General Discussion
Related: Editorials & Other Articles, Issue Forums, Alliance Forums, Region ForumsLiberals for Newt Gingrich
Last edited Sun Jan 22, 2012, 01:17 AM - Edit history (2)
There would be nothing better for the liberal cause then to have Newt Gingrich defeat Mitt Romney. This would be a great thing for us and would be a great benefit for all our candidates. Even Karl Rove knows this.
It is time to organize and start voting in the GOP open primaries and to really focus on open caucuses. What are your thoughts. We would need to focus on open events where we could vote or go register republican for closed primaries. FL is a closed primary, so we could have little effect there.
Lets make this an Obama vs. Newt context. We will destroy the GOP in that election and have a progressive lead congress and President.
As evidence, check out the links below
First, there are the polls. Obama is ahead of Romney, but it is close.
http://www.huffingtonpost.com/elections/state/US/?chart=12USPresGERvO&chart_mode=new
Obama KILLS Newt.
http://www.huffingtonpost.com/elections/state/US/?chart=12USPresGEGvO&chart_mode=new
Newt is one of the most unpopular people in America
http://polltracker.talkingpointsmemo.com/contest/us-favorability-gingrich
They don't hate Romney
http://polltracker.talkingpointsmemo.com/contest/us-favorability-romney
Jackpine Radical
(45,274 posts)We don't need to do crap like this, and we shouldn't. Why sink to their level? There is power in truth.
BrentWil
(2,384 posts)What is "sinking to their level". Is it not legal and legit to vote in open primaries?
Jackpine Radical
(45,274 posts)must involve communicating with them. Any such communication will be known to the right. You are then giving them an excuse to discount or psychologically invalidate the results of any election in which such tampering has occurred. As in "Sure he won SC, but that was only due to the crossover spoilers."
Raffi Ella
(4,465 posts)they are imploding just fine on their own, anyway. rofl.
BrentWil
(2,384 posts)If Newt wins enough delegates, he wins the primary.
Heck, let them discount the victory and put up a third party. Would be better for us.
FarLeftFist
(6,161 posts)BrentWil
(2,384 posts)But an organization effort would tell people how Newt winning would be huge for us.
Newt winning the GOP nom would screw the GOP for a long time.
FarLeftFist
(6,161 posts)BrentWil
(2,384 posts)MrScorpio
(73,631 posts)President Obama will kick all their asses.
BrentWil
(2,384 posts)Not saying it is fair. The president came to power in an awful time. But if unemployment goes back up, we might be in trouble if Romney is the nom.
The other factor is down the ballot candidates. Newt winning would be a huge benefit for us, for anyone down the ballot. Americans hate this guy and he has the worst approval ratings of any major figure.
MrScorpio
(73,631 posts)He has all charisma of week old fish.
Old and In the Way
(37,540 posts)He's starting to lose the base in a big way. Should he somehow win the nomination, he's going to have problems getting his base motivated enough to vote for him in the GE. A 3rd party effort by a 'true conservative' won't surprise me if Mitt wins the nomination.
BrentWil
(2,384 posts)They have an African socialist to vote against remember?
Arkana
(24,347 posts)good evangelicals and turns them into Mormons.
Freeperville will cease to exist if Romney is the nominee.
BrentWil
(2,384 posts)If the choice is mormon or black, they are voting mormon... at least in the poorer parts of the south.
Romney will get support from the base. Newt will get that also. The difference is that Newt will ONLY get support from the base.
BumRushDaShow
(129,165 posts)with their Republican governors and state legislatures protecting them from the "evil Socialist". To them, Mormon = "cult".
BrentWil
(2,384 posts)But they aren't going to sit at home this election. Mitt being Mormon didn't cost him SC. Mitt being "moderate" cost him SC.
BumRushDaShow
(129,165 posts)BrentWil
(2,384 posts)It cost him. As per your link:
"27 percent of South Carolinians told exit polls that the religious affiliation of the candidate mattered "a great deal to them. 9 percent of those voters voted for Mitt Romney
Read more: http://www.businessinsider.com/did-romneys-mormonism-doom-him-in-south-carolina-2012-1#ixzz1kAEOKuzy "
27 percent isn't going to win you an election. And that is in one of the most evangelical states in the union.
