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Cleita

(75,480 posts)
Sun Jul 21, 2013, 02:18 PM Jul 2013

Yikes! Do we want Fukushima right here on the coast of California?

Just got this my email:

Map of earthquake faults underneath this nuclear plant

[URL=.html][IMG][/IMG][/URL]

Here

[URL=.html][IMG][/IMG][/URL]

This was actually titled cynically as "El Diablo all cracked up" by the sender.

Articles accompanying this in one of our local press, New Times:

All right, so maybe that’s not how it actually went down. That’s certainly how it would have gone down if the Nuclear Regulatory Commission were responsible for overseeing licensing to operate a motor vehicle. Fortunately, they’re just responsible for keeping an eye on nuclear plants, and I’m sure a car can do a lot more damage than a nuclear reactor. Worst-case scenario, our dry, brown hills turn a vibrant, radioactive green and our wildlife sprouts a spare eyeball or tentacle. Sounds like tourism gold, if you ask me.

As for the reason a concerned citizen might justifiably jump down the NRC’s throat for its lackadaisical oversight of nuclear reactors in general, and PG&E’s Diablo Canyon specifically: In the fall of 2011, against the recommendation of one of the few inspectors who seemed to be asking the right questions, the NRC agreed to allow PG&E to eliminate two out of three of its seismic safety requirements because the company knew it couldn’t meet them. That’s like the person administering the driving test for the DMV eliminating the requirement that I signal before turning because I don’t know how to flick a blinker. Of course, lowering the standards at the DMV might result in a fender bender, whereas worst-case scenarios for Diablo involve everyone dying from radiation poisoning. Hopefully we’ll all grow flippers first.

The timing of this decision—a mere seven months after the Fukushima disaster, seven months after the world realized what could happen if we don’t take these things seriously—doesn’t do much to mitigate the impression that the NRC is once again bending over for PG&E, at everyone’s expense. It’s actually not all that surprising that PG&E is playing dirty here. They are, after all, going to milk the taxpayers for every penny we’re willing to pay, for as long as we’re willing to pay, whether they’re using a nuclear plant that meets the most stringent safety requirements or not. The real villain is the so-called regulatory commission, which has become indistinguishable from PG&E’s PR company.

“PG&E chose not to do all three [tests] because it’s a waste of money,” said one PG&E spokesperson—er, I mean NRC branch chief. It’s so easy to get the two mixed up sometimes. In fact, if you removed the attribution from “Calculatory garbage” (page 10), I’ll bet you couldn’t differentiate the PG&E spokespeople from the people being paid to oversee and regulate PG&E. Given what’s at stake, that’s a bit of a problem. Referring to tests that assess safety standards at a nuclear plant as “a waste of money” is bad enough if you’re a PG&E employee. Coming from the “regulator,” it’s downright ludicrous. Throw in the fact that a PG&E supervisor wanted to use an NRC seismologist who’s “on our side”—and in case you’re dense, the “our” they’re referring to is not the ratepayer or the average citizen, but PG&E—in an argument with the one NRC inspector who actually seemed to take his job seriously, and the situation escalates from ludicrous to outrageous.
more at link

http://www.newtimesslo.com/shredder/9677/regulatory-meltdown/

And

'Calculational garbage'

Did the NRC allow PG&E to dodge Diablo Canyon seismic licensing requirements?

BY MATT FOUNTAIN

Did Pacific Gas & Electric sidestep what some people consider to be critical seismic requirements for Diablo Canyon nuclear power plant following the discovery of the Shoreline Fault? Whether that’s even a valid question to raise depends on to whom you’re talking.

The U.S. Geological Survey’s 2008 Shoreline discovery prompted PG&E to quickly assess whether the fault—a roughly 12-kilometer-deep, 24-kilometer-long vertical strike-slip that intersects with the nearby Hosgri fault to the north, and lies some 600 meters from the plant’s power block—is capable of producing an earthquake large enough to damage vital plant components.

A subsequent PG&E report found that the Shoreline is capable of producing up to a magnitude 6.1 earthquake. The plant was built to withstand a 7.5-magnitude event.

But practical application of knowledge of the fault, as well as a hazy grasp on how it could interact with neighboring faults, turned into a years-long internal Nuclear Regulatory Commission debate focusing on the plant’s seismic safety design basis.

