Virginia: Obama's significant bounce, and Romney's fading numbers

[ProSense]

Obama lead in Virginia up to 5 points

A new Public Policy Polling survey in Virginia, conducted on behalf of Health Care for America Now, finds Barack Obama expanding his lead in the aftermath of his debate victory Monday night. He now has 51% to 46% for Mitt Romney, up from a 49/47 advantage last weekend.

Key findings from the survey include:

-Obama’s seen a 7 point net improvement in his favorability rating among Virginia voters from a -3 spread last week (48/51) to now +4 at 51/47. Romney’s numbers have headed in the other direction. He’s dropped 7 points from a +2 spread on our last poll (49/47) to now -5 at 46/51.

-Voters trust Obama more than Romney on several major issues in the election. Those include who voters think will stand up for the middle class (52/44) and who they think will do more to protect Medicare (50/46).

-Obama leads 57/41 with women, 88/8 with African Americans, and 53/42 with young voters. Romney has a 50/45 advantage with men, a 57/41 one with whites, and a 57/41 edge with seniors. Obama’s moved from being slightly behind with independents last week at 45/44 to now slightly ahead at 47/45.

http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/main/2012/10/obama-lead-in-virginia-up-to-5-points.html

That's the effect of two debate beat downs by the President: Romnesia and battleships and all that!

[thereismore]

1. Their numbers are joined vessels, the media are reporting the same thing twice. nt

[efhmc]

2. Huh?

[Wednesdays]

3. I second efhmc

What are you talking about? Got any links?

[thereismore]

13. if x+y=100, then an increase in x must be accompanied by a decrease in y. That's all. nt

[Laura PourMeADrink]

4. Can't be. Nate said there would be no bounce. He didn't watch the female

undecided meter on cnn during the debate - consistently high for Obama

[gcomeau]

6. No he didn't

He said it was unlikely there would be a large bounce but Obama might only need a small one.

[Dawgs]

10. Sorry, but 3 points IS a large bounce, especially in a swing state. n/t

[gcomeau]

11. Nate was referring to the national polling in aggregate, not Virginia in isolation.

...and he said "not likely"... not "won't happen".

I have no problem with his statement.

[gcomeau]

5. My prediction:

RealClearPolitics has not yet added this poll.

When they do they will simultaneously drop the Quinnippiac poll that had him up 5. Watch for it.

[krawhitham]

7. RCP never posted the last PPP poll for VA either

that had O up 2

[WI_DEM]

8. they take there time with good news for Obama but post the good polls

for Romney just like that!

[Jennicut]

9. RCP won't post polls commissioned by certain groups.

PPP did this poll for Healthcare for America Now. But Pollster at Huffpo did add it. At RCP, VA is a tie and Obama is ahead at Pollster. I think Poll Tracker at Talking Points Memo also added the PPP VA polls. There was one about a week ago with Obama ahead by 1 or 2 points.
RCP is a right wing site anyways. Okay for looking up some polls but they do things to favor Romney with how they add the polls.

[reformist2]

12. Didn't Obama debut his Romnesia speech in Virginia? :)

[ProSense]

14. Yes. n/t

[BigDemVoter]

15. Wow! If these numbers hold up in VA and in OH

then that lying sack of shi* is toast!