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cthulu2016

(10,960 posts)
Sun Jul 21, 2013, 03:03 AM Jul 2013

Dr. Janet Yellen for Federal Reserve Chairman

Last edited Sun Jul 21, 2013, 09:58 PM - Edit history (2)

The buzz is that Obama has narrowed the choice of next Fed Chair to Larry Summers and Janet Yellin.

My full support doesn't count for much, but for what it's worth, if Obama's decision is currently a two-person race between she and Larry Summers (who has an ability to sometimes be spectacularly wrong at the worst possible time), it's gotta be Dr. Janet Yellen for the next Chairman of the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve.

(If the choice extended beyond those two, who knows. This endorsement is made assuming they are the binary choice currently being debated in the White House.)

I believe that President Obama will nominate her. She would be his most ground-breaking appointment, really, since she would be the first female Fed Chair and, arguably, the second most powerful person on the post cold-war Earth.



Yellen is considered by many on Wall Street to be a "dove" (more concerned with unemployment than with inflation) and as such to be less likely to advocate Federal Reserve interest rate hikes

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Janet_Yellen


I don't know much about her, really. But Summers does not inspire confidence in me and she has the right enemies. My relative enthusiasm for Ms. Yellen is encouraged by the opinions of Professor Krugman and Bill Bride (not famous, but has been getting things more right than wrong for about a decade.

http://krugman.blogs.nytimes.com/2013/07/19/the-fed-succession/

http://www.calculatedriskblog.com/2013/07/janet-yellen-for-fed-chair.html
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Dr. Janet Yellen for Federal Reserve Chairman (Original Post) cthulu2016 Jul 2013 OP
Why not Robert Reich or Paul Krugman? eom 99th_Monkey Jul 2013 #1
The point of the OP is that Larry Summers is not acceptable. cthulu2016 Jul 2013 #2
I know little about Janet Yellen, bvar22 Jul 2013 #3
Summers would be a horror. JDPriestly Jul 2013 #4
God, anyone but Summers Aerows Jul 2013 #5
Very important thread and thanks for it suffragette Jul 2013 #6
. cthulu2016 Jul 2013 #7

cthulu2016

(10,960 posts)
2. The point of the OP is that Larry Summers is not acceptable.
Sun Jul 21, 2013, 11:42 AM
Jul 2013

The current press accounts (for whatever they are worth) portray Obama having narrowed the field to Summers and Yellin.

If that is the case, then Yellin is (in relative terms) the progressive choice, and Summers the establishment choice. Doesn't mean that she's a progressive firebrand. She surely is not, in absolute terms... but the best of the two if that is really the decision being made.

So this is the time for people to say no to Larry Summers.

bvar22

(39,909 posts)
3. I know little about Janet Yellen,
Sun Jul 21, 2013, 01:53 PM
Jul 2013

but agree 100% on you assessment of Larry Summers,
except that you may have been too diplomatic.

Looking at President Obama's Track Record for appointments,
I am not optimistic.

JDPriestly

(57,936 posts)
4. Summers would be a horror.
Sun Jul 21, 2013, 02:59 PM
Jul 2013

Summers allegedly thinks women can't do math. I would like to introduce him to someone I know who is very near and dear to me -- in fact, a couple of someones who are near and dear to me, female, and whizzes at math.

One of my great-aunts back in the day was a huge whiz and was professionally recognized for that talent in the insurance industry. And one of my aunts was quite good at mathematical reasoning as a WAC during WWII.

I would very much like to see a woman in this post.

Obama has given an excellent speech on what it is like being African-American in America. The suspicion, the lack of confidence, constantly having to prove the most basic facts about yourself -- that you are honest, non-violent, kind and compassionate.

Well, women also face suspicion and stereotypes -- that we aren't good at math, for one thing. Never mind that women have always performed the most important calculations in our world, whether they were educated or not, how much food to store for bad times, how often to feed a baby (part of the rhythm of our bodies), how to weave, how many strands of wicker it will take to make a basket, how many for a carpet. Women are by nature mathematicians just as are men. Naming a women as the Fed chair will inspire many young women to "do the math," and that will unleash yet another talent pool, an untapped talent pool in our country.

And, without stereotyping, because of our traditional roles and our nurture as well, arguably as because of our nature, most women work well in groups, work well with others. There are lots of exceptions to that generalization, but still, if you want a functioning group, include a woman.

Yellin might bring some order to the chaos in our financial world right now.

About Yellin.

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Janet_Yellen

4. She was early to spot trouble in the housing market. In 2007 she compared housing troubles with a 600-pound gorilla in the corner of the Fed’s meeting room.