An operable plant’s safety components must be theoretically capable of functioning even after the impact from seismic events likely to occur at a facility given its known neighborhood hazards. Most plants have two design basis testing requirements to meet. Diablo Canyon is the only plant in the country required to meet three requirements: the Design Earthquake (DE), the Double Design Earthquake (DDE), and the Hosgri Event (HE). They differ by something called dampening assumptions, which are standards for how the plant’s components react to different ground motions. The DDE is considered the most conservative criteria, in that it’s the hardest to pass.
more at link

http://www.newtimesslo.com/news/9668/calculational-garbage/

I am frankly stunned about the lack of concern about this by the entities who could do something about this, PG & E and the NRC.
95 replies = new reply since forum marked as read
Highlight: NoneDon't highlight anything 5 newestHighlight 5 most recent replies
Yikes! Do we want Fukushima right here on the coast of California? (Original Post) Cleita Jul 2013 OP
... Cleita Jul 2013 #1
Thanks...it's not only CA...but what comes to You comes eventually to East Coast... KoKo Jul 2013 #2
Yes. It will pollute across the USA and up and down the west coast. Cleita Jul 2013 #5
That 2nd picture just looks like they passed it (zoomed) through a photoshop paint filter or two Electric Monk Jul 2013 #3
Whatever. Cleita Jul 2013 #4
That's incorrect. FBaggins Jul 2013 #6
The nuke plant is not safe, even if it were sitting on a faultless terrain. Cleita Jul 2013 #9
It is safe dbackjon Jul 2013 #13
I'm not so sure about that any longer NickB79 Jul 2013 #15
You should still laugh dbackjon Jul 2013 #16
You obviously didn't read the link I posted NickB79 Jul 2013 #18
I did read entire article dbackjon Jul 2013 #20
Have you read this yet? NickB79 Jul 2013 #32
Quite a bit of difference between injecting fluids at a high pressure directily into a fault zone dbackjon Jul 2013 #33
"Climate change is not causing any more earthquakes???" darkangel218 Jul 2013 #55
So you think climate change is causing 8.0 earthquakes? dbackjon Jul 2013 #65
Sorry... that's just imaginary nonsense. FBaggins Jul 2013 #19
The evidence is all around us. Do not try to minimize it. Cleita Jul 2013 #21
Thank you agent Mulder FBaggins Jul 2013 #41
I don't know why you are apologizing for this industry. n/t Cleita Jul 2013 #43
All these apologists should go live right next to a nuke plant. nt darkangel218 Jul 2013 #54
I live 50 miles downwind from the largest nuclear power plant in the United States. Gravitycollapse Jul 2013 #60
Maybe thats why youre in denial. darkangel218 Jul 2013 #63
I actually wrote a report about the safety violations at Palo Verde. Gravitycollapse Jul 2013 #64
Are you working in the industry then? darkangel218 Jul 2013 #67
Nope. I have absolutely no skin in the game. Gravitycollapse Jul 2013 #68
You write safety reports on nuke plants but have no skin in the game. darkangel218 Jul 2013 #69
By "report" I mean I wrote a report for an ecology class. Gravitycollapse Jul 2013 #71
Take a field trip to Chernobyl and speak to the people there. Or whats left of them. darkangel218 Jul 2013 #73
Chernobyl power station used deeply flawed and substantially outdated technology. Gravitycollapse Jul 2013 #77
Same plant as me. No fear here. dbackjon Jul 2013 #66
Are you trying to minimize the effects of the climate change?? darkangel218 Jul 2013 #56
Of course not FBaggins Jul 2013 #86
Yes, it can. Fukushima experienced extreme ground acceleration and was fine. Gravitycollapse Jul 2013 #50
Yep, that's exactly what it is. It's almost hilarious that people buy it. nt greyl Jul 2013 #93
Fukushima's meltdown was caused primarily by the tsunami NickB79 Jul 2013 #7
Oh, for chrissakes, tsunamis follow earthquakes. We are by the ocean and actually Cleita Jul 2013 #8
Most earthquakes do NOT generate tsunamis NickB79 Jul 2013 #12
Big ones do. But to take your ridiculous argument a step further. Cleita Jul 2013 #23
I have at no point said to ignore any dangers NickB79 Jul 2013 #31
That too is wrong. FBaggins Jul 2013 #39
