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Playinghardball

(11,665 posts)
Thu Nov 15, 2012, 05:11 PM Nov 2012

An Awakened Giant: The Hispanic Electorate is Likely to Double by 2030



The record number1 of Latinos who cast ballots for president this year are the leading edge of an ascendant ethnic voting bloc that is likely to double in size within a generation, according to a Pew Hispanic Center analysis based on U.S. Census Bureau data, Election Day exit polls and a new nationwide survey of Hispanic immigrants.

The nation’s 53 million Hispanics comprise 17% of the total U.S. population but just 10% of all voters this year, according to the national exit poll. To borrow a boxing metaphor, they still “punch below their weight.”

However, their share of the electorate will rise quickly for several reasons. The most important is that Hispanics are by far the nation’s youngest ethnic group. Their median age is 27 years—and just 18 years among native-born Hispanics—compared with 42 years for that of white non-Hispanics. In the coming decades, their share of the age-eligible electorate will rise markedly through generational replacement alone.

According to Pew Hispanic Center projections, Hispanics will account for 40% of the growth in the eligible electorate in the U.S. between now and 2030, at which time 40 million Hispanics will be eligible to vote, up from 23.7 million now.2



Moreover, if Hispanics’ relatively low voter participation rates and naturalization rates were to increase to the levels of other groups, the number of votes that Hispanics actually cast in future elections could double within two decades.

http://www.pewhispanic.org/2012/11/14/an-awakened-giant-the-hispanic-electorate-is-likely-to-double-by-2030/
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An Awakened Giant: The Hispanic Electorate is Likely to Double by 2030 (Original Post) Playinghardball Nov 2012 OP
Non-stop registration drives..(quietly) SoCalDem Nov 2012 #1
100% amnesty, 100% citizenship COMMUNITY ORGANIZATIONS registering voters graham4anything Nov 2012 #2
GOP might want to reconsider that free contraceptives thingy. n/t Doesn't make sense does 2on2u Nov 2012 #3
we're everywhere datasuspect Nov 2012 #4
The GOP just needs to "tweak" its message and finesse its brand. Arugula Latte Nov 2012 #5
I have not contributed to the increase in calico1 Nov 2012 #6

SoCalDem

(103,856 posts)
1. Non-stop registration drives..(quietly)
Thu Nov 15, 2012, 05:12 PM
Nov 2012

as republicans (in RED states)

and then B O O M..... Gotcha again

 

graham4anything

(11,464 posts)
2. 100% amnesty, 100% citizenship COMMUNITY ORGANIZATIONS registering voters
Thu Nov 15, 2012, 05:15 PM
Nov 2012

and possibly a great vp choice in 2016 for Hillary45.

and/or Gov. Castro in Texas.

and let's find a great challenger to go against John McCain for his seat.

 

Arugula Latte

(50,566 posts)
5. The GOP just needs to "tweak" its message and finesse its brand.
Thu Nov 15, 2012, 05:33 PM
Nov 2012

Then I'm SURE Hispanics will flock to it in droves. Yes, that's the ticket.

calico1

(8,391 posts)
6. I have not contributed to the increase in
Thu Nov 15, 2012, 05:35 PM
Nov 2012

population as I am childless

But I do hope voting and engagement continues.

The Party now has to find people that are good like Obama's team. They need to keep field offices operating between elections, maintain contact with the people and build relationships, etc. That's how the ground game beat the billions.

The Democrats can't drop the ball and not think until a few months before the election.

I hope they are organizing now.

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