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BornADemocrat

(8,168 posts)
Wed Aug 18, 2021, 12:42 PM Aug 2021

Florida cases highest since pandemic began, deaths unexplainably dipped to lowest since beginning

Last edited Wed Aug 18, 2021, 08:40 PM - Edit history (1)

What's the deal here? I don't see any other states with this pattern - what gives? I assume DeSantis is behind this, but I doubt monoclonal antibodies are helping this much?





Link to data: https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/usa/florida/

Didn't realize that criticizing DeSantis would upset people here.

Edit: I updated graphs to make it more clear and changed title.

15% of all new cases in USA

0.8% of all new deaths in USA

Odd.

36 replies = new reply since forum marked as read
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Florida cases highest since pandemic began, deaths unexplainably dipped to lowest since beginning (Original Post) BornADemocrat Aug 2021 OP
From the start he has manipulated the death numbers and have not jived with infection #'s. LizBeth Aug 2021 #1
Maybe he's listing them as suicides or Bettie Aug 2021 #2
Because sure they are. Scrivener7 Aug 2021 #3
They're not reporting deaths . Every day on Worldometers they're the only state with new JoanofArgh Aug 2021 #4
Deaths lag reported cases by 1-2 weeks. Ocelot II Aug 2021 #5
What is the source for this graph? LisaL Aug 2021 #6
Worldometer BornADemocrat Aug 2021 #8
The deaths in Fl are going up. LisaL Aug 2021 #10
I think you're right Johnny2X2X Aug 2021 #16
My guess there is delay in reporting. LisaL Aug 2021 #20
Almost 16,000 hospitalizations Johnny2X2X Aug 2021 #23
This message was self-deleted by its author Chin music Aug 2021 #7
Deaths lag cases by several weeks. Phoenix61 Aug 2021 #9
New cases and active cases track BornADemocrat Aug 2021 #12
Give it time. BannonsLiver Aug 2021 #11
Using the google graphs, it seems deaths are not reported every day, ExciteBike66 Aug 2021 #13
They went from 129 Aug 5th, tapering to 7 yesterday all while cases continued to spike BornADemocrat Aug 2021 #19
I even heard, not confirmed, gab13by13 Aug 2021 #14
This message was self-deleted by its author Chin music Aug 2021 #18
Other states are following the same general pattern. former9thward Aug 2021 #15
Those states are far behind FL in cases in this recent surge BornADemocrat Aug 2021 #17
They don't have the population FL has. former9thward Aug 2021 #24
That's not really even a close comparison BornADemocrat Aug 2021 #27
You seem to imply there is a CT behind this. former9thward Aug 2021 #29
Thus the use of question marks BornADemocrat Aug 2021 #30
I think the explanation is this is not a one size fits all disease. former9thward Aug 2021 #32
But the sudden drop from 100+ deaths on average 1/10th of that is odd BornADemocrat Aug 2021 #33
Deathsentence is Bagdad Bob. He's numbers are worthless. kairos12 Aug 2021 #21
Seems so BornADemocrat Aug 2021 #22
Isn't this evidence the vaccines are working? Tomconroy Aug 2021 #25
Deaths fell by 18x 129-7 in the past 13 days BornADemocrat Aug 2021 #26
You want a real head scratcher? Look at Nebraska. Maru Kitteh Aug 2021 #28
I just checked - they did to a "makeup call" of 17 deaths yesterday BornADemocrat Aug 2021 #31
sh*it in, sh*t out -- a lot of the data is just very raw and inconsistent cadoman Aug 2021 #34
To quote George W Bush, "Fuzzy math." marmar Aug 2021 #35
Update: Florida COVID update: 901 added deaths, largest single-day increase in pandemic history BornADemocrat Aug 2021 #36

JoanofArgh

(14,971 posts)
4. They're not reporting deaths . Every day on Worldometers they're the only state with new
Wed Aug 18, 2021, 12:45 PM
Aug 2021

cases in the 20,000's and 4 deaths one day, 7 the next . Every other state with mid to high numbers has deaths in the double, triple digits.

LisaL

(45,018 posts)
10. The deaths in Fl are going up.
Wed Aug 18, 2021, 12:53 PM
Aug 2021

Worldometer might have trouble locating FL data.

"The pandemic has reached another crisis stage. The number of new infections in Florida continues its record-breaking spike, with an average last week of more than 21,600 per day, the third consecutive weekly record. Deaths also spiked recently, and Florida had 15,441 COVID-19 patients in the hospital Friday, the highest level of hospitalizations since the start of the pandemic."

https://www.tampabay.com/opinion/2021/08/18/the-worsening-covid-picture-in-florida-editorial/

Johnny2X2X

(19,478 posts)
16. I think you're right
Wed Aug 18, 2021, 12:58 PM
Aug 2021

Been following too, and Florida has been spiking for a good month, their deaths are certainly spiking now too.

I think the data is getting missed. But I wouldn't put it past DeSantis to just outright cover up the data.

LisaL

(45,018 posts)
20. My guess there is delay in reporting.
Wed Aug 18, 2021, 01:03 PM
Aug 2021

They have record numbers of infections and hospitalizations. Somehow I doubt deaths are going to plummet.

Johnny2X2X

(19,478 posts)
23. Almost 16,000 hospitalizations
Wed Aug 18, 2021, 01:06 PM
Aug 2021

It's safe to say a high percentage of those 16,000 people are going to die. Whether that's 25% or 50% I don't know.

Response to BornADemocrat (Original post)

Phoenix61

(17,054 posts)
9. Deaths lag cases by several weeks.
Wed Aug 18, 2021, 12:52 PM
Aug 2021

If your diagnosed Aug 1, hospitalized 5th, die 10 days later, Aug 15th. Then a couple of weeks to process the death certificate. Even just 1 week and it’s Aug 21st before the case counted as a death.
That July 5th dip in cases is what drove the Aug 4th dip in deaths.

