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Texas Lawyer

(350 posts) Thu Nov 1, 2012, 07:09 PM Nov 2012

Obama: 315; Romney: 223; Meta-margin: Obama +2.56%; Probability of Obama re-election: 96% (99% by

Bayesian Prediction).

http://election.princeton.edu/

5 replies

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Highlight:

Obama: 315; Romney: 223; Meta-margin: Obama +2.56%; Probability of Obama re-election: 96% (99% by (Original Post) Texas Lawyer Nov 2012 OP

Obama will take the states in white too. rzemanfl Nov 2012 #1

By my own excel sheet, Obama wins even without Fla and Ohio lindysalsagal Nov 2012 #2

Can't wait amuse bouche Nov 2012 #3

wow, 96%? I'll take it! quinnox Nov 2012 #4

96% sounds pretty good, doesn't it! Texas Lawyer Nov 2012 #5

rzemanfl

(29,557 posts)

1. Obama will take the states in white too.

Reply to Texas Lawyer (Original post)

Thu Nov 1, 2012, 07:13 PM

Nov 2012

lindysalsagal

(20,686 posts)

2. By my own excel sheet, Obama wins even without Fla and Ohio

Reply to Texas Lawyer (Original post)

Thu Nov 1, 2012, 07:20 PM

Nov 2012

He gets to 272 with Iowa, Michigan, Minnesota, New Mexico, Oregon Penn and Wisconsin. If you give RMoney Fla, Ohio, N Carolina, and virginia, he's still at 266.

There's just no chance Obama can lose, because the GOP will never rig all those states.