Just the fact there is a chance should be a reason to decommission this plant. Cleita Jul 2013 #40
More imagination FBaggins Jul 2013 #42
Yes, tell all those people who survived Chernobyl and Fukushima that it's their Cleita Jul 2013 #44
Thanks for proving my point FBaggins Jul 2013 #45
I have plenty of analysis about this plant alone, studies on El Diablo, Cleita Jul 2013 #47
I am sooo relieved that earth quakes by themselves will never cause a nuclear catastrophy. L0oniX Jul 2013 #14
Re-read what I posted NickB79 Jul 2013 #17
And it makes me want to hurl when I think Le Taz Hot Jul 2013 #10
I know. It's awful and our government isn't doing anything about it. Cleita Jul 2013 #11
Better move upwind, I think. MineralMan Jul 2013 #22
Los Osos wouldn't be safe either. Half the nation wouldn't be safe. n/t Cleita Jul 2013 #24
Well, I moved to Minnesota. MineralMan Jul 2013 #25
They need to decommission the damn thing like they are doing to San Onofre and Humboldt up north. Cleita Jul 2013 #26
Yes, well, I protested it from the very beginning. MineralMan Jul 2013 #27
This is why I keep posting. I hope people realize what a danger a Fukushima event would be Cleita Jul 2013 #28
Oh, dear. Diablo Canyon has been in operation for how long now? MineralMan Jul 2013 #29
It will be if we get that large mag earthquake we have been promised, but it Cleita Jul 2013 #30
Yeah, but they are sniffing around your state to do some fracking. n/t Cleita Jul 2013 #38
We have nuclear plants here, too. MineralMan Jul 2013 #49
And with fracking you will have earthquakes so I hear. n/t Cleita Jul 2013 #51
We have tornadoes. I am familiar with quakes. MineralMan Jul 2013 #52
Thanks for the post, Cleita locks Jul 2013 #34
We the people have been saying no more, but PG & E and the Nuclear Regulatory Commission Cleita Jul 2013 #37
I'm pretty sure we knew it was sitting on fault lines LadyHawkAZ Jul 2013 #35
I actually know a couple of workers at El Diablo and yes it's a job Cleita Jul 2013 #36
You're kidding... right? FBaggins Jul 2013 #46
Get real. I was talking about what the experts thought would be a safe seismic Cleita Jul 2013 #48
The 5 largest earth quakes in California history occurred between 1680 and 1952 Gravitycollapse Jul 2013 #53
So then that is more reason to decommission this plant. Cleita Jul 2013 #57
Who said there would never be an earthquake over 6.0 magnitude? Gravitycollapse Jul 2013 #58
That's how the plant got built. This is what the people Cleita Jul 2013 #59
I need some evidence beyond your own claim. Gravitycollapse Jul 2013 #61
They have their own website. All their history, half truths and Cleita Jul 2013 #76
I can't find any claim by anyone that there would not be any earthquakes over 6.0 magnitude. Gravitycollapse Jul 2013 #79
Yes...it's concerning...and even we on the East Coast will be affected KoKo Jul 2013 #62
You will lose more life worrying about this dbackjon Jul 2013 #70
What are you, a psychic? how can you be so sure that plant will never have a melt down? darkangel218 Jul 2013 #72
Nuclear power plants are safer per terawatt/hour than any other form of power generation. Gravitycollapse Jul 2013 #74
For chrissakes, solar is much safer. Cleita Jul 2013 #75
Surprisingly enough, it actually is not. Gravitycollapse Jul 2013 #78
Solar does not contaminate a site for 50,0000 Cleita Jul 2013 #80
Didn't bother to read the link, did you? Deaths per terawatt/hour. Gravitycollapse Jul 2013 #85
Three Mile Island was basically the worst case scenario for American Nuke Plant dbackjon Jul 2013 #92
Diablo will soon follow San Onofre. El Supremo Jul 2013 #81
Yep. But I doubt if it will be PG & E and Duke Energy Cleita Jul 2013 #82
San Onofre is SoCal Edison. n/m El Supremo Jul 2013 #83
I was referring to El Diablo, but Edison should pay for San Onofre too, however, I doubt Cleita Jul 2013 #91
Thanks Cleita RobertEarl Jul 2013 #84
"Support Deployment of Nuclear Power Plants" suffragette Jul 2013 #87
I don't believe any of the assurances of those Cleita Jul 2013 #88
Right there with you Cleita suffragette Jul 2013 #89
I was reading that about the Hanford plant. Cleita Jul 2013 #90
Yes, it is terrible suffragette Jul 2013 #94
Chernobyl locks Jul 2013 #95

