Nate has us with a 77.4% chance of winning

[Hamlette]

Yes, I had to look twice too. It was 72.9% earlier!

whew

[gcomeau]

1. And...

...that's before the new Quinnipiac Ohio +5 poll is included.

[oldhippydude]

2. thats getting close to the 80+ we had before the first debate...

i am betting that the President's handling of the storm will propel him to higher ratings yet.. in effect putting the election out of reach for Romney

[BainsBane]

4. which is close to the Now Cast. nt

[Hamlette]

6. indeed, maybe he did cause Sandy as the right wing is saying just so he could win.

[Comrade_McKenzie]

11. LOL. Using that weather machine down in Alaska?

You know, cause a weather machine is easier to believe in than climate change.

[Posteritatis]

10. The nowcast peaked above 98%, but high seventies is still quite good. (nt)

[BainsBane]

3. Did you see him on Charlie Rose?

He says he hasn't voted since starting at the Times. He also said he would be somewhere between Gary Johnson and Romney if he were voting this election. That actually makes me feel better because it tells me he's not letting his personal views about the election color his statistical analysis.

[elleng]

7. He's not, and didn't 'predict' World Series 'cause his pro-Detroit would have scewed the results!

Didn't he say 'between Liberal and Libertarian?'

[BainsBane]

8. Yes

and he said that would put him between Johnson and Romney.
My sense is that he has always been fair, but that statement confirmed it.

[pointsoflight]

9. To clarify, he said that for him it would be a contest between Johnson and Romney...

...rather than Obama and Romney. He's between liberal and libertarian.

[Ellipsis]

5. K&R