Going out on a limb: Romney beats Obama, handily (Washington Examiner)

[proud2BlibKansan]

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Which candidate will get the electoral votes of the target states? I'll go out on a limb and predict them, in ascending order of 2008 Obama percentages -- fully aware that I'm likely to get some wrong.

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Ohio (18). The anti-Romney auto bailout ads have Obama running well enough among blue-collar voters for him to lead most polls. But many polls anticipate a more Democratic electorate than in 2008. Early voting tells another story, and so does the registration decline in Cleveland's Cuyahoga County. In 2004, intensity among rural, small -town and evangelical voters, undetected by political reporters who don't mix in such circles, produced a narrow Bush victory. I see that happening again. Romney.

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Iowa (6). The unexpected Romney endorsements by the Des Moines Register and three other newspapers gave voice to buyer's remorse in a state Obama carried by 10 points. Democrats' traditional margin in early voting has declined. Romney.

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Nevada (6). Democratic early-voting turnout is down from 2008 in Las Vegas' Clark County, 70 percent of the state. But the casino unions' turnout machine on Election Day re-elected an unpopular Harry Reid in 2010, and I think they'll get enough Latinos and Filipinos out this time. Obama.

Wisconsin (10). Recent polling is discouraging for Republicans. But Gov. Scott Walker handily survived the recall effort in June with a great organizational push. Democrats depend heavily on margins in inner-city Milwaukee (population down) and the Madison university community. But early voting is down in university towns in other states. The Obama campaign is prepared to turn out a big student vote, but you don't see many Obama signs on campuses. Romney.

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Michigan (16). Romney chose Pennsylvania, where there's no auto bailout issue. Obama.

Bottom line: Romney 315, Obama 223. That sounds high for Romney. But he could drop Pennsylvania and Wisconsin and still win the election. Fundamentals.

more . . . http://washingtonexaminer.com/barone-going-out-on-a-limb-romney-beats-obama-handily/article/2512470#.UJRM7I4QvrA

[Floyd_Gondolli]

1. A parralel universe

I think there could be mass suicides on the right on election night. And I'm not kidding or trying to make light.

[landolfi]

4. I would consider that natural selection

Oh wait, many of them don't believe in it.

[LTR]

2. The Examiner is a joke

Amateur right-wing blog community pretending to be a newspaper. And this guy's a total Romney kiss-ass.

[The Velveteen Ocelot]

3. Out on a limb? Dude isn't even in the tree.

Also, the Washington Examiner is a cheapo right-wing rag. http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/The_Washington_Examiner

[wryter2000]

5. Now that he's out on that limb...

...someone hand him a saw.

[progressivebydesign]

6. bullshit source. How many of these stories from them do we have to endure?

what's the point? They're nuts.

[tanyev]

7. 315???

I hope he's got climate control inside that cone of delusion.

[Prometheus Bound]

8. This is a guy who thought Romney won the last debate.

What's the point of posting his propaganda.

[Cicada]

9. here's the error in his Ohio analysis

1. Decline in registrations in democratic Cuyahoga county. Ohio pruned registration lists to get rid of people who had not voted for a while. They got rid of people who died or moved. So yes the number registered in Cuyahoga declined. But before the cleansing of the list there were more registered voters than there were humans in the county! The decline doesn't mean democrats aren't registering.

2. More early voting by "Republicans." Ohio does not register voters by party. They classify you as Republican or Democrat only if you voted in that party's primary in the last general election. This year the Republicans had a primary so there are many "Republicans." The Democrats did NOT have a primary because only Obama qualified for such a primary and Ohio is one of the states where no primary is held when only one candidate qualifies.

So his evidence for a Repub advantage is total garbage.

[flying-skeleton]

10. Dude ........ whatever you're smokin' .........

Dude ........ whatever you're smokin' ......... better get off of it ........... it's messing with your brain !!
Wait ............ you probably don't even have a brain ......... never mind ............ carry one !!

[Agnosticsherbet]

11. As blatant piece of pandering propaganda as I've seen in these many years.

[RomneyLies]

12. And there shall be a wailing and a gnashing of teeth

in the wingnutosphere come election night.