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kpete

(71,997 posts) Thu Oct 25, 2012, 08:24 AM Oct 2012

7

538: Obama up to 71% in our forecast, his highest since Oct. 9

Obama up to 71% in our forecast, his highest since Oct. 9, on favorable trendlines in nat'l trackers. http://t.co/...
— @fivethirtyeight via web
https://twitter.com/fivethirtyeight/status/261304266835243010
http://fivethirtyeight.blogs.nytimes.com/

4 replies

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538: Obama up to 71% in our forecast, his highest since Oct. 9 (Original Post) kpete Oct 2012 OP

Yet, the M$M's narrative is that it's still a close race. Fawke Em Oct 2012 #1

When they say that they're almost always referencing the national popular vote ... GOTV Oct 2012 #4

Every day this remains a 2-3 point race, the chances of victory go up. reformist2 Oct 2012 #2

I saw last night he had dropped it to 68% Bandit Oct 2012 #3

Fawke Em

(11,366 posts)

1. Yet, the M$M's narrative is that it's still a close race.

Reply to kpete (Original post)

Thu Oct 25, 2012, 08:43 AM

Oct 2012

GOTV

(3,759 posts)

4. When they say that they're almost always referencing the national popular vote ...

Reply to Fawke Em (Reply #1)

Thu Oct 25, 2012, 09:05 AM

Oct 2012

... and even 538 shows less than a 2% difference there.

Why they pretend like it's not the EC that matters I don't know.

reformist2

(9,841 posts)

2. Every day this remains a 2-3 point race, the chances of victory go up.

Reply to kpete (Original post)

Thu Oct 25, 2012, 08:46 AM

Oct 2012

And there are only 12 days left.

Bandit

(21,475 posts)

3. I saw last night he had dropped it to 68%

Reply to kpete (Original post)

Thu Oct 25, 2012, 09:00 AM

Oct 2012

It was on either Rachel or the War Room, I'm not sure but one of them showed where 538 had dropped Obama's chances by three percentage points..

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