PPP Report on VA Early Voting

[RandySF]

Date: October 22, 2013

A new Public Policy Polling survey of early voters in the Virginia Governor’s race finds Terry McAuliffe building up a large early lead. He’s at 57% to 39% for Ken Cuccinelli and 3% for Robert Sarvis among those who have already cast their ballots. The numbers are a mirror image of the 2009 early voting results. Last time around BobMcDonnell won them by an 18 point margin over Creigh Deeds, 59/41. This time the 18 point lead is on the Democratic side.Key findings from the survey include:

-McAuliffe has a wide lead over Cuccinelli among independent voters at 54/37. He alsohas his party more unified around him, getting 87% of Democrats compared to Cuccinelli’s 84% of Republicans.

-McAuliffe’s building a particularly substantial lead with female voters, getting 60% who have voted so far compared to 36% for Cuccinelli. The early vote numbers also suggestthat McAuliffe is performing far better among white voters than Democrats normally doin Virginia. He has a 55/41 advantage with those who have already voted.

- There’s been a lot of speculation that Libertarian Robert Sarvis will not end up getting as
much support at the ballot box as he’s been showing in the polls. His 3% standing amongthose who have already voted confirms that, but McAuliffe’s large overall lead indicatesthat a decline in support for Sarvis doesn’t do much for Cuccinelli’s prospects.


http://www.scribd.com/doc/178109125/VA-Gov-PPP-for-LCV-Oct-2013-Early-Voters-Only

[TexasTowelie]

1. It looks like they are going to have to eliminate early voting in Virginia.

It's a socialist plot so that Democrats can reign as tyrants.

[freshwest]

3. Hey! You weren't supposed to tell! No red star for you this month, comrade!

[TexasTowelie]

5. So much for my mint on the pillow in the gulag.

[Cha]

2. Good!

[freshwest]

4. Ain't it though? They need to clean out the whole house in VA!

Women in VA remember this display in the house of government there...

[Squinch]

6. Who, in the name of God, are the women voting for that imbecile?

[FarCenter]

7. Libertarian Sarvis injects freshness into Virginia governor’s race forum

RICHMOND — The Republican and the Democrat were there again, along with their well-worn lines. But for once, they shared the stage with the Libertarian, whose very presence Saturday made the race for Virginia governor feel fresh with little more than a week to go before Election Day.

...

It was Sarvis who grabbed the most attention, if only because he had so rarely been in the limelight. He said that both major parties had failed the country and that it was time for something new: someone who supports both smaller government, as Cuccinelli does, and socially liberal policies, as McAuliffe does — the only candidate, as Sarvis put it, who is “both open-minded and open for business.”

http://www.washingtonpost.com/local/virginia-politics/libertarian-sarvis-injects-fresh-face-into-va-governors-race-forum/2013/10/26/15cddd32-3e67-11e3-b7ba-503fb5822c3e_story.html

Sarvis may do well enough that McAuliffe wins with less than 50% of the vote.