KoKo

(84,711 posts)
2. Thanks...it's not only CA...but what comes to You comes eventually to East Coast...
Sun Jul 21, 2013, 08:22 PM
Jul 2013

We are ALL IN IT...eventually!

Thanks for this post. It's something that isn't local...but, getting to be UNIVERSAL worry.

 

Electric Monk

(13,869 posts)
3. That 2nd picture just looks like they passed it (zoomed) through a photoshop paint filter or two
Sun Jul 21, 2013, 08:24 PM
Jul 2013

not a 'map of earthquake faults'.

Cleita

(75,480 posts)
4. Whatever.
Sun Jul 21, 2013, 08:29 PM
Jul 2013

The fact is that there are two major faults and many others of varying degrees right under it and that is a fact. The plant can't handle an seismic event more than 7.5 magnitude.

FBaggins

(26,742 posts)
6. That's incorrect.
Mon Jul 22, 2013, 02:43 PM
Jul 2013

People frequently misunderstand that, but the design basis earthquake for a nuclear plant is the level that it's designed to withstand without significant damage (i.e., returned to service a few weeks later after detailed inspections). It is not the level beyond which the plant "can't handle" it.

A pair of reactors in VA went through a beyond-design-basis earthquake a bit over a year ago... with essentially zero damage.

It would take substantially beyond a 7.5 to send the plant into meltdown... and 7.5 is already roughly ten times as powerful as the strongest quake that those faults are predicted to potentially deliver.

Cleita

(75,480 posts)
9. The nuke plant is not safe, even if it were sitting on a faultless terrain.
Mon Jul 22, 2013, 03:08 PM
Jul 2013

Considering that magnitude 8 earthquakes are being witnessed across the planet due to global climate change, it won't be hard for one to hit here. We have already had in excess 6+ magnitude.

 

dbackjon

(6,578 posts)
13. It is safe
Mon Jul 22, 2013, 03:29 PM
Jul 2013

And global climate change is NOT causing more earthquakes.


Sorry, but that is a magnitude 10 level of stupidity.

NickB79

(19,246 posts)
15. I'm not so sure about that any longer
Mon Jul 22, 2013, 03:33 PM
Jul 2013

5 years ago, I would have been right there with you, laughing off the idea that global warming would trigger geologic events like more earthquakes and volcanic activity.

Now, I'm not so sure. There has been some interesting research lately that seems to indicate it's possible: http://e360.yale.edu/feature/could_a_changing_climate_set_off_volcanoes_and_quakes/2525/

 

dbackjon

(6,578 posts)
16. You should still laugh
Mon Jul 22, 2013, 03:36 PM
Jul 2013

Canada is still rebounding from the last ice age - you don't see any magnitude 8 earthquakes there.

NickB79

(19,246 posts)
18. You obviously didn't read the link I posted
Mon Jul 22, 2013, 03:41 PM
Jul 2013

3 min. from the time I posted to the time you replied? Are you a speed reader?

Anyway, if you bothered to read what I posted, it might make you re-think some of your notions.

 

dbackjon

(6,578 posts)
20. I did read entire article
Mon Jul 22, 2013, 03:45 PM
Jul 2013

And yes, I am a speed reader. I would read articles books in school, teacher would tell me know way I read it all, and I would proceed to give him all the plot details.


Nothing in the article made me rethink - all a bunch of unsupported assumptions, which no other scientist found credible.

DID YOU read the full article?

NickB79

(19,246 posts)
32. Have you read this yet?
Mon Jul 22, 2013, 04:34 PM
Jul 2013
http://www.nature.com/news/energy-production-causes-big-us-earthquakes-1.13372

Yes, I know that fluid injection through fracking is different from mass redistribution through global warming, but only a few years ago many people thought it was just as laughable that fracking and geothermal could generate earthquakes, much less one approaching a 6.0.
 

dbackjon

(6,578 posts)
33. Quite a bit of difference between injecting fluids at a high pressure directily into a fault zone
Mon Jul 22, 2013, 04:36 PM
Jul 2013

And global warming cause 8.0 earthquakes.

 

darkangel218

(13,985 posts)
55. "Climate change is not causing any more earthquakes???"
Mon Jul 22, 2013, 08:18 PM
Jul 2013


Perheps you should direct the last part of your statement to your own post.

FBaggins

(26,742 posts)
19. Sorry... that's just imaginary nonsense.
Mon Jul 22, 2013, 03:43 PM
Jul 2013

Climate change may very well impact the number of small quakes, but it's ridiculous to extend that statement into "and 8 can happen anywhere!"

We have already had in excess 6+ magnitude.

Do you have any idea what the difference is between a 6 and an 8?

Cleita

(75,480 posts)
21. The evidence is all around us. Do not try to minimize it.
Mon Jul 22, 2013, 03:45 PM
Jul 2013

This plant is only a few miles from the San Andreas fault. Remember that one, the one that will cause the BIG ONE?

FBaggins

(26,742 posts)
41. Thank you agent Mulder
Mon Jul 22, 2013, 06:17 PM
Jul 2013

"The evidence is all around us" yet you can't actually come up with any? (more importantly... the geologists don't see it either)

Remember that one, the one that will cause the BIG ONE?

You mean... the one that the plant was designed to handle?

This plant is only a few miles from the San Andreas fault.

50 miles is "a few" now?

Note that Fukushima was about that distance from the epicenter of a 9+ earthquake. It was closer to a 7 at the plant... and Diablo canyon was designed to handle without significant damage 2-3 times the ground motion that Fukushima was designed to handle.

Gravitycollapse

(8,155 posts)
60. I live 50 miles downwind from the largest nuclear power plant in the United States.
Mon Jul 22, 2013, 08:44 PM
Jul 2013

The 11th largest nuclear power plant in the world.

I do not for a second fear it or feel that I am in danger.

