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ProSense

(116,464 posts)
Wed Feb 22, 2012, 11:52 AM Feb 2012

AP-Gfk poll: Obama leads all Republicans

Another Poll Shows Obama Leading All GOP Challengers

The latest AP-Gfk poll serves as further confirmation that Barack Obama has emerged as the early frontrunner in the 2012 presidential election, with the survey showing the president topping all four potential Republican general election opponents.

In the nationwide survey of adults. Obama breaks the 50 percent threshold in every hypothetical general election matchup, perhaps most importantly against his two most likely GOP challengers. The president bests Mitt Romney, 51 percent to 43 percent, and Rick Santorum, 52 percent to 43 percent.

Boosted by recent good economic news and a contentious Republican nomination battle, Obama has held an advantage over Romney in our TPM Poll Average since the beginning of the new year.

http://livewire.talkingpointsmemo.com/entries/another-poll-shows-obama-leading-all-gop-challengers


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AP-Gfk poll: Obama leads all Republicans (Original Post) ProSense Feb 2012 OP
I like this trend. With any luck, they'll bang each other up enough to knock their numbers under 40 Tarheel_Dem Feb 2012 #1
Poll Robbins Feb 2012 #2
I'm reading Game Change, and both sides were poll fanatics. What struck me is that the night gateley Feb 2012 #3
Game Change Robbins Feb 2012 #5
I agree -- I was riveted during the Democratic part, but then I could put faces to all the gateley Feb 2012 #7
50% & above is just golden. Pirate Smile Feb 2012 #4
Good news. Scurrilous Feb 2012 #6
Good, though it won't stop politicasista Feb 2012 #8

Robbins

(5,066 posts)
2. Poll
Wed Feb 22, 2012, 12:04 PM
Feb 2012

It shows the Gallup/USA Today poll they talked about last night on countdown Is a outliner.Of course I always consider USA Today/Gallup an outliner.After Republican convention In 2008 they had Mccain with double diget lead over Obama.

The trend Is clear here.Obama Is frontrunner to win the election.Republicans are talking about Social Issues because they know the
economy Is Improving.Romney Is releasing another Tax plan to get some attention.

The more people hear about Romney they less they like him.Independents are turning on Romney.

gateley

(62,683 posts)
3. I'm reading Game Change, and both sides were poll fanatics. What struck me is that the night
Wed Feb 22, 2012, 01:36 PM
Feb 2012

before the Indiana and North Carolina primaries, Obama's internal polling showed that he'd be spanked in Indiana and it would be close in NC. The results had him losing by only 1 pt in Indiana, and he won with a hefty margin in NC.

This was the night before the voting -- how much more current could you get than that? And these guys were sweating it.

Throughout the book thus far, it's essentially polls are right some of the time, other times, not so right. Both sides had their surprises when polls hadn't given a closer reading on the actual results. Interesting.

Off note, I'm enjoying the book -- just finished the Democratic half, going to move in to the Republican cesspool. Ewww.

I know the book has been derided as being gossipy and unsourced, but I'm not taking any of the stuff as gospel -- it's mostly stuff we heard/saw/guessed during the primaries anyway. What I'm REALLY enjoying about it is that it's taking me through that time again -- I'd forgotten the ups and downs and "we're gonna win" and "we're toast" swings. Just a stroll down memory lane.

Robbins

(5,066 posts)
5. Game Change
Wed Feb 22, 2012, 01:59 PM
Feb 2012

I really wish the film wouldn't have Ignored the Democratic race to focus on the trainwreck of Palin.

Obama's rise would make a great film.Hopefully someday someone in Hollywood will come to that decsion.Doing Obama VS Hillary
fight for the nomination would be more Intresting film than one on Palin.

gateley

(62,683 posts)
7. I agree -- I was riveted during the Democratic part, but then I could put faces to all the
Wed Feb 22, 2012, 08:25 PM
Feb 2012

names like Plouffe, Axelrod, etc. Kind of boring in the McCain portion and the only person I've heard of (besides Lieberman and Graham!) is that Steve guy who appears w/Rachel as the Republican voice. He's pretty damn smart. I just hate Palin so much, maybe that's why I'm not enjoying this section as much. But on the whole, I'm really glad I'm reading it.

politicasista

(14,128 posts)
8. Good, though it won't stop
Wed Feb 22, 2012, 08:57 PM
Feb 2012

haters from bashing people like Gore and Kerry just to praise Obama and Clinton for being so strong as candidates while the latter were so "weak", said the MSM.

Go figure.

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