BumRushDaShow
(129,165 posts)27% is a good chunk.
And the fact that the teabagger Governor's endorsement didn't work, means there's a whole lot wrong with his picture.
And SC doesn't necessarily hold up as "the most evangelical states in the union". It will be interesting to see what happens in "The belt buckle of the bible belt" though - Tennessee!
Jackpine Radical
(45,274 posts)It's kinda hard to go anywhere in politics when 1% of the population is your base.
BrentWil
(2,384 posts)About 30 percent of the people will vote Republican whoever they put up. The real question is how to stop another 21 percent from voting Republican. Newt would be a great means to do that.
BumRushDaShow
(129,165 posts)Patience grasshopper!
BrentWil
(2,384 posts)If Romney gets it, they have a shot. If Newt wins, he will destroy any chance they have and destroy his parties chances down the ballot. Might as well have some fun.
dionysus
(26,467 posts)Jackpine Radical
(45,274 posts)As far as I'm concerned, I think Napoleon hit it on the head:
"When your enemy is busy destroying himself, it is rude to interrupt."
BrentWil
(2,384 posts)First, there are the polls. Obama is ahead of Romney, but it is close.
http://www.huffingtonpost.com/elections/state/US/?chart=12USPresGERvO&chart_mode=new
Obama KILLS Newt.
http://www.huffingtonpost.com/elections/state/US/?chart=12USPresGEGvO&chart_mode=new
Newt is one of the most unpopular people in America
http://polltracker.talkingpointsmemo.com/contest/us-favorability-gingrich
People HATE this guy. He would lose big. Romney, has the organization and money to win if the economy takes another downward spiral.
Leopolds Ghost
(12,875 posts)BumRushDaShow
(129,165 posts)except organize to take back the House and increase in the Senate. The repukes have pretty much conceded the Presidential race at this point, but they will soon start ratcheting up their push for taking control of the Senate.
BrentWil
(2,384 posts)Romney worries me. He will go to the middle once this is over. He has money and organization.
Newts a nut and easy to beat.
The difference between Romney and the rest of them is that Romney is just pretending to be crazy. Come general election time, we will see a much more moderate and electable Romney.
BumRushDaShow
(129,165 posts)Make sure you have the bio-suit on when you go in there. And this is not just restricted to that site. It's happening at similar sites as well.
I.e., what is left of the "sane" part of the GOP that hasn't be sloughed away, knows that only a "moderate" (-sounding) nominee would have a chance. Yet the teabagger monster that they created believes differently and has woven itself into every aspect of their communications being (radio, TV, internet forums) to push their zombie hoards to reject a "moderate". The hint at this came when Caribou Barbie was selected to "rightify" the McClame ticket. The fact that conservatives like Bennett from Utah were tossed out in caucuses and primaries (forcing the former "moderates" like McLame & Hatch, etc., to go hard right), was a warning shot. But since that 2008 Hail Mary pass failed, the teabaggers will probably push to have both names on the ticket be far right.
BrentWil
(2,384 posts)Lets help them destroy themselves...
Mitt can and might win. Newt is a nut
BumRushDaShow
(129,165 posts)kemah
(276 posts)Then the flip flopping charge will really stick. The tea party will revolt and feel like they have been conned in supporting a moderate.
BrentWil
(2,384 posts)JI7
(89,254 posts)he would do better in a debate than Romney . and none of it would have to do with the substance of his arguments.
people elected Reagan, Bush II.
BumRushDaShow
(129,165 posts)and if the people finally "got it" when Palin melted down down with her ridiculous statements, even worse will happen when that blubbering blob of blow-hardery really gets going!
JI7
(89,254 posts)but Gingrich's negatives are seen as positive by many. they see his temper , anger etc as being tough .
BrentWil
(2,384 posts)The country as a whole hates him.
http://polltracker.talkingpointsmemo.com/contest/us-favorability-gingrich
They don't hate Romney
http://polltracker.talkingpointsmemo.com/contest/us-favorability-romney
BumRushDaShow
(129,165 posts)and as long as Santorum is out there pointing this out, he's toast and will be hated by those who are fond of the movie "Wall Street"!