Gravitycollapse

(8,155 posts)
64. I actually wrote a report about the safety violations at Palo Verde.
Mon Jul 22, 2013, 09:04 PM
Jul 2013

I am well aware of it's questionable inspection history.

Regulators have since clamped down hard on plant operations. Even then, Palo Verde is one of the best protected plants in the world. The domes can withstand a direct impact from a jet airliner.

I've been to the site and stood outside the reactor buildings. Still felt perfectly safe.

Gravitycollapse

(8,155 posts)
68. Nope. I have absolutely no skin in the game.
Mon Jul 22, 2013, 09:11 PM
Jul 2013

I went with a group of fellow ASU engineering students to tour the plant.

 

darkangel218

(13,985 posts)
73. Take a field trip to Chernobyl and speak to the people there. Or whats left of them.
Mon Jul 22, 2013, 09:27 PM
Jul 2013

Perheps that would change your mind.

They thought they were safe too, you know. Until it happened.

Gravitycollapse

(8,155 posts)
77. Chernobyl power station used deeply flawed and substantially outdated technology.
Mon Jul 22, 2013, 09:37 PM
Jul 2013

Suicidally high positive void reactors, nearly non-existent containment buildings, poorly trained staff. It was a horrific relic of Soviet craftsmanship.

NickB79

(19,246 posts)
7. Fukushima's meltdown was caused primarily by the tsunami
Mon Jul 22, 2013, 03:02 PM
Jul 2013

Not as much by the earthquake.

Yes, the earthquake did create the tsunami, and did crack the foundation and containment structures that held the nuclear core. To this day, TEPCO still has to add water constantly to prevent the pools from running dry.

However, if there had been no tsunami (or if the generators were on an upper level of the facility), the backup generators wouldn't have been flooded out, and water circulation could have been maintained for cooling systems. The slow leaks through the subsoil foundation cracks could have been offset by increased pumping while the cores were removed to a more stable location. The nuclear reactors would have still been a complete loss, but no meltdown would have occurred.

So, not only must we know where the fault lines lie, and what size quakes they could produce, but if the reactor is in a position to be flooded by a tsunami. AND, if it is in position to be flooded, are the backup generators and related electronics protected enough/high enough up in the structure to keep working if a tsunami did hit?

Cleita

(75,480 posts)
8. Oh, for chrissakes, tsunamis follow earthquakes. We are by the ocean and actually
Mon Jul 22, 2013, 03:06 PM
Jul 2013

the tsunami that hit Japan also hit parts of the coast of California, including our port that is not far from the power plant. To minimize the danger is disingenuous of you.

NickB79

(19,246 posts)
12. Most earthquakes do NOT generate tsunamis
Mon Jul 22, 2013, 03:27 PM
Jul 2013

In order to generate a damaging tsunami, you not only need a powerful earthquake, but also the correct geography to focus and amplify the energy released by the earthquake.

Was your port devastated in the same fashion that the coastline of Japan was? Did a wall of water 10 ft tall slam into the shoreline and rush a mile inland? If not, why do you think that is? It's not due to the distance; the energy in a tsunami can propagate across vast distances in the ocean while retaining their energy: http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Teletsunami

I'm not minimizing the danger. I'm pointing out that A) the comparison between Fukushima and this reactor isn't accurate because of different geologic circumstances, and B) we need to consider MULTIPLE ways in which the reactor could fail. If, for example, there was no fault line under this reactor, BUT it was in a coastal area that could easily be swamped by a tsunami, it's still a real hazard that must be accounted for.

Cleita

(75,480 posts)
23. Big ones do. But to take your ridiculous argument a step further.
Mon Jul 22, 2013, 03:48 PM
Jul 2013

I guess because there's a chance a large magnitude earthquake won't cause a tsunami, I guess it's okay then to ignore the danger that most likely it will?

NickB79

(19,246 posts)
31. I have at no point said to ignore any dangers
Mon Jul 22, 2013, 04:30 PM
Jul 2013

What I DID say is that we have to account for ALL the potential dangers in a given area, and prioritize them.

If an area on the West Coast doesn't have the geography to support a tsunami strike, the reactor is built 50 ft above sea-level, or it's backup systems are set high enough to avoid any flooding, then it's pretty stupid to waste large amounts of time and energy arguing about the risk.

However, I've never stated in this thread that we should ignore the danger of reactor damage from the earthquake itself. What I've been saying is that we can't compare the reactors in the OP directly to what happened in Japan, because of vastly different circumstances.

As I said in post #17:

I didn't say that an earthquake COULDN'T cause a nuclear disaster.

What I DID say was that the specific incident the OP was referring to (Fukushima) would NOT have occurred if it were just an earthquake that struck the reactor.

