LOL: 6 Bizarre Factors That Predict Every Presidential Election

[mfcorey1]

http://www.cracked.com/article_20139_6-bizarre-factors-that-predict-every-presidential-election.html?utm_source=sm-aol

Despite what the pundits, talking heads and NPR tell you, the presidential election is still a crapshoot. You think you know what's going to happen, then BAM! The president of the United States takes a Xanax/Thanksgiving turkey cocktail before a debate. Wouldn't it be great if you could shut out that political noise and predict the outcome of every presidential election based on completely ridiculous and arbitrary factors?

Read more: 6 Bizarre Factors That Predict Every Presidential Election | Cracked.com http://www.cracked.com/article_20139_6-bizarre-factors-that-predict-every-presidential-election.html#ixzz2B3qhbQMf

[longship]

1. Texas Sharpshooter Fallacy.

The Texas sharpshooter points his gun at the side of a barn, pulls the trigger, then paints a bullseye around the bullet hole.

Or, sometimes called post hoc generalization. There are a myriad of events that, after the fact, seem to predict events.

They don't.