Nate Silver, 9:14 PM Oct. 31: 78.4% chance of President Obama winning

[highplainsdem]

Last edited Wed Oct 31, 2012, 10:31 PM - Edit history (1)

Electoral vote 299.7 Obama, 238.3 Romney

Tonight's Now-cast has Obama with an 81.3% chance of winning


http://fivethirtyeight.blogs.nytimes.com/

[a geek named Bob]

1. highplainsdem...

Thank you...Thank you...Thank you!

[bluestate10]

2. I want to see the President crush that lying wimp and his lying wannabe wimp.

Like in a Highlander movie, there can only be one, and that one is President Obama. The president is the adult in the room, President Obama is the logical leader, the only leader.

[reflection]

3. 4 out of 5 statistical data points

prefer OBAMA. Now with more Presidential Awesomeness!

[lumberingbear]

4. Where do you find the Now-cast data?

I know where the Five-Thirty-eight blog is.

[highplainsdem]

5. The first two columns are for President, Nov. 6 Forecast & Now-cast. Click on Now-cast.

And thanks for posting this, since it reminded me I forgot to include the link for Nate's blog.

[Logical]

6. This should have 1000s of recs!!!

[Logical]

7. It looks different tonight. I see a map and not a percent. Just me?

[Jeff In Milwaukee]

9. Not just you...

There's an advertisement where the figures use to be.

[Lucinda]

11. 11:10 pm est - working for me

[Logical]

12. Weird! I see an ad where numbers usually are and a map below it!

[Snarkoleptic]

15. I clicked refresh a few times and the ad moved down the page.

This revealed the projected EV count, % chance of a win and popular vote %'s.

[Lucinda]

16. I'm in Safari, are you in your regular browser?

[highplainsdem]

8. kick

[Jeff In Milwaukee]

10. Almost to pre-debate levels....

AND DOWN THE STRETCH THEY COME!! Seabiscuit is pulling away!

[ananda]

14. CNN: Seabiscuit Four Lengths Ahead of War Admiral With Twenty Paces to Go: Too Close to Call!

LOL. Sorry, I couldn't resist.

[nolabear]

13. Now that makes me happy.

WooHoo!!

[PeaceNikki]

17. O-mentum