General Discussion
Related: Editorials & Other Articles, Issue Forums, Alliance Forums, Region ForumsOK, what are your Ouija Boards & Tarot cards saying? How's this gonna end?
Give it your best shot. Will we go all the way to default? Will the Republicans cave by the end of the week?
And what will be the longer-term consequences?
grasswire
(50,130 posts)I fear the worst: the 17th is their Reichstag and they go all out for the coup. Total chaos.
truebluegreen
(9,033 posts)Followed by Republican meltdown and split in Republican house, followed by ouster of Boehner and election of a "moderate" (relative term) to speakership. Followed by some semblance of work. edit: long term disarray on Republican side of the aisle; Rs lose the House in 2014
I know; I have my rose-colored glasses on today.
edit: Oops. Meant to reply to original post.
grasswire
(50,130 posts)Agnosticsherbet
(11,619 posts)My Tarot Deck deals only 'The Tower.' I think it's scared shitless.
Jackpine Radical
(45,274 posts)The archetypal significance of that card haunts me with its eerie connection to 9-11.
Myrina
(12,296 posts)Jackpine Radical
(45,274 posts)Another instantiation of the archetype.
Motown_Johnny
(22,308 posts)Democrats will not move and Teabaggers will not move. There is no other way out.
I think this could end next week. The DJI is dropping steadily and now even Bloomberg is saying that the Republicans are no longer the party of business.
My guess is that this goes another 5-6 days and ends around Tuesday of next week (give or take a day). Hopefully the Sunday shows will help bring enough light to the subject that the (R)s decide to move sooner rather than later.
Then the debt ceiling fight... I think it will go fairly smoothly simply because of the momentum from this fight. The Teabaggers will be screaming, crying and holding their breath until they turn blue but what else is new?
Long term... All the (R)s who do the right thing get primary challengers from the far right and the final showdown between the Teabaggers and the traditional Republicans will kick off. Eventually the Teabaggers win and the Republican party becomes a southern regional party by 2022.
randome
(34,845 posts)They will forever be viewed as second-rate.
[hr][font color="blue"][center]Don't ever underestimate the long-term effects of a good night's sleep.[/center][/font][hr]
Bjorn Against
(12,041 posts)A lot of people are losing money off this shut down, and there is no doubt that some of the Republican donors who own corporations that happen to be major government contractors are losing huge amounts of money every day this shut down goes on. Once the big money sources threaten to pull funds from Republican campaigns this shutdown will end, the Republicans may not listen to the people but they do listen to the money.
Berlum
(7,044 posts)There you have it.
dipsydoodle
(42,239 posts).
Jackpine Radical
(45,274 posts)TeamPooka
(24,226 posts)Jackpine Radical
(45,274 posts)IQ can't take negative values.
TeamPooka
(24,226 posts)mnhtnbb
(31,389 posts)All hell will break loose and it will be the end of the Republican Party as we know it.
Somebody like Colin Powell will be recruited to start a new party--the Republicans having
been doomed by the Tea Baggers to never again be accorded any respect--and the country
will then, finally, with the moderates and fundie right wingers split, begin to move to the left.
I can dream, can't I?
ladjf
(17,320 posts)wrong that I can't have much hope for a realistic ending ending to this disaster.
JCMach1
(27,558 posts)that's the dangerous part...
Agnosticsherbet
(11,619 posts)(Link to the Letter.)
So this was clearly their choice, not a retreat.
It being a choice, they must have considered what they want and what they will accept. The question is, can the whole Republican Caucus hold together?
So far they have.
Jackpine Radical
(45,274 posts)I wonder, though, if they didn't expect the Administration to back down & give them some goodies to take home in exchange for ending the hostage situation.
If my suspicion is correct, one wonders how long they will persist in their delusion. As has been pointed out, the Big Money Guys who fund them are getting very unhappy with the potential for default, the public isn't buying their bullshit, and things are just generally getting worse for them.
There are some interesting recent psychological findings about the effect of presenting delusional people with facts that overwhelmingly contradict the delusions. Turns out that they just harden their attachment to their wrongheaded beliefs.
Agnosticsherbet
(11,619 posts)least until the debt ceiling is hit between October 18 and November 5.
If it runs much longer we may be looking at another Republican led economic depression as countries around the world feel the pinch.
Jackpine Radical
(45,274 posts)as a threat to international well-being.
