A Ray of Hope (Obama has 63% of early vote in Ohio)

[Applan]

http://www.slate.com/articles/news_and_politics/politics/2012/10/obama_holds_a_big_lead_in_ohio_day_26_obama_s_ray_of_hope.html

From Slate: Today’s Good News for Obama: Romney may have pulled even in Florida and Virginia, but Obama still maintains a comfortable 6-point lead in Ohio, according to the NBC News/WSJ/Marist Poll released today. An added bonus: a federal appeals court last week reinstated early voting in Ohio for all voters. One in five Ohio voters has already voted, and 63 percent of early voters supported Obama. If Obama can hang on to a solid lead in any battleground state, the Buckeye State would be the one to have. As politicos frequently like to note, no Republican has ever lost Ohio and still won the presidential election. And right now the FiveThirtyEight forecast estimates a 40.4 percent probability that Ohio will provide the decisive electoral vote.


With 20% of votes already cast, then if I'm not very much mistaken, Romney will need to get greater than 53.25% of the remaining votes to win Ohio.

Really: Willard 53.25%, Obama 46.75%? Can you honestly see that happening when currently Obama leads 48-46 (for those who have not yet voted) in the Wall Street Journal/NBC News/Marist Poll? Note overall in Ohio he retains a six point lead 51-45 in that same poll.

[MassedPole]

1. Finally some good news around here.

If Obama wins Ohio. What states would Willard need to win?

[morningfog]

2. FL, VA, NC, CO, IA, NV and NH.

[kaiserhog]

3. Unemployment down to 7.8%, The deficit 200 billion less than last year,

Consumer confidence at a 5 yr high. Why don't the Obama campaign tout their own achievements? Makes no sense, whatsoever.

[Cha]

10. Oh they're Touting it and Employment is Down to 7.3%!

[freshwest]

4. Beautiful!! Can the teahadists mess with those votes, tell me that those are a done deal, right?

I want to see a landslide -- Obama, congress, senate and governorships!!

[tjdee]

5. I wish they wouldn't publicize this :/

It just fires up the looney base to get their people voting in higher numbers.

We know that early voting favors Obama, actual numbers just freak people out lol.

[Baitball Blogger]

7. I just hope Ryan doesn't figure out how to pull in votes from the human beans.

[Baitball Blogger]

6. Thank you Applan.

[Applan]

8. You are most welcome BBB

Just thought my DU buddies needed a bit of good news for a change.

[Baitball Blogger]

11. We appreciate it, beyond words.

[David Zephyr]

9. I like Applan! K&R.

Now that's the kind of posting I like.

Edited to K&R.

[2theleft]

12. WOO HOO! Happy, happy Friday!!

Great news after a great debate. Way to get the weekend started!

[HomerRamone]

13. "Can you honestly see that happening..."

I can see it DIShonestly happening quite easily...

[SheilaT]

14. I want to say, Is that all?

A third of the electorate (at least the early voting electorate in Ohio) has voted for Romney? What is wrong with them. If people actually understood what was going on, Romney would only get ten or fifteen percent of the vote.

[mopinko]

15. they already counted the early votes, or they know they are dem votes?

[LisaL]

16. This comes from a poll of people who say they already voted.

[mopinko]

23. gotcha

[charin]

17. I voted today

1st post.

[hrmjustin]

18. Great my friend. Welcome to Du.

[defacto7]

19. Welcome!

[kellytore]

20. I'm starting to feel better! Thank you!

[Left Coast2020]

21. Yahoo news yesterday posted that we were down 7

...in Florida. Can I trust yahoo or is there an association to Cluster Faux hidden somewhere?

[Iliyah]

22. The corporations disguised as many pollsters

have bombarded the polling systems with polls showing the race tied, Mittens ahead in both national and swing states which is total bullshit. Then the GOPpers got the corporate media to spew these findings, take note. . . draw between the and Lyin'Ryan, and also the polling showing Mittens catching up which is total bullshit.

GOPpers = lying, stealing, cheating and hating all in the name of their GAWD.