NV: Democrats now have 30,000-vote lead in Clark, still have edge in Washoe
Democrats added about 6,000 voters to their lead in Clark County on the fifth day of early voting Wednesday while the Republicans cut a sliver out of the opposition's lead in Washoe County.
There is no sign -- at least not yet -- of a Republican surge that will cause a huge turnout differential that could change the dynamic. But with the fifth straight say of 30,000-plus voters, the real question is whether Election Day turnout may be so small as to not make much of a difference in the presidential or U.S. Senate races, unless they are very close after early voting.
Nearly 180,000 people have voted by mail or at the polls in Clark County after five days -- 21 percent of all county voters. If turnout is 80 percent in Clark, that means more than a quarter of the total vote already is done with nine days to go.
The numbers in Southern Nevada:
Democrats-- 89,687, or 50 percent
Republicans -- 59,099, or 33 percent
Others -- 30,973, or 17 percent
Overall turnout by party looks like this in Clark:
Democrats -- 23 percent
Republicans -- 22.5 percent
Others -- 15.7 percent
So no turnout differential in Clark so far.
The Republicans won Washoe on Wednesday by 200 votes out of about 8,300 cast. But the Democrats still have the lead (caveat: Washoe has been slow in updating mail ballots, where the GOP has a solid edge): 16,792-15,809.
http://ralstonreports.com/blog/earlymail-voting-day-5-democrats-now-have-30000-vote-lead-clark-still-have-edge-washoe#.UIlk4n15Qj5
