Models Showing No Recurve out to Sea: Sandy pointing toward NYC

[Laura PourMeADrink]

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Late-Season Track: "Recurve"
Plotted above are the latest computer model forecast plots for Sandy.

Typically by late October, hurricanes forming in the central or western Atlantic Ocean have a good chance of "recurving", or being caught up in the polar jet stream, and turning away from the U.S. mainland. Those forming in the western Caribbean have a better chance of hitting the U.S. in late October, particularly Florida, as we saw 7 years ago with Hurricane Wilma.

However, as you can see above, there are some model forecast tracks that do not "recurve" Sandy, but offer a more menacing track, turning the cyclone north or northwestward toward the U.S. East Coast.