Daily Kos/SEIU poll: Obama voters are still excited

[ProSense]

Daily Kos/SEIU poll: Obama voters are still excited

by dreaminonempty

With this week's DailyKos/SEIU/PPP poll conducted mainly on the Thursday and Friday after the debate last week, we might have expected excitement levels of Obama voters to plunge while the excitement levels of Romney voters surged, at least if the numbers followed the Conventional Wisdom narrative. Let's see what happened:



The proportion of Obama voters saying they were Very Excited remained essentially the same. Romney voters did increase, by seven points, in the percent of Very Excited. I will leave it to the reader as to whether to interpret that as a 'surge' or not.

<...>

Here's the trend for Hispanic Obama voters' excitement levels:



That's a change of about 25 points in the percent of Hispanic Obama voters saying they are Very Excited from spring polls to fall polls. Again, we can't bank on the absolute value of the numbers, but that trend is real.

Fortunately, we have the Latino Decisions poll to give us some absolute values we can trust, although the question is slightly different, and is reported for all voters, not just Obama voters as shown above. They have seen an increase in excitement since the winter. The numbers have declined slightly since the Democratic convention, but currently stand at 53% Very Enthusiastic, 34% Somewhat Enthusiastic, 7% Not Too Enthusiastic, and 3% Not At All Enthusiastic. Not only that, but enthusiasm is self-reported to be, on average, comparable to 2008, with 34% saying they are more enthusiastic than in 2008, 36% saying less, and 27% saying the same.

If we look at another crucial segment of Obama voters, African-Americans, again we see an increase in excitement levels, this time by about 10-15 points:



Not only that, but the levels are sky-high, and although the numbers have additional non-random error in them from 'fake' respondents, we can still confidently say that excitement is 'very high' even if we can't pin a number on it.

So, despite the debate, excitement among Obama voters remains high, and minority Obama voters in particular appear to be fired up. We'll see what the next month brings.

http://www.dailykos.com/story/2012/10/10/1142142/-DKos-Poll-Obama-Voters-Still-Excited

Obama campaign blowing Romney out of the water in swing state ground game
http://www.democraticunderground.com/10021515145

[Blue Idaho]

1. How do you expect me to keep setting my hair on fire

if you insist on bringing facts into the discussion?

Its just not cricket!

[ProSense]

2. Kick!