Behold The Amazing Nate Silver

[berni_mccoy]

ACTUAL RESULTS (including Popular Vote) via HuffPo:



Nate Silver Final Map Prediction:



Nate Silver Final Popular Vote:



Wow.

[Baitball Blogger]

1. We have our Nostradamus!

[myrna minx]

13. Perhaps he'll start quilling his stats in quatrains.

[liberalmuse]

24. DEAD.

And DUzy!

[brush]

29. Isn't it great!

Anyone seen Gallup and Rasmussen's final numbers? Did they adjust them to favor the President at the last minute so they can get work next election?

[Squinch]

2. Gosh. Them statistics shure is magical.

Maybe we should look at them next time, Joe. Peggy. Karl. etc.

[BouzoukiKing]

28. Even in freeperville...

...they're kind of scratching their heads, and asking questions about these 'number things'.

And y'know, we should help them. Because if we can get them - nicely - to accept the idea of math in just one thing, we might be able to sway a few of them to believe the math on something else. Like... Climate Change.

[Pachamama]

45. Yes, and that Math thing works too on Deficit and Taxes!!!

[Squinch]

70. Next you'll be saying that tax cuts don't increase the federal revenue. That's SATAN talk.

[berni_mccoy]

67. I can actually hear the voice in my head. You forgot the

"hyuck hyuck." giggle at the end.

[trumad]

3. I have a "gut feeling" this thread will be highly recommended.

[demwing]

4. Punxsutawney Nate

Seer of Seers, Sage of Sages, Prognosticator of Prognosticators and Election Prophet Extraordinary.

[xtraxritical]

34. Nate, the ultimate oracle.

[reformist2]

5. Yet another victory of math & science over "gut feelings"!

It's ironic how the GOP insists that they are the party of reason and that Dems are the party of feelings, when they let themselves be deluded time and time again by liars and con-artists like Dick Morris and Mr. Unskewedpolls.

[Randomthought]

16. I concur

The delusional thinking is truly amazing

[JDPriestly]

20. My first thought too. Thanks.

[malaise]

6. He is first rate

[blue_heron]

7. Impressive

[Comrade_McKenzie]

8. A big win for logic and reason last night. nt

[alterfurz]

9. Nate the Great

[Patiod]

32. Ab-so-fucking-lutely

[Odin2005]

10. Nate got it almost EXACTLY!

[nolabear]

11. Arithmetic. Seems to be our friend after all.

[Towlie]

12. Statistics are boring, but statistics is fascinating.

Think about it.

[spooky3]

14. Yet another victory for scientific methods over gut feel...

Tell it, Stephen Colbert!

[yankeepants]

15. I wonder if he'd like to spend an afternoon

with me at Pimlico?

[wildeyed]

17. Nate the Great!

Yay for math and facts, boo for stupid pundits who confuse and obfuscate.

[xtraxritical]

38. I hope the New York Times gives Nate a big salary increase. I hope Hannity, et al, get dumped.

[JDPriestly]

18. We were so hoping that Romney would end up with just "47%."

That would have been justice. 47%.

But this is great for Nate Silver -- and math (and science?). Thinking instead of just mouthing off. Can you imagine?

[ieoeja]

54. If not for the 1% ... he would have. n/t

[NotThisTime]

19. Nate did it again, I should not have doubted him. Perfect job!

[Dorn]

21. Hmm, math and science

Maybe we should use it to... I don't know: Predict the weather!

[inamatteroftime]

22. Nate was a lifeline for me. He is the BEST!!! nt

[Botany]

23. But Nate Silver is so gay!

Dean Chambers, who wrote an op-ed attacking Silver as "a man of very small stature"
and "a thin and effeminate man with a soft-sounding voice."

[krispos42]

31. In number-crunching, size does not matter

Brainpower does.

[AAO]

52. This guy is criticizing Nate's appearance? ROFL!!

[eridani]

72. Sounds like the class bully beating up on the skinny little math nerd

Mathematics will always win in the end.

[KinMd]

25. Now if he'd just give me some NFL predictions

[BlueMomInSanDiego]

26. Suck it , Jesus... Nate Silver is my god! nt

[KinMd]

27. I keep Chambers yelling at Nate Silver..

"Get in my belly!"

[Robbins]

30. 538

The only thing Nate got wrong was It seems we will keep the MT and ND senate seats.But he nailed the electoral and popular vote.

[JaneyVee]

33. Math has a Liberal Bias.

[CoboWowbo]

35. Nate Silver is...

my statistician; I shall not fret.
He maketh me to lie down in blue states:
He leadeth me beside the bicoastal urban elites.
He restoreth my faith in the electoral college:
He leadeth me in the path of accuracy for his name brand’s sake.