Like I said, the cracks in the containment vessels from the earthquake would have guaranteed the plant would never function again, but the destruction of the generators by the tsunami is what caused the cores to go into melt-down. If those generators had remained functional, the plant could have been shut down in a controlled fashion and the radioactive rods removed safely.


I recognize the danger of an earthquake strike on a CA reactor. If large enough, it would permanently cripple the reactor. However, short of a quake so large that the entire facility itself crumbles to the ground, a meltdown like what we saw in Fukushima isn't likely.

FBaggins

(26,742 posts)
39. That too is wrong.
Mon Jul 22, 2013, 06:06 PM
Jul 2013

It isn't just "big ones" that produce tsunamis... it's a particular type of big one.

A type that California isn't prone to and Diablo Canyon isn't at risk of. California has had LOTS of significant earthquakes... you haven't noticed that their version of tsunami isn't particularly dangerous?

(Of course... even if they were prone to them... being placed 85 feet up a cliff is pretty substantial protection)

Cleita

(75,480 posts)
40. Just the fact there is a chance should be a reason to decommission this plant.
Mon Jul 22, 2013, 06:09 PM
Jul 2013

It's not like it's not going to be that bad if something goes wrong. It's that it will be devastating. It's not like a fire that destroys it and we rebuild. If there is a Fukushima disaster and all the makings are there, making it possible, there is no rebuilding for 50,000 years. Wake up!

FBaggins

(26,742 posts)
42. More imagination
Mon Jul 22, 2013, 06:23 PM
Jul 2013

That simply isn't the standard.

"If I can imagine it... we need to act on that risk!" simply doesn't make sense.

If there is a Fukushima disaster and all the makings are there

None of "the makings" are there except for the fact that it's a nuclear plant and you're scared of things that you don't understand.

FBaggins

(26,742 posts)
45. Thanks for proving my point
Mon Jul 22, 2013, 06:39 PM
Jul 2013

"They all have 'nuclear' in their name... so they're all the same."

Why pretend to apply more analysis than that when clearly you haven't got anything?

Cleita

(75,480 posts)
47. I have plenty of analysis about this plant alone, studies on El Diablo,
Mon Jul 22, 2013, 07:01 PM
Jul 2013

by experts in nuclear energy, geologists, oceanographers and many others including from some ex NRC executives, who have decided to tell some uncomfortable truths. I have 140 documents on this dating back to 2011. I would love to post them to you but that would take a whole forum on its own, so I post some information to get people interested. But the truth is out there Scully. Become a believer.

NickB79

(19,246 posts)
17. Re-read what I posted
Mon Jul 22, 2013, 03:38 PM
Jul 2013

I didn't say that an earthquake COULDN'T cause a nuclear disaster.

What I DID say was that the specific incident the OP was referring to (Fukushima) would NOT have occurred if it were just an earthquake that struck the reactor.

Like I said, the cracks in the containment vessels from the earthquake would have guaranteed the plant would never function again, but the destruction of the generators by the tsunami is what caused the cores to go into melt-down. If those generators had remained functional, the plant could have been shut down in a controlled fashion and the radioactive rods removed safely.

Le Taz Hot

(22,271 posts)
10. And it makes me want to hurl when I think
Mon Jul 22, 2013, 03:16 PM
Jul 2013

of where it's located -- right off the ENVIRONMENTALLY FRAGILE Central Coast where it's taken DECADES to get some of the wildlife back after over-hunting/fishing and after horribly polluted coastal waters. I was just at the Monterey Bay Aquarium a couple of weeks ago and the whole time I was touring kept thinking what a wonderful, but fragile eco-system it is and how little it would take to wipe EVERTHING out.

Cleita

(75,480 posts)
11. I know. It's awful and our government isn't doing anything about it.
Mon Jul 22, 2013, 03:19 PM
Jul 2013

They keep relicensing it and they shouldn't. There's plenty of activism, but as usual we are being ignored, although the majority of us who live here want it decommissioned and replaced with renewable energy.

MineralMan

(146,316 posts)
25. Well, I moved to Minnesota.
Mon Jul 22, 2013, 03:51 PM
Jul 2013

Aside from the nastyish winters here, it's a pretty safe place. No earthquakes. In fact, it's the state with the least number of earthquakes. Housing is still affordable, too.

Cleita

(75,480 posts)
26. They need to decommission the damn thing like they are doing to San Onofre and Humboldt up north.
Mon Jul 22, 2013, 03:54 PM
Jul 2013

Problem then is mostly over other than trying to figure out what to do with the waste. But our NRA and PG & E are holding hands on this and not letting it get done.

MineralMan

(146,316 posts)
27. Yes, well, I protested it from the very beginning.
Mon Jul 22, 2013, 03:55 PM
Jul 2013

They paid no attention. Do you suppose they're going to start now?

You are directly within the main plume zone under normal conditions. Why?

