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Ellipsis

(9,124 posts) Fri Oct 19, 2012, 01:14 AM Oct 2012

Positive movement on 538 blog - Obama 291.6, Romney 246.4 - 70.4% to 29.6% chance of winning.

http://fivethirtyeight.blogs.nytimes.com/

4 replies

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Positive movement on 538 blog - Obama 291.6, Romney 246.4 - 70.4% to 29.6% chance of winning. (Original Post) Ellipsis Oct 2012 OP

291.6? Deep13 Oct 2012 #1

It is the average of many simulations dsc Oct 2012 #2

never heard of one's better half? Ellipsis Oct 2012 #3

Where are all the Republican-leaning polls post-debate? piechartking Oct 2012 #4

Deep13

(39,154 posts)

1. 291.6?

Reply to Ellipsis (Original post)

Fri Oct 19, 2012, 01:16 AM

Oct 2012

Fractional electors?

dsc

(52,166 posts)

2. It is the average of many simulations

Reply to Deep13 (Reply #1)

Fri Oct 19, 2012, 01:25 AM

Oct 2012

and like many averages isn't necessarily a possible data point.

Ellipsis

(9,124 posts)

3. never heard of one's better half?

Reply to Deep13 (Reply #1)

Fri Oct 19, 2012, 01:26 AM

Oct 2012

piechartking

(617 posts)

4. Where are all the Republican-leaning polls post-debate?

Reply to Ellipsis (Original post)

Fri Oct 19, 2012, 02:08 AM

Oct 2012

After the 1st Debate Romney "win" (I still don't think it was a win, seeing as how PBO gave Romney nothing to use after the debate), there was a mini-avalanche of Republican-leaning pollsters polling swing states.

Where are they this time, hmmm? Little scared to find out what the electorate thinks?

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