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Playinghardball

(11,665 posts)
Thu Nov 1, 2012, 02:49 PM Nov 2012

HOW STRONG IS THIS??? Nate Silver Bets Joe Scarborough $2,000 That Obama Wins

New York Times poll guru Nate Silver isn't backing down from his assertion that Barack Obama has a very good chance of winning the presidential election.

Silver was engulfed in a classic media controversy after a Politico article said he could be a "one-term celebrity" if Obama wound up losing. That article provoked a large backlash, and Silver sent several tart tweets in response:

"I think I get a lot of grief because I frustrate narratives that are told by pundits and journalists that don't have a lot of grounding in objective reality," he told Charlie Rose on Tuesday.

On Thursday, Silver took an even more audacious step, putting his money where his statistician's mouth was. He must have spotted some tweets by Joe Scarborough, who has very publicly trashed Silver's way of covering elections.

Scarborough wrote that Silver and right-leaning pollster Scott Rasmussen "stand alone in their certainty" about how the election is going to go.

Silver responded by betting Scarborough $1,000 over the outcome of the race:

http://www.huffingtonpost.com/2012/11/01/nate-silver-joe-scarborough-bet_n_2056401.html

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HOW STRONG IS THIS??? Nate Silver Bets Joe Scarborough $2,000 That Obama Wins (Original Post) Playinghardball Nov 2012 OP
Which amount is it?? Angry Dragon Nov 2012 #1
Silver bet him $1,000 sharp_stick Nov 2012 #2

sharp_stick

(14,400 posts)
2. Silver bet him $1,000
Thu Nov 1, 2012, 02:55 PM
Nov 2012

now it's time to see if JoScar actually has the commitment to respond.

If he's as gutless as most pukes he'll simply pretend that he didn't see the bet.

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