Cleita

(75,480 posts)
28. This is why I keep posting. I hope people realize what a danger a Fukushima event would be
Mon Jul 22, 2013, 03:58 PM
Jul 2013

to more than central coast California. Our food basket in the Central Valley that feeds much of the nation would be contaminated for thousands of years. I hope someday some national figure picks up this up and hammers some sense into our whole nation about this.

MineralMan

(146,316 posts)
29. Oh, dear. Diablo Canyon has been in operation for how long now?
Mon Jul 22, 2013, 04:01 PM
Jul 2013

Do you truly think it will be shut down now? Trust me. It will not.

Cleita

(75,480 posts)
30. It will be if we get that large mag earthquake we have been promised, but it
Mon Jul 22, 2013, 04:02 PM
Jul 2013

won't be the way we should have done it.

locks

(2,012 posts)
34. Thanks for the post, Cleita
Mon Jul 22, 2013, 05:00 PM
Jul 2013

Since 1945 the government has been trying to convince us that industrial nuclear power is warm and fuzzy (or at lease clean and safe). As compared to what? Maybe nuclear bombs. I thought after Chernobyl that thinking would change; instead more nuclear plants were built in the most "civilized" nations. I thought surely we would hear from the Japanese, the only nation that knows first-hand what nuclear power can do, after the earthquake and tsunami that would lead the world in closing plants and finding some way to dispose of all of that nuclear waste. Instead, their government too has tried to shut up their best scientists who want to shut down the industry. I thought surely California, our most earthquake-prone state, would be the first state to say "no more". But then I took for granted that Obama would make sure that no more nuclear plants would be built and no more bombs would be dropped.

Cleita

(75,480 posts)
37. We the people have been saying no more, but PG & E and the Nuclear Regulatory Commission
Mon Jul 22, 2013, 05:40 PM
Jul 2013

is a federal agency with the jurisdiction of being able to override a lot of our local attempts at getting rid of this plant. Somehow I wish we could get a nuclear Elizabeth Warren in there to oversee it. Then things might change.

http://www.nrc.gov/#&panel1-1

LadyHawkAZ

(6,199 posts)
35. I'm pretty sure we knew it was sitting on fault lines
Mon Jul 22, 2013, 05:17 PM
Jul 2013

when they built the place. No one but the dirty librul commoners cared then either. PG&E wields a big stick and is also a big employer in an area without a whole lot of industry. Back in the day, if you wanted a well-paid job and didn't have a degree or connections, you worked for CMC or you worked for Diablo. Otherwise known as "winning hearts and minds".

An entire generation has now grown up viewing the emergency sirens as just another thing, without stopping to really think about what they are there to do. They won't think about it until something actually happens. Neither will the people in charge of the plant. It's sad.

Cleita

(75,480 posts)
36. I actually know a couple of workers at El Diablo and yes it's a job
Mon Jul 22, 2013, 05:36 PM
Jul 2013

where they wouldn't have one. One is an engineer and the other a security guard. But they are quite aware of the problems. I believe at the time it was built, it was sold as a non-polluting way of generating energy. They didn't bother to inform people about the downside. Of course they wouldn't. Back then we didn't know much about solar and wind energy, so it seemed a better alternative to coal and oil. People were told it was perfectly safe and the earthquake faults not a big problem. Of course then two new faults were discovered after it was built and running. Also, a magnitude 7.5 quake back then was almost unheard of. Not so much today. So times have changed. We have alternative ways of delivering energy. Chernobyl and Fukushima have shown us just how unsafe and dangerous these plants are. It's time to decommission them, especially the ones over earthquake faults.

I do believe those workers who might lose their jobs can be given new jobs in the solar and wind industry.

FBaggins

(26,742 posts)
46. You're kidding... right?
Mon Jul 22, 2013, 06:52 PM
Jul 2013
Also, a magnitude 7.5 quake back then was almost unheard of. Not so much today.

Do you seriously believe that you get to make up your own version of reality and everyone else has to play along?

The big San Andreas earthquakes:
1680 - 7.7
1857 - 7.9
1906 - 7.8
None of 7.5 or greater since the plant was built.

The plant was built in the 1980s. The two largest earthquakes of the last century (Chile and Alaska) happened just a couple decades earlier. The one in Chile was 100 times larger than that "almost unheard of" 7.5

In short... as with so much of the thread... your claims have more basis in fantasy than reality.

Cleita

(75,480 posts)
48. Get real. I was talking about what the experts thought would be a safe seismic
Mon Jul 22, 2013, 07:06 PM
Jul 2013

max here in the Central coast. No one was talking about Chile, a country I have lived in incidentally and that is 6000 miles from here. You may try to discredit me if you like. Go ahead, it won't change any facts.

