Welcome to DU! The truly grassroots left-of-center political community where regular people, not algorithms, drive the discussions and set the standards. Join the community: Create a free account Support DU (and get rid of ads!): Become a Star Member Latest Breaking News General Discussion The DU Lounge All Forums Issue Forums Culture Forums Alliance Forums Region Forums Support Forums Help & Search

CreekDog

(46,192 posts)
Sat Nov 10, 2012, 03:58 AM Nov 2012

Final Obama-Romney vote totals (Romney ends up at 47%)

So many are wondering, guessing at final turnout, final margins for the overall popular vote. So I did a little estimation.

I took the outstanding votes estimated per state, applied the existing margin per state, assumed it carries (it may not).

Here's where we would end up (about 80% of the remaining vote is in states Obama won):


Current Counted Votes
Obama: 61.6 million (50.5%)
Romney: 58.5 million (48.0%)
Others: 1.9 million (1.5%)
Total: 122 million

Remaining votes: 10.6 million
(Obama/Romney): 6.5 million/4.0 million

Estimated Final 2012 (2008)
Obama: 68.1 million / 51.3% (69.5 million/52.9%)
Romney: 62.5 million / 47.1% (59.9 million/45.7%)
Others: 2.0 million / 1.5 % (2.0 million/1.5%)
Total: 132.6 million / 0.9% increase from 2008 (131.4 million)

I'd love a bigger margin, but if Romney ends up at 47%, that will be too beautiful to beat.




13 replies = new reply since forum marked as read
Highlight: NoneDon't highlight anything 5 newestHighlight 5 most recent replies
Final Obama-Romney vote totals (Romney ends up at 47%) (Original Post) CreekDog Nov 2012 OP
not letting this thread die yet. CreekDog Nov 2012 #1
I love it flamingdem Nov 2012 #2
How ironic and yes, beautiful. Avalux Nov 2012 #3
You know that there was a lot of vote flipping going on in the e voting machines madokie Nov 2012 #7
Not really a landslide. JackRiddler Nov 2012 #10
47% should be permanently sketched or etched malaise Nov 2012 #4
i think the official count is at 47.9, but it would be nice to see it get below 47.5 CreekDog Nov 2012 #9
K & R. nt. OldDem2012 Nov 2012 #5
TY. I Applaud Your Math DemocratSinceBirth Nov 2012 #6
it's a solid win CreekDog Nov 2012 #8
I've been watching the popular vote, too alcibiades_mystery Nov 2012 #11
There is a cosmic sense of humor hifiguy Nov 2012 #12
kicking my post since it looks like it's coming true! CreekDog Nov 2012 #13

madokie

(51,076 posts)
7. You know that there was a lot of vote flipping going on in the e voting machines
Sat Nov 10, 2012, 11:18 AM
Nov 2012

I'd about bet money on that. with proprietary software there is no way to know whether every 5th or 10th or whatever dem vote was flipped to the republicon side. No way we could know that as it wouldn't have to be on the screen or anything like that. All we know for certain concerning the E voting machines is the companies who own or built them are 100% republicon loving traitors.

Paper ballots hand counted or we loose the democracy that many of us treasure

 

JackRiddler

(24,979 posts)
10. Not really a landslide.
Sat Nov 10, 2012, 06:33 PM
Nov 2012

4% is a typical margin. And it's disturbing how many people went for R, whether 47 or 48.

Johnson in 64, Nixon in 72, Reagan in 84: Those were landslides, near 60% with 18+% margins.

CreekDog

(46,192 posts)
9. i think the official count is at 47.9, but it would be nice to see it get below 47.5
Sat Nov 10, 2012, 06:17 PM
Nov 2012

so it'll be at 47% even after rounding.

DemocratSinceBirth

(99,710 posts)
6. TY. I Applaud Your Math
Sat Nov 10, 2012, 11:11 AM
Nov 2012

The innumerate, right wing liars are saying O only won 50-48 but 51-47 is much more significant.

 

alcibiades_mystery

(36,437 posts)
11. I've been watching the popular vote, too
Sat Nov 10, 2012, 06:36 PM
Nov 2012

I don't think totals will get that high, but more power to ya.

I was happy to see Obama's margin of victory shoot by Bush's margin over Kerry yesterday.

The next milestone I'm looking at is Obama passing Bush's raw total (62,040,610), which should happen Monday if the outstanding ballots in CA, WA, and OR are truly still out.

Latest Discussions»General Discussion»Final Obama-Romney vote t...