General Discussion
Related: Editorials & Other Articles, Issue Forums, Alliance Forums, Region Forumswhat did the final polls say in '08 and how accurate we're they? also.....
have conditions changed in ways to make current polls interpreted differently?
haven't seen much talk on this.....
gateley
(62,683 posts)Gabi Hayes
(28,795 posts)Gabi Hayes
(28,795 posts)Gabi Hayes
(28,795 posts)Wounded Bear
(58,709 posts)Gabi Hayes
(28,795 posts)Gabi Hayes
(28,795 posts)matters?
http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2012/president/us/general_election_romney_vs_obama-1171.html#polls
edit: these go all the way back to last year, fwiw
exboyfil
(17,865 posts)No toss up states:
Obama 338
McCain 200
Actual
Obama 365
McCain 173
Diff
Indiana 11
NC 15
NE-2 1
Current RCP
Obama 290
Romney 248
Romney shown with NC, VA, and FL
Obama shown with OH, WI, IA, CO, NH, NV
Obama can win even without Ohio so long as he holds the other states (272)
With toss ups it is 201/191 according to RCP
RCP still shows above nine and MI and PA as toss ups.
RomneyLies
(3,333 posts)State polling was a bit off, mostly underestimating Obama's strength. I figure they mostly underestimated the ground game, which I suspect they are doing again.
Gabi Hayes
(28,795 posts)11/6