You do know that there is a large chunk of people who confuse the odds of something happening
with the tally amount.
Listening to Morning Joe for a moment, it seemed to me that Joe doesn't know the difference. I may be wrong, but when they were discussing Nate Silvers prediction that it is a 77% of President Obama winning reelection while Joey was certain that if he wins, it will be with just 50.1% or so.
If this is true, Joe Scar is a man who has no idea how math works in the real word.
Everyone who has taken advanced Math knows that the accuracy of the poll is depended on how the sample size is determined and how the sample is constructed. That gives you the accuracy, which is really how sure the pollsters are that their results will be correct.
Clearly the number Silver is talking about is that there is a 77% chance that his prediction that Obama will win the electoral collage is correct as is the presidents chance to win the popular vote. Joe Scar is saying Obama will only get 50.1% of the vote on election day. Two different numbers, two different odds, one person who knows what he talks about and one who hasn't a clue.
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