity. Lots of it.
brooklynite
(94,604 posts)C'mon, give me some of that iPad bashing.
cbdo2007
(9,213 posts)Shoudl be back to the lower 500s by summer....
brooklynite
(94,604 posts)...hardly a difference.
Actually what I do is donate 100 shares each year as charitable contributions, which avoids the Capital Gains tax, then buy the shares back.