So Conservatives Think Obama Is GOing

[discocrisco01]

According to Eric Ericson, it look likes the Republicans to lose the general election. From the Washington Examiner

Republicans have little chance of defeating President Obama this year and may be better off focusing their efforts on state and congressional elections in November, thousands of conservative activists were told as they kicked off a three-day conference in D.C. Thursday.

"Republicans have dropped the ball on telling the story about Barack Obama," said Erick Erickson, editor of RedState.com, an influential conservative blog. "I hate to be pessimistic about an election we should win, but it seems like we are setting ourselves up to lose if the economy improves."

Erickson told the Conservative Political Action Conference that Republicans should shift their energy -- and money -- away from a presidential contest in which Republicans are conflicted about the candidates. Instead, he said the party should focus on winning elections further down the ballot.

"We can't just focus on the White House," Erickson said. "The danger for 2012 is if we run with electability instead of big ideas for reform and then suddenly the top of the ticket doesn't look that electable."

Other speakers at the CPAC confab warned that nominating a presidential contender who doesn't have the backing of the party's conservative wing would, in the words of one, be "suicide for the Republican Party."

Still, the party's on-again, off-again front-runner, Mitt Romney, is failing to generate much enthusiasm among conservatives, pollster Scott Rasmussen said. That has led to a series of mercurial surges by more conservative contenders who, because they have trouble attracting broader support, faded as quickly as they rose. Three have already been forced out of the race. Three others continue to beat up on Romney, with former Sen. Rick Santorum eclipsing Romney on Tuesday after winning nominating contests in Colorado, Minnesota and Missouri.

I think Eric Erickson is dead on. I believe that the Democrats are going to lose seats in the House And Senate , but the Republicans will not win the White House. If the Republicans win both houses, expect less gridlock in Congress and that the House and Senate will move quicker to pass Republican legisilation.

The only problem about the Republicans is the rightward shift of the party instead of more of a shift to the middle. If the party governed from a center right perspective instead of hardcore Tea Party ideology, expect Obama to pass significant conservative legislation that would be water-down but still would advance the right-wing agenda even further. If it tea-party ideology, expect gridlock on the hill and Obama is not going to cave. Obama will think that the Dems would significant chances to 2014 to huge gains in House and Senate because the Republicans have prove that hard-core Republican ideology has result in a four years of gridlock.

I do not think it is intent of the right to wreck all of the social program into the ground, but they are willing to deal significant damage to the social safety net especially if they elect moderate right-wingers. Electing the tea party nuts will prevent them from getting anything accomplished because the Dems can take down in the Republicans in 2014. Four years of Congressional gridlock compared to the Congress of 2009-2010 is something that even a Superpac cannot done.

I think the if the Republicans focus on moderate, center-right message like Reagan did, they can go far but trying to very hard-core rightist appeal will not work and it cost them big time in the next election cycle.

[onehandle]

1. With an Obama re-election, we will gain seats in the House.

With a good chance of taking back the House.

The Senate is looking dicey.

[ProSense]

2. I think

I think Eric Erickson is dead on. I believe that the Democrats are going to lose seats in the House And Senate , but the Republicans will not win the White House. If the Republicans win both houses, expect less gridlock in Congress and that the House and Senate will move quicker to pass Republican legisilation. ...I think the if the Republicans focus on moderate, center-right message like Reagan did, they can go far but trying to very hard-core rightist appeal will not work and it cost them big time in the next election cycle.

...Eric Erickson is an asshole, and I don't give two shits about his analysis. Republicans are focused on the hard right.

http://www.democraticunderground.com/1002290521

[LeftinOH]

3. I hope the GOP does *not* let up on Obama;

I'd like to see them ramp up the "birther" crap, the anti-contraception stance, the Xtian dominionist dogma, the blaming-it-all-on-the-poor dialogue... and so on.

That stuff is their "best" material, and I sincerely want to see the few GOP voices of moderation marginalized and ignored by the noisy base.

[rurallib]

4. "dropped the ball on the Obama story"? They've called him every name in the book

lie about his every move.
What a bunch of despicable assholes.