General Discussion
Related: Editorials & Other Articles, Issue Forums, Alliance Forums, Region ForumsRomney hits 50% in Gallup (LVs) for the first time, up 50-46. That's the same lead as in PPP.
("Likely" voters)
http://livewire.talkingpointsmemo.com/entry/gallup-romney-leads-obama-50-46
davekriss
(4,627 posts)How can people be so stupid?
dennis4868
(9,774 posts)in 2000 and especially in 2004. PEOPLE ARE STUPID!
Shivering Jemmy
(900 posts)What can you do about people and their nature?
Bucky
(54,065 posts)Shivering Jemmy
(900 posts)The gap will never get bigger than this. May be possible to build a "closing narrative"
dennis4868
(9,774 posts)Shivering Jemmy
(900 posts)Just working with givens. What I do.
hrmjustin
(71,265 posts)ProSense
(116,464 posts)swung the race for Mitt.
What exactly happened in the last few days that's shifting the race to Mitt?
http://www.gallup.com/poll/157955/romney-obama-among-likely-voters.aspx
reformist2
(9,841 posts)The bright side of this is that these undecided voters can be swayed *back* to Obama just as easily. That's why tonight's debate - and the spin that follows - is huge. It's probably no exaggeration to say this is the most important night of the entire campaign.
ProSense
(116,464 posts)election is based on tonight's debate?
Seriously, Kerry won every debate and saw no such swing, much less a permanent one.
Mitt's alleged debate bounce is inconsistent (not showing up in every poll, and some polls show it ending) and likely more than any other candidate including Clinton.
Gallup showed the numbers trending back to Obama, and now it's moving back to Mitt?
TwilightGardener
(46,416 posts)hrmjustin
(71,265 posts)skeewee08
(1,983 posts)polls will give you a nerves break down!!!!
OldDem2012
(3,526 posts)...I'll say the same thing I said in the earlier thread on this topic:
1. There is ZERO chance that women and Latinos are now basically tied or voting for Romney. ZERO.
2. The pollsters switched to Likely Voters (LVs) from Registered Voters (RVs) about a week and a half ago, and then began claiming that Dem LVs are less likely to vote than GOP LVs because they are "less enthusiastic" voters. Seriously?? Women and Latinos have a lot to lose in this election and the pollster's are going to tell me that they're "less enthusiastic"???
Josh should have known better in regards to using some of the polls in his article.
Here's a breakdown of the polls being used:
Credible Polls:
---------------
PPP (D)
NBC/Marist
SurveyUSA (Sponsored by WCMH-TV Columbus )
CNN
Columbus Dispatch
Quinnipiac/CBS/NYT
WaPo
Not Credible Polls (sponsored by right-wing groups):
-----------------------------------------------------
Zogby * (Sponsored by Newsmax!!!!)
Gravis Marketing (this polling "group" has been THOROUGHLY debunked on DU!!!!!)
Rasmussen (!!!!)
Pulse Opinion Research (Sponsored by Let Freedom Ring!!!!)
Wenzel Strategies (R) (Sponsored by Citizens United!!!!)
We Ask America (!!!!)
Unknown Affiliation:
--------------------
American Research Group
ProfessionalLeftist
(4,982 posts)I agree w/ that. There's just NO. FREAKING. WAY.
Where is Gallup in all this ie: are they credible or not?
OldDem2012
(3,526 posts)....enthusiastic" than GOP Likely Voters and therefore less likely to vote. Complete crap. All the Dems I know are foaming at the mouth to clean Mitt's clock.
aquart
(69,014 posts)And this is why I'm just fine with the electoral college.
Kalidurga
(14,177 posts)Which means he has lost ground in Real Clear Politics poll average. It was up 1.3 Mitt over Obama just a day or two ago. I think Mitt's bounce is over and the polls will swing to Obama now.
TwilightGardener
(46,416 posts)flim-flamming asswipe waste of carbon.