Yea, though I walk through the valley of Diebold,
I will fear no recounts: For he is with me;
His blog and his stats, they comfort me.
He preparest a table of odds before me in the presence of partisan hacks;
He filleth my head with possible outcomes; My brain bloweth up.

Surely middle class tax relief and affordable health care shall follow me all the days of my life,
and Obama will dwell in the House of White for the next four years.

[xtraxritical]

41. Duzy!

[Pathwalker]

46. Awesome post! Welcome to DU!

Truly great post.

[FailureToCommunicate]

58. Yes! DUzy!

[Proles]

36. The guy's a genius. /nt

[JPZenger]

37. .... but the pollsters were telling us the gender gap has disappeared!!!!

the bad polls did help to spur the Obama get out the vote effort, so that had many many benefits. It would have been sad if Obama barely squeeked by the electoral college and lost the popular vote.

[Bonobo]

39. Herald of Galactus~!! nt

[Yavin4]

40. Nate's Sign Off Last Night

Thank you for joining FiveThirtyEight’s coverage of the election campaign. There’s a lot more to unpack in the coming days, but first, we’re going to get some sleep and grab a beer.

http://fivethirtyeight.blogs.nytimes.com/2012/11/06/live-blog-the-2012-presidential-election/

And this is a picture of the beer that Nate was drinking last night:

[xtraxritical]

42. Nate drinks beer in his sleep? He's way cooler than I suspected!

[D23MIURG23]

43. Behold the power of data.

It can be powerful stuff if you know how to use it.

[ecstatic]

44. I had put all my trust in him

I visited his site at least three times a day. Everyone else insisted that it would be super close if not a coin toss. Thank you nate, for keeping me sane and being right!

[tavalon]

74. My hubby was the same

He helped me realize early on that the reason pundits were lying wasn't for us, the electorate but to serve their owners who were feeding at the Citizens United campaign ad money trough.

[SCVDem]

47. Any idea what Scarborough had to say?

Ole Joe just got bitch slapped and cockpunched!

Could be better only if it was Rove!

[liberalmuse]

60. Doesn't he owe Nate $1,000?

I hope he pays up!

[Lilma]

48. In Nate We Trust

[1ProudAtheist]

49. Nate Silver Just Became

Our answer to turd-in-a-punchbowl KKKarl.

[VWolf]

64. I disagree.

I think Nate's about as non-partisan in his analysis as anyone in the business.

KKKarl, on the other hand, ...

[Yesbama]

50. Weeelllll....

...I could've lived with Ohio not being as hair thin close as it was/is. Also...hurry up, FLA, I have a blue state pin to dust off.

[Surya Gayatri]

51. Geek brilliance wins the day!

You know how they always say that you can make statistics say anything you want?

Well, Nate made statistics speak truth to power!

[jerome arizona]

53. better than valium

thanks nate.
i realize you were just interpreting information but my sanity, during the dark hours, was saved by your anaylis...

[Happyhippychick]

55. Nate, you had me in 2008 and I've never doubted you. You kept me sane and I thank you.

[ashling]

56. I got the same map by

randomly scattering the bones from a carcass of a roast chicken (honey mesquite BBQ)

for you vegans out there, I confirmed by emptying a bowl of roasted root vegetables

[amuse bouche]

57. Now we shall see if Nate gets the cherry on top

As I recall, he said the Prez would take Florida by a ridiculously small margin..like 1/100 of 1%

[gcomeau]

66. +/- 2.7%

There's no way Florida ends up outside that range. Trending towards Obama by about 0.5%

[samsingh]

59. Nate is our hero and someone we can follow in the future

he can create a website and get millions of readers.

yay Math.

[Mr. Sparkle]

61. Nate destroyed the talking pundits " its too close" meme.

There is no need for cable news anymore, just go to Nates blog.

[FailureToCommunicate]

62. Great! And here are the big bad RED states brought down to there proper size...

http://election.princeton.edu/

[Ccarmona]

63. I've followed

Nate since his days on Countdown and he NEVER lets hyberbole or mud-slinging deter him from those pesky things called facts, statistics, math, and the TRUTH.
GO NATE!!!

[Lakerstan]

65. Witchcraft, I say!!!

And MSNBC thought THEY had someone named Krystal Ball.

[snot]

68. Nate, pls try your talents on economic prediction!

[coeur_de_lion]

69. THANK YOU NATE

You kept me sane when the mainstream media kept promoting Romney. I just paid closer attention to your predictions, which got stronger and stronger in favor of Obama.

I hope you read DU Young Man, you have saved so many of us from anxiety attacks.

God Bless You son.

[robertpaulsen]

71. How did he do it? As President Clinton would say, "Arithmetic!" n/t

[Kennah]

73. Silver is the new GOLD!