Wait till the number of houses he owns gets back out there in the spotlight again. Something like that pretty much sunk McLame - even with his "Maverick" moderate self!
BumRushDaShow
(129,165 posts)and where did that get them? Got them some $$$ and fame but that's about it.
Getrich was selling 2 books this past year and enjoying the attention. Running for President was just a side note for his book tours. He'll certainly write a dandy after this adventure, but the fact that he is not on the ballot in the state in which he lives is certainly going to get him knocked down quite a few notches. It's only a matter of time when the media finally bores of him.
Similarly, the fiction of "tough" was being slathered onto Christie but independents are necessarily keen on rude and tacky "tough guys" who act like bullies.
ecstatic
(32,714 posts)Due to his high negatives. LO is a genius when it comes to political predictions (at least since I've started watching his show).
BrentWil
(2,384 posts)He could win the primary
Arkana
(24,347 posts)and he'd self-destruct in a debate against Obama in a cloud of "FOOD STAMP PRESIDENT" screams.
Seriously, that veiled racism shit doesn't fly when you're not in front of a GOP debate audience and the African-American President of the United States is on the stage with you.
All Obama has to do is say "Mr. Speaker, why did you say that you were going to tell the NAACP to demand "paychecks not foodstamps" when over 2/3 of food stamp recipients are white? More to the point, why are you trying to shame and demonize people who have used the food stamp program to get them through difficult times?"
Watch Newt sputter and stammer and then get angry.
Rosa Luxemburg
(28,627 posts)loyalsister
(13,390 posts)He would be in real trouble going up against Obama.
xfundy
(5,105 posts)YOU go vote for the asshole.
BrentWil
(2,384 posts)I am not suggesting voting for him because I like him
Donald Ian Rankin
(13,598 posts)Douglas Carpenter
(20,226 posts)- like any demagogue who speaks with the absolutist moral certainty or a true believer. Though Paul Krugman is certainly right that "Newt Gingrich is what a stupid person thinks a smart person sounds like and as crazy and ignorant as Gingrich's speeches are he would certainly not be the first self-serving and self-deluded demagogue to bamboozle a nation.
Here is his "victory speech" - I can imagine a lot of people swallowing it hook, line and sinker:
http://www.mediaite.com/tv/newt-gingrich-targets-elite-media-again-in-sc-victory-speech/
.
Though unlikely we cannot over look the possibility that he could win and yes he could become President. I'm certainly not predicting it. It may not be likely - but it is possible.
BrentWil
(2,384 posts)The problem is that he is generally hated. It is the same problem that Palin has. He will have a core that is in love with him. It is getting out of that core.
Douglas Carpenter
(20,226 posts)Normally speaking he should not be electable at the national level. But we simply don't know how the situation will be - come October/November. If unemployment continues to gradually drop as the economy gradually shows positive signs - we should be safe. However, if tensions continue to mount in the Persian Gulf region and the possibility of imminent military engagement with Iran starts escalating - whether or not there is direct military confrontation - oil prices will start skyrocketing toward $150 to $200 per barrel or more and any positive signs of economic improvement will grind to a halt. In such an atmosphere which is unfortunately at least possible and plausible - I could imagine a Newt candidacy become quite viable. Yes Newt Gingrich could win and become President of the United States. It is not likely. But it is by no means impossible..
BrentWil
(2,384 posts)And carry the House and Senate. Even in bad conditions, it would be much better for us to have Newt at the top.
MineralMan
(146,318 posts)Instead, time spent involved in your own local district primaries working for state and national legislative candidates you support will actually work to accomplish something. The presidency has its own dynamic, and it's not one that individuals affect very much. However, local activism to support legislative candidates will also have the result of turning people out who will vote for Obama. It's a side effect.
If you truly want to have some sort of impact on the 2012 election, you can have that impact by working to elect the best candidates in your state legislature, and in Congress. Let the presidency ride on those coattails, not the opposite.
BrentWil
(2,384 posts)In fact, it helps it. If you are locally organized, it isn't difficult to get some number out to vote in the GOP primary.