General Discussion
Related: Editorials & Other Articles, Issue Forums, Alliance Forums, Region ForumsNew update of current status of outstanding House races from Dave Wasserman
New House math:
Dem called/likely (212), incl. #AKAL, #CA09, #CA21, #CA47, #CA49, #CO08, #ME02, #OR06
GOP called/likely (217): incl. #CA03, #CA27, #CA45, #CO03, #NY22, #OR05
Toss Ups (6): #AZ01, #AZ06, #CA13, #CA22, #CA41, #WA03
Dems need to run the table on Toss Ups for 218.
It's possible #CA13 (Modesto) and #WA03 (Vancouver) lean slightly towards Ds at this point, and #CA41 (Riverside County) might lean ever-so-slightly towards Rs.
But #AZ01 (Scottsdale), #AZ06 (Tucson) and #CA22 (Bakersfield) are the toughest to divine at the moment.
Link to tweet
Link to tweet
triron
(22,023 posts)Anyone here have familiarity with any of these districts?
LeftInTX
(25,559 posts)It's not Tucson, it's area surrounding Tucson..
In It to Win It
(8,285 posts)Even though Engel (D) is not so far behind that it's impossible to make up, I was skeptical that the remaining votes would lean her way.
LeftInTX
(25,559 posts)grantcart
(53,061 posts)There is Avery strong independent local PAC that started as an anti McSally movement. They could be organizing the eastern suburbs.
The country's largest Move On chapter is in Pima county.
Still possible.
Response to Claustrum (Original post)
triron This message was self-deleted by its author.
Deminpenn
(15,290 posts)Usually it goes that toss ups all fall in the same direction. It might be a good sign if Dems do flip WA-3 that all the other close elections go to Dems as well.
dpibel
(2,854 posts)That's Gluesenkamp Perez' stronghold--she leads there 56% to 44%. Hard to believe the late-counted votes would break against her. Unlikely there are enough votes remaining in the outlying cracker counties to make a difference.
Indykatie
(3,697 posts)TigressDem
(5,125 posts)OMG what's his face is measuring for curtains already.... lol
TigressDem
(5,125 posts)Chart on the link is encouraging. 13 of the 23 undecided are leaning toward DEMS.
AND 5 of those leaning Repug are in California.... which has outstanding mail in ballots that still need to be counted.
Even two that have been "called" Repug technically in California are at 71% counted and 56% counted, so they could flip.
TigressDem
(5,125 posts)Alice Kramden
(2,168 posts)Thank you for brightening my day
David__77
(23,520 posts)In 2018, things trended left with time. In 2020, they did not. Hopefully as they get to provisionals that will particularly make an impact.
Deminpenn
(15,290 posts)Correct?
LeftInTX
(25,559 posts)Deminpenn
(15,290 posts)not the CDs. Sorry for the confusion.
LeftInTX
(25,559 posts)TigressDem
(5,125 posts)The MAGAs put so much fear in their sheeple to not vote by Mail In Ballots, that if that is all that is left to count....