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Doodley

(9,124 posts)
Tue Mar 12, 2024, 12:08 AM Mar 12

Joe Biden Suddenly Leads Donald Trump in Multiple Polls

One poll by the Kaiser Family Foundation showed Biden leading Trump 47 percent to 44 percent. There were 1,072 registered voters surveyed between February 20 and 28 in this poll.

Another poll of 1,350 registered voters by Emerson College put Biden ahead of the Republican by two percentage points, 51 percent to 49 percent. The survey was carried out between March 5 and 6.

Of the 6,334 registered voters surveyed by Morning Consult between March 1 and 5, 44 percent would vote for Biden and 43 percent for Trump.

And Biden would beat Trump 43 percent to 42 percent, according to TIPP polling.

https://www.newsweek.com/presidential-election-latest-polls-biden-trump-1877928

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All Mixed Up

(597 posts)
1. The Morning Consult one is already outdated. Their most recent poll has Trump ahead again.
Tue Mar 12, 2024, 12:21 AM
Mar 12

It flip-flops more than any recent poll. Their latest is 44-43 Trump. Last week, it was 44-43 Biden. The week before that, 44-43 Trump.

calguy

(5,325 posts)
2. Still too early to put much faith in these polls, not that we should ever trust them
Tue Mar 12, 2024, 12:41 AM
Mar 12

Biden has just started campaigning, and most of the public won't even start focusing on the election until September and October.

Stuart G

(38,445 posts)
5. When the word gets out about Trump's statements on ...Social Security & Medicare. the lead will get enormous.
Tue Mar 12, 2024, 12:47 AM
Mar 12

calimary

(81,461 posts)
8. Well, those surveyed closer to February 20th wouldn't have heard Biden's barn-burner of an SOTU speech.
Tue Mar 12, 2024, 02:01 AM
Mar 12

It'll be most interesting to see what the polls show now that the State of the Union's been delivered, all the reviews have been stellar, the GOP response was a complete embarrassment, and I'm guessing there's a new spring in the steps of the Democrats.

ALSO...

Don't forget, by the time we get to the conventions this summer, the team in the White House traditionally goes second, and the "Short Attention-Span Theater" people tend remember mainly what they just heard most recently. They'll likely forget much of the trump show by then, since America tends to forget and move on. And if Biden delivers another booming success of a convention speech like he did with the State of the Union, he'll be at an even stronger and greater advantage. And there'll be no hecklers, either. And THAT'S what's gonna stick in people's minds.

womanofthehills

(8,761 posts)
12. Forbes wrote - 75% of the 32 million viewers were over 55
Tue Mar 12, 2024, 05:36 AM
Mar 12

Viewers aged 55 and older accounted for nearly 75% of the State of the Union’s viewership followed by viewers aged 35-54 (19%) and viewers aged 18-34 (5%).

https://www.forbes.com/sites/antoniopequenoiv/2024/03/08/ratings-soar-for-bidens-state-of-the-union-more-than-32-million-watched-address/?sh=148e6ea131c0

robbob

(3,538 posts)
14. Yes, but so many people of all ages get their "news" through social media clips.
Tue Mar 12, 2024, 05:51 PM
Mar 12

You can bet anyone whose profile skews right has already seen short segments from the SOTU address. Any stumble or stutter, any “angry Joe” moments (the new narrative), anything they can use against him. I’ve already seen comments like that “out there”. You know; “did you see JB at the SOTU? He could hardly string a sentence together…” etc. etc.

However, that’s people who are already lost to RW propaganda. There’s a much larger “mushy middle” who will see Scarlett J doing the cold open to SNL and wonder just had bad the rebuttal could have been. There are others who will hear about “Angry Joe” and go check out what he’s so angry about, and maybe think hey! I’m angry about that, too…

It’s a double edge sword; I guess my point is, the SOTU is out there now, and people are talking about it. Those who want to know the truth can go check for themselves.

slightlv

(2,839 posts)
9. After taking part in a few polls,
Tue Mar 12, 2024, 02:12 AM
Mar 12

I don't trust any of the numbers. First, it's just way too early... even though I have to believe most people have already determined who they're going to vote for. Second, the poll questions are nearly always skewed. I took Tests and Measurements in college, and it was part of my job at work. I know how the wording, the words themselves, and the numbers can be manipulated. Statistics can say anything you want them to say. So can polls. I never trust them. Always hope you're way ahead, and work like you're far behind!

calimary

(81,461 posts)
15. I LOVE this, slightlv! "Always hope you're way ahead, and work like you're far behind!"
Tue Mar 12, 2024, 09:26 PM
Mar 12
VERY WISE words to the wise!
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