Using active cases as a measurement is an odd choice. How would you know when they are resolved? Most of the graphs I’ve seen use new cases.

BornADemocrat

(8,168 posts)
12. New cases and active cases track
Wed Aug 18, 2021, 12:55 PM
Aug 2021

They were heading up following the recent spike over the past several weeks, then suddenly the cases started dipping for no reason whatsoever. Please go look for yourself before doubting what's different than every other state that I've looked at.

ExciteBike66

(2,435 posts)
13. Using the google graphs, it seems deaths are not reported every day,
Wed Aug 18, 2021, 12:55 PM
Aug 2021

so one days is listed as "0" while the next is listed as "239", making the average between those two numbers. Perhaps there were several days in a row of "0" being reported?

BornADemocrat

(8,168 posts)
19. They went from 129 Aug 5th, tapering to 7 yesterday all while cases continued to spike
Wed Aug 18, 2021, 01:03 PM
Aug 2021

It's not following what we'd expect.

Response to gab13by13 (Reply #14)

BornADemocrat

(8,168 posts)
27. That's not really even a close comparison
Wed Aug 18, 2021, 01:45 PM
Aug 2021

NJ is rising and AZ is flat.

FL dropped from 129 cases Aug 5th to 7 yesterday. Now THAT is a drop.

former9thward

(32,267 posts)
29. You seem to imply there is a CT behind this.
Wed Aug 18, 2021, 01:50 PM
Aug 2021

What is it? If the numbers are being falsified (forget for a minute that Democrats control many of the counties where the health departments giving the numbers) then why aren't the total cases being falsified also?

BornADemocrat

(8,168 posts)
30. Thus the use of question marks
Wed Aug 18, 2021, 01:55 PM
Aug 2021

It seems odd to me, that's all.

I read an article that described how data was not being reported, or was delayed due to interference, I figured others might have some additional information on this. It's really odd. The only explanation I could come up with is the report that they're using monoclonal antibodies on people early in the process as Rachel had pushed many, many times on her show. Could that be the explanation?

former9thward

(32,267 posts)
32. I think the explanation is this is not a one size fits all disease.
Wed Aug 18, 2021, 02:51 PM
Aug 2021

It affects different ages and different health groups differently. Every state has different demographics and cultures. So you are going to see different things happening.

BornADemocrat

(8,168 posts)
33. But the sudden drop from 100+ deaths on average 1/10th of that is odd
Wed Aug 18, 2021, 08:32 PM
Aug 2021

It's a statistical anomaly I'm raising.

FL cases have been running at least 15% of all cases in the USA on average for weeks.

FL deaths were skyrocketing - as expected following the spike in cases. Now they're 0.8% of all deaths in the USA.

15% of new cases.

0.8% on new deaths.

Daily cases - highest since pandemic began:



Daily deaths - tracked new cases, then suddenly fell to lowest since pandemic began:



Not odd to you?

 

Tomconroy

(7,611 posts)
25. Isn't this evidence the vaccines are working?
Wed Aug 18, 2021, 01:19 PM
Aug 2021

Most deaths last winter were among the elderly. With 90 percent of the elderly vaccinated you would expect far fewer deaths.

Maru Kitteh

(28,364 posts)
28. You want a real head scratcher? Look at Nebraska.
Wed Aug 18, 2021, 01:47 PM
Aug 2021

I don't know what they're doing with their data over there but looking at their vaccination rates, I call bullshit.



BornADemocrat

(8,168 posts)
31. I just checked - they did to a "makeup call" of 17 deaths yesterday
Wed Aug 18, 2021, 02:00 PM
Aug 2021

It seems many states are holding or not reporting data in a timely manner.

Perhaps FL will to a "death dump" at some point in the future?

cadoman

(792 posts)
34. sh*it in, sh*t out -- a lot of the data is just very raw and inconsistent
Wed Aug 18, 2021, 08:47 PM
Aug 2021

50 states counting 50 different ways, divided into however many counties and hospitals and doctors and coroners also counting things different ways. Oh and throw into that they're reporting at different intervals, mis-counting and mis-entering some data.

All that happens _before_ the chicanery, and I'm sure you can guess there is plenty of that in DeSantis-land because heaven forbid he just admit that vaccinations and masks are the way out of this.

I only use these numbers to get a general ballpark of where things are. It's not indicative for instance, of NY/NJ having a bad Covid policy because of their higher deaths / million.

BornADemocrat

(8,168 posts)
36. Update: Florida COVID update: 901 added deaths, largest single-day increase in pandemic history
Thu Aug 26, 2021, 06:35 PM
Aug 2021
UPDATED AUGUST 26, 2021 05:54 PM

Florida on Thursday reported 21,765 more COVID-19 cases and 901 deaths to the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, according to Miami Herald calculations of CDC data.

All but two of the newly reported deaths occurred after July 25, with about 78% of those people dying in the past two weeks, according to Herald calculations of data published by the CDC. The majority of deaths happened during Florida’s latest surge in COVID-19 cases, fueled by the delta variant.

It is the largest single-day increase to the death total in the state’s COVID pandemic history.

The jump in the number of reported cases and deaths is due to the newest way deaths and cases are counted. The CDC implemented the change earlier this month, causing occasional one-day aberrations like the 901 additional deaths on Thursday and 726 more deaths reported Monday.

...

https://www.miamiherald.com/news/coronavirus/article253766203.html


They've been backfilling the cases in bulk it seems.

Still odd that other states don't seem to be having the same issue.
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