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marmar

(77,097 posts)
Wed Nov 7, 2012, 04:30 PM Nov 2012

Nate Silver-Led Statistics Men Crush Pundits in Election


(Bloomberg) Nate Silver was right. The Gallup Poll was wrong.

Silver, the computer expert who gave Obama a 90 percent chance of winning re-election, predicted on his blog, FiveThirtyEight (for the number of seats in the Electoral College), that the president would receive 51 percent of the popular vote as he called each of the 50 states, including all nine battlegrounds.

“Nate Silver, right,” said Bill Burton, who moved from the White House to the pro-Obama super-political action committee Priorities USA Action.

Gallup’s daily national tracking poll put Republican nominee Mitt Romney ahead by five points until it was suspended for Hurricane Sandy, and a final national survey released Nov. 5 gave the Republican a one-point advantage. .................(more)

The complete piece is at: http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2012-11-07/nate-silver-led-statistics-men-crush-pundits-in-election.html



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