...the logistics of planning evacuations and shelter for multiple-millions of people require a fair amount of lead time. Final decisions won't be made until probably Saturday, but having set up shelters last year, I understand how complex the process is: identifying and scheduling staff, moving supplies into place, making decisions about highway and transit shutdowns...

Dawgs

(14,755 posts)

12. Don't disagree, but that thing could hit anywhere along the east coast.

Reply to brooklynite (Reply #11)

Thu Oct 25, 2012, 03:45 PM

Oct 2012

Guessing where it's going to land, at this point, is just ridiculous.

WinkyDink

(51,311 posts)

30. Pinpoint acuracy isn't really essential.

Reply to Dawgs (Reply #12)

Thu Oct 25, 2012, 11:47 PM

Oct 2012

Dawgs

(14,755 posts)

31. Never said it was. n/t

Reply to WinkyDink (Reply #30)

Fri Oct 26, 2012, 08:53 AM

Oct 2012

Jersey Devil

(9,874 posts)

9. yeah, well, this time I am ready

Reply to brooklynite (Original post)

Thu Oct 25, 2012, 03:20 PM

Oct 2012

Got a generator last year when power went out (for 4 days) here in northern NJ. Two 5 gal tanks of gas in the shed (with fuel stabilizer) and I figure I am good for a couple of days until I have to scrounge around finding a gas station with power to refill. Gas stove so no problems there.

Let er rip. We're used to Noreasters up here.

dixiegrrrrl

(60,010 posts)

26. Speaking of gas stations...

Reply to Jersey Devil (Reply #9)

Thu Oct 25, 2012, 06:05 PM

Oct 2012

during hurricane season, we keep the cars on at least 3/4 tank, all season long.
Never can be too prepared if you ever have gone thru even one bad storm down here.

However, since we are supposed to get night temps as low as 39, I don't think heat generated storms are a problem in So. Ala.
( except for all the Republican hot air, of course)

SheilaT

(23,156 posts)

10. Well of course!

Reply to brooklynite (Original post)

Thu Oct 25, 2012, 03:21 PM

Oct 2012

God only sends devastating hurricanes to cities that deserve them.

The reality is, large cities have more people (yes, I know you already knew that) and those people are extremely dependent on the very infrastructure that is very much at risk from terrible storms. This is a truism, and I do not wish destruction on anyone, but alas, we live on a planet that is very active in terms of weather and plate tectonics.

If you live along the coasts you are at risk from hurricanes. In the interior of the country, it's tornadoes. In various places it's earthquakes. And so on.

The only relatively good news from that map is that it does not look as if Sandy will strengthn much beyond a cat 2 hurricane, and will only be a cat 1 in the NYC area. As bad as that can be, it could certainly be worse.

Hang in there, everyone along the path.

NewsCenter28

(1,835 posts)

13. My weather friends from Storm2k, a website

Reply to SheilaT (Reply #10)

Thu Oct 25, 2012, 03:53 PM

Oct 2012

say that this is a grave situation, likely to be many times worse than Irene, and that there is a strong possiblity that the election may need to be cancelled. Here is his e-mail to me last night:

Damn the 0z late models are like the end of the world runs with Sandy... the election is in danger if the Euro or GFDL is right, GFDL 938 mb over Washington DC, Euro 952 just east. NYC gets on the bad side in both cases... I'm seriously about to sound the alarms. This has potential to be unprecedented in weather history.

SheilaT

(23,156 posts)

21. I am feeling slightly confused here.

Reply to NewsCenter28 (Reply #13)

Thu Oct 25, 2012, 04:50 PM

Oct 2012

I am not trying to downplay the seriousness of the storm, but is it expected to become a cat 3 or higher? Or is it that there is a huge danger of flooding, which I know is only tangentally related to the strength of a storm, but instead to the amount of rainfall produced? Or is the danger more connected to this being so very late in the year?

What I don't know about hurricanes would fill a large book, possibly several volumes.

dixiegrrrrl

(60,010 posts)

27. Try this site:

Reply to SheilaT (Reply #21)

Thu Oct 25, 2012, 06:15 PM

Oct 2012

http://www.wunderground.com/blog/JeffMasters/show.html

I have found it to be most reliable.

The storm is big, as in wide spread big, about 350 miles wide. But strong winds are 200 miles from the center.
How much rain depends on which side of the storm is dumping the most rain, and how slow the darn thing moves. Slower storms, more rain.
But the weather models suggest it will heading out to sea before the election.
If it does turn into the East Coast, it should hit Tuesday, a week before the election.
The next couple of days will help with the long range forecast.

LeftofObama

(4,243 posts)

24. Why would the election need to be cancelled? n/t

Reply to NewsCenter28 (Reply #13)

Thu Oct 25, 2012, 05:09 PM

Oct 2012

SheilaT

(23,156 posts)

29. I'm certainly no expert, and I don't have a crystal ball, but

Reply to NewsCenter28 (Reply #13)

Thu Oct 25, 2012, 10:51 PM

Oct 2012

I cannot imagine the election being cancelled. For one thing, many thousands have already voted because so many states have early voting. I was shocked to learn today that New York does not.

It is possible to imagine that a decision might be made to extend voting for some additional period of time, during which the networks do not forecast any winners, but cancelling the election? I don't think so.

maryellen99

(3,789 posts)

14. Weather Channel is useless

Reply to brooklynite (Original post)

Thu Oct 25, 2012, 04:05 PM

Oct 2012

I went to see if they were doing Hurricane coverage and they were showing one of their reality shows.

blazeKing

(329 posts)

15. Latest models have it going west into Maryland then into Virginia

Reply to brooklynite (Original post)

Thu Oct 25, 2012, 04:14 PM

Oct 2012

This storm WILL interrupt political coverage for a few days and could be historic.

Some even saying it could rival the perfect storm of 1991. Snow, wind, floods, this will have it all over a HUGE area.