Gravitycollapse

(8,155 posts)
53. The 5 largest earth quakes in California history occurred between 1680 and 1952
Mon Jul 22, 2013, 07:57 PM
Jul 2013

All between 7.3 and 7.9 magnitude.

So maybe it's about time you revised your argument.

Cleita

(75,480 posts)
57. So then that is more reason to decommission this plant.
Mon Jul 22, 2013, 08:38 PM
Jul 2013

My argument was that the people of the central coast were told they had nothing to worry about because, there would never be an earthquake much beyond a 6 mag something a structure at 7.5 mag was more than adequate yes siree.

Cleita

(75,480 posts)
76. They have their own website. All their history, half truths and
Mon Jul 22, 2013, 09:35 PM
Jul 2013

lies are there. I would post a link but am unable to while I'm on a mobile device. If you are really interested Google will get you there.

Gravitycollapse

(8,155 posts)
79. I can't find any claim by anyone that there would not be any earthquakes over 6.0 magnitude.
Mon Jul 22, 2013, 09:43 PM
Jul 2013

When you get home, please post a link.

KoKo

(84,711 posts)
62. Yes...it's concerning...and even we on the East Coast will be affected
Mon Jul 22, 2013, 08:52 PM
Jul 2013

since so much of our Fruits and Veggies come to us here. It affects us all as a Nation and we need to be truly concerned.

I'm hoping more will wake up.

 

darkangel218

(13,985 posts)
72. What are you, a psychic? how can you be so sure that plant will never have a melt down?
Mon Jul 22, 2013, 09:24 PM
Jul 2013

What are you basing your statements on??

There have been multiple articles and studies done regarding the safety of nuke plants, and they're not in agreement with you.

Gravitycollapse

(8,155 posts)
85. Didn't bother to read the link, did you? Deaths per terawatt/hour.
Mon Jul 22, 2013, 09:58 PM
Jul 2013

Nuclear is at the bottom. Although solar is very close. So close in fact that it would be the obvious choice if only it were currently feasible to supply all our power from solar. We're nearly there.

 

dbackjon

(6,578 posts)
92. Three Mile Island was basically the worst case scenario for American Nuke Plant
Tue Jul 23, 2013, 02:14 AM
Jul 2013

Everything that could go wrong did, and no deaths.

Only minor exposure in the plant.

Cleita

(75,480 posts)
91. I was referring to El Diablo, but Edison should pay for San Onofre too, however, I doubt
Mon Jul 22, 2013, 11:14 PM
Jul 2013

if anyone will make them do it.

 

RobertEarl

(13,685 posts)
84. Thanks Cleita
Mon Jul 22, 2013, 09:55 PM
Jul 2013

Thanks for reminding us. Let's hope the people there are successful at ending that monster's reign. So far we have been lucky. Tic toc.

suffragette

(12,232 posts)
87. "Support Deployment of Nuclear Power Plants"
Mon Jul 22, 2013, 10:44 PM
Jul 2013

• Why:
– Japanese manufacturers and electric utilities have nurtured capability to complete NPP construction on time and within budget, satisfying stringent quality requirement and safety requirement that reflects severe natural environment such as frequent visits of typhoon, tsunami and earthquakes.
– They have cultivated an excellent organizational culture to value quality, safety culture, cleanliness of workplaces and visualization.


http://www.iaea.org/NuclearPower/Downloads/Infrastructure/meetings/2010-09-22/5.Japan-ne.pdf


From an The International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) meeting in 2010.
Shunsuke KONDO Chairman
Japan Atomic Energy Commission


Then, in 2011, we have the disaster at Fukushima.

Worth thinking about when reading current reassurances about safety.

suffragette

(12,232 posts)
89. Right there with you Cleita
Mon Jul 22, 2013, 11:11 PM
Jul 2013

I found that nugget on a brief search. I'm sure we could find many similar statements on a longer one.

And earthquakes can trigger more than tsunamis. Dams can collapse. And up here, The Hanford site with its active plant and new waste and with the toxic waste that's already leaking could be hit by water from that direction.

suffragette

(12,232 posts)
94. Yes, it is terrible
Tue Jul 23, 2013, 02:31 AM
Jul 2013

Yet they keep piling on error after error and doubling down on these, even while wind has been exceeding expectations. If they would pump a fraction of that money and knowledgable personnel into building new infrastructure to support other energies, we could have the positives of better, cleaner energy and a jobs program. Sustainable energy and sustainable jobs at a decent wage (and likely better distributed for both).

locks

(2,012 posts)
95. Chernobyl
Tue Jul 23, 2013, 05:06 PM
Jul 2013

You might want to read "Chernobyl, My Primeval, Teeming, Irradiated Eden" by Henry Shukman, in The Best American Travel Writing (William T. Vollmann, Editor).

Or make sure the heads of the NRC and PG&E take their vacations there.

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