RiffRandell
(5,909 posts)Can I kindly suggest getting through this as a united front with Republicans as our common enemy, then fight out who is more right or left?
Please, please, give OUR party (unless yours is different) the respect and support it needs right now?
Jackpine Radical
(45,274 posts)Last edited Thu Oct 3, 2013, 05:05 PM - Edit history (1)
I see the Republicans as the sum and total cause of the approaching shipwreck. We should not give in to them and their insane tactics.
Here is a post from a couple of days ago that expresses my thought on the situation:
http://www.democraticunderground.com/10023751265
RiffRandell
(5,909 posts)Glad we agree.
Jackpine Radical
(45,274 posts)I meant that the gang of Republican mutineers who grabbed control of the wheelhouse are doing dangerous, stupid and unconscionable things that have potentially disastrous consequences far beyond our national borders, and the whole world stands at risk of suffering due to their criminal recklessness.
winter is coming
(11,785 posts)That they're now trying to minimize what happened by claiming it's not really a shutdown, just a reduction of nonessential personnel, that tells me that they know their actions aren't playing well. At this point, I think some of them would like to back gracefully out of this mess, while others are going to brazen it out.
lanlady
(7,134 posts)The shutdown ends by Columbus Day, following pandemonium in money markets around the world.
The whole mess brings down the Speaker of the House. No more free whiskey for you, Boner.
A pissed-off Federal workforce delivers Terry McCauliffe a crushing victory over Cuccinelli in the Va. governor's race, sending a strong signal that the Tea-tards have run their course, at least here in the civilized world.
Dems pick up some seats in the House in 2014 but not enough for a majority. Stalemate in Congress continues.
2015: Machinery of government starts to gear up for 2016. More stalemate, nothing gets done.
2016: Presidential. Stalemate to the max, even less gets done in Congress.
2018: Tea-tard remnants demand that Pres. Hillary Clinton defund programs for immigrants, or else they will shut down the government.
The Straight Story
(48,121 posts)Quatrain XLII:44
"An annoying orange fell to the ground in the year of two popes as the people of Syria rage in sickness from the skies. Two houses clamor, nation falters, the health of people in a balance, scales tilted by gold. A dark man in a foreign land will stand in a high place and the elephants will scatter, trampling the waters of the sea."
45
"Eyes to the sky closed in lust for gold, a fire burns unseen at seventy and seven degrees, old violence in the lands of Tripolitania falls silent and the trees are no longer visited. Old paper waxes hot with voices raging in the halls while warriors weep at stone tombs. Voices cry out, drowned by a flood in the air."
46
"In those days the battle will wane and the fruit tree's branches will be shaken. Oranges and nuts will spill to the ground, rotted from within. Some will still eat of them and enjoy their bitterness, the rest washed away as the sea tides."
Jackpine Radical
(45,274 posts)Now can you reverse-engineer it into 16th-century French?
The Straight Story
(48,121 posts)"Une orange ennuyeux est tombé au sol dans l'année de deux papes comme le peuple de Syrie rage dans la maladie du ciel. Deux maisons clameur, nation faiblit, la santé des personnes dans une balance, échelles inclinées par l'or. Un homme sombre dans un pays étranger se tiendra dans un lieu élevé et les éléphants se disperser, piétinant les eaux de la mer ".
45
"Les yeux vers le ciel fermé en soif de l'or, un feu brûle invisible à soixante-dix et sept degrés, vieux violence dans les terres de la Tripolitaine se tait et les arbres ne sont plus visité. Vieux cires de papier chaud avec des voix qui font rage dans les couloirs tandis que les guerriers pleurer à tombeaux de pierre. voix crient, se sont noyées par une inondation en l'air ".
46
«En ces jours de la bataille s'estompera et les branches de l'arbre fruitier seront ébranlées. Oranges et les noix se répercutera sur le sol, pourri de l'intérieur. Certains vont encore manger d'entre eux et profiter de leur amertume, le reste emporté comme les marées de la mer. "
pnwmom
(108,978 posts)will pull the cords on the 14th Amendment parachute (the parachute he's not admitting he's wearing yet).
RebelOne
(30,947 posts)Maybe I will check things out and see what the cards say.
Jackpine Radical
(45,274 posts)I have a weakness for cartomancy--and, a deep, dark secret--I once wrote a book on the Runes (published years ago by Thorsons).
nadinbrzezinski
(154,021 posts)It just feels different from 17 years ago. It's more, radical. It almost feels like a coup