5. She believes that raising interest rates is a “blunt instrument” for preventing asset bubbles from forming when the economy is weak and would rather rely on “supervision and regulation as the main line of defense,” as she said in an April 16 speech.

6. She’s a brilliant economist—emeritus at the University of California at Berkeley—who has written about such topics as causes of unemployment, income inequality, the value of trade liberalization, out-of-wedlock childbirth, and East Germany.

7. She is married to and writes frequently with George Akerlof, who won a Nobel Prize in economics in 2001. In a touch of romance that only an economist could appreciate, they fell in love over discussions in the cafeteria of the Fed, where they were both working.

http://www.businessweek.com/articles/2013-05-13/ten-facts-about-janet-yellen-the-woman-who-could-run-the-fed

Women have been balancing household budgets since time immemorial. And that is one amazing feat for our gender. I think we should give a woman a chance. Yellin seems perfect. Experience, intelligence and doesn't like unemployment. Sounds pretty good to me.

I will be disappointed if Obama chooses Summers. Very disappointed. But he might stick with Bernanke. Bernanke looked awfully happy in his hearing while being questioned by Elizabeth Warren. I don't know whether he is just very fond of Elizabeth Warren, happy to face the end of trying to do a difficult job or happy about a reappointment in the wings. We shall soon find out.

 

Aerows

(39,961 posts)
5. God, anyone but Summers
Sun Jul 21, 2013, 03:01 PM
Jul 2013

This lady, as you say, seems to have the right enemies, so I'm for her instead of Summers.

suffragette

(12,232 posts)
6. Very important thread and thanks for it
Sun Jul 21, 2013, 03:12 PM
Jul 2013

Found this article, which goes into some detail and includes links to more info:
http://www.newyorker.com/online/blogs/johncassidy/2013/04/janet-yellen-ben-bernanke-federal-reserve-next-chair.html

Som snips from it:
In central banking, people who worry primarily about inflation are often referred to as “hawks” and those who prioritize unemployment are called “doves.” If Obama does appoint Yellen to chair the Fed, she will arguably be the most dovish figure to head the central bank since Marriner Eccles, the Mormon banker whom F.D.R. appointed during the depths of the Great Depression. As recently as last month, Yellen gave a speech to the National Association for Business Economics in which she made a provisional case for sticking with an expansionary policy even after the headline unemployment rate comes down, noting, “A decline in the unemployment rate could, for example, primarily reflect the exit from the labor force of discouraged job seekers.”

Don’t get me wrong: Yellen is no radical. In many ways, she strikes me as a traditional American Keynesian—a modern representative of the breed that stretches back through Joseph Stiglitz and Paul Krugman (in his later incarnation) to James Tobin, Robert Solow, and Walter Heller, and, from the founding generation, to Paul Samuelson and Alvin Hansen. Contrary to what some of its conservative critics claim, American Keynesianism isn’t a left-wing creed: like John Maynard Keynes himself, it seeks to preserve the system rather than overthrow it. But in order to do this, it relies on a program of active management of the economy, and using economic models to aid that process.

Shaped by their experiences in the Great Depression, many early U.S. Keynesians saw economics not just as a policy science, but as a blueprint for using the state to prevent slumps and to further social progress. Seeking to remedy market failures, they championed countercyclical monetary and fiscal policies (including, when necessary, sizable stimulus programs), public investments in infrastructure and education, progressive taxation, and a strong social safety net. Simply relying on the market wouldn’t get it done—that was their message.

Yellen’s recent policy pronouncements, and her earlier academic work, are very much in this tradition. Perhaps her most famous paper, which she co-wrote in 1986 with her husband, George Akerlof, a Nobel-winning economist, was about the theory of “efficiency wages.” It argued that, contrary to the free-market model, lower wages can lead to higher unemployment. Ten years later, Yellen and Akerlof challenged the notion that generous welfare benefits were responsible for a surge in illegitimate births, especially in the minority population. The real reason there were more unwed mothers, Yellen and Akerlof argued, was a change in social attitudes, particularly the decline of “shotgun marriages.” If their theory was right, they concluded, “[C]uts in welfare benefits will have little effect on out-of-wedlock births, serving mainly to lower the standard of living of the country’s poorest children. Better family planning education, birth control advice, and requirements forcing fathers to pay child support are more promising policies to reduce out-of-wedlock births.”


Certainly sounds like a better choice than Summers.



There's also this:

Yellen to Washington, D.C.: Fiscal Austerity Slows Recovery

http://www.aflcio.org/Blog/Economy/Yellen-to-Washington-D.C.-Fiscal-Austerity-Slows-Recovery

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