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ProSense

(116,464 posts)
Thu Oct 11, 2012, 08:51 AM Oct 2012

Jobless claims show sharp improvement, drop to Obama-era low

Jobless claims show sharp improvement, drop to Obama-era low

By Steve Benen

We've seen a general swing in the right direction on initial unemployment claims over the last several weeks, but I don't think anyone expected the new report from the Department of Labor to be this good.

First-time claims for state unemployment benefits fell sharply in the latest week to their lowest level since mid-February, the Labor Department reported Thursday. The number of initial claims in the week ending Oct. 6 fell 30,000 to 339,000. The decline was unexpected. The consensus forecast of Wall Street economists was for claims to rise 1,000 to 368,000.

To put this in perspective, today's report is so good, jobless claims have now reached their best point of the Obama presidency, and haven't been this good since February 2008 -- nearly five years ago.

<...>

In terms of metrics, when jobless claims fall below the 400,000 threshold, it's considered evidence of an improving jobs landscape, and when the number drops below 370,000, it suggests jobs are being created rather quickly. We've now been below the 370,000 threshold nine of the last 14 weeks.

And with that, here's the chart showing weekly, initial unemployment claims going back to the beginning of 2007. (Remember, unlike the monthly jobs chart, a lower number is good news.) For context, I've added an arrow to show the point at which President Obama's Recovery Act began spending money. (Note: the new monthly jobs report will be released tomorrow morning.)



http://maddowblog.msnbc.com/_news/2012/10/11/14365761-jobless-claims-show-sharp-improvement-drop-to-obama-era-low


20 replies = new reply since forum marked as read
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Jobless claims show sharp improvement, drop to Obama-era low (Original Post) ProSense Oct 2012 OP
Leave it to those Chicago guys oswaldactedalone Oct 2012 #1
Waiting for this to implode on Fox News. LOL!! nt. OldDem2012 Oct 2012 #3
Bodes well for the pre-election Jobs report, also considering Gallup shows unemployment rate at 7.3% Democratopia Oct 2012 #2
If that actually happened I would laugh so fucking hard Arkana Oct 2012 #9
According to the M$M madokie Oct 2012 #4
It's now at pre-recession levels.... in other words, back to normal! reformist2 Oct 2012 #5
One more week like this and Jack Welch Doctor_J Oct 2012 #6
LOL!!!!! Raven Oct 2012 #7
Those damn Chicago guys are incredible. Arkana Oct 2012 #8
k&r... spanone Oct 2012 #10
nice graph bigtree Oct 2012 #11
The right is losing all their talking points. Grateful for Hope Oct 2012 #12
they will come up with new ones Enrique Oct 2012 #14
I wouldn't put it past them. Grateful for Hope Oct 2012 #17
This is a major shift Democratopia Oct 2012 #13
Yes. ProSense Oct 2012 #15
K&R and good news for my family BumRushDaShow Oct 2012 #16
Wow, congratulations ProSense Oct 2012 #18
and the media and wall street yawn...sadly. spanone Oct 2012 #19
Yup. n/t ProSense Oct 2012 #20

Arkana

(24,347 posts)
9. If that actually happened I would laugh so fucking hard
Thu Oct 11, 2012, 09:12 AM
Oct 2012

as every right-wing head explodes in indignation.

"FUDGING NUMBERS! COOKING BOOKS!"

madokie

(51,076 posts)
4. According to the M$M
Thu Oct 11, 2012, 09:00 AM
Oct 2012

it has nothing to do, in fact it is in spite of, President Obama. We have to do something about our press and we have to do something about how we count our votes or we won't have a democracy much longer. Simple as that. Not sure we're just not going through the motions of a democracy now as it is

 

Doctor_J

(36,392 posts)
6. One more week like this and Jack Welch
Thu Oct 11, 2012, 09:06 AM
Oct 2012

will kill himself by jumping off of his money. Hopefully when he does it will start a trend among the billionaires

Enrique

(27,461 posts)
14. they will come up with new ones
Thu Oct 11, 2012, 09:39 AM
Oct 2012

how about: because Romney won at the debate, the job creators think Romney is going to win and so this lifted their mood so they started hiring again.

 

Democratopia

(552 posts)
13. This is a major shift
Thu Oct 11, 2012, 09:36 AM
Oct 2012

Consumer optimism/direction of the country, unemployment rate, weekly claims figures have all taken everyone by surprise. This is a big shift in confidence and it seems to be accelerating rapidly.

BumRushDaShow

(129,228 posts)
16. K&R and good news for my family
Thu Oct 11, 2012, 10:27 AM
Oct 2012

After being out of work for 6 months, one of my sisters just got a job at her old salary last week and my other sister just called about an hour ago to say her hubby just got a job offer (and has 2 more interviews) today after being out of work for over a year.

Hopefully this signals a trickle that will lead to a tidal wave!!!

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