Gallup LV Obama (D) 48% Romney ($) 48% /RV Obama 50% -Romney 45% Approve/Disapprove 53%-42%

[DemocratSinceBirth]

http://www.gallup.com/home.aspx?ref=logo


This is awesome news.

[mzmolly]

1. Indeed!

[Democrats4All]

2. All about getting out the vote now...

This election is going to stay within a couple of points nationally until election day. It is so important that we end up closer to the registered voter mark than the likely voter number. Let's get the vote out !

[DemocratSinceBirth]

5. The Five Point Gap Is Really A Cushion

.

[bigtree]

3. these polsters make it 'even' in these LV polls by manipulating the sample

one day tracking polls need to come with a disclaimer.

[DemocratSinceBirth]

6. IMHO, Gallup Is Doing A Public Service By Publishing RV And LV Numbers

The gap can be attributed to the fact that more people who indicate they are planning to vote for Romney made it through the screen and likely are.

Don't worry, the gap between registered and likely voters usually narrows with time.

[warrior1]

4. bounce is over

[progressoid]

7. Are you reading the link you posted?

http://www.gallup.com/poll/157955/romney-obama-among-likely-voters.aspx

Mitt Romney holds a slight edge over Barack Obama -- 49% to 47% -- in Gallup's initial "likely voter" estimate, encompassing interviews from Oct. 2-8. Preferences tilt the opposite way among registered voters, 49% vs. 46% in Obama's favor.

It reflects a one-day change of one point. How is this awesome news?

Obama shouldn't be tied. He should be 8 points up.

[cthulu2016]

8. He should be up 8% among likely voters?

You are entitled to hold that view, but no pollster on Earth thinks that and the Obama campaign certainly doesn't think that.


Today's Gallup is Obama +5 (RV) and Tied (LV)

[DemocratSinceBirth]

9. The Ironic Thing Is Obama Was Probably Losing Or Tied In Gallup's LV Model

when we all thought he was winning.

[progressoid]

10. I'm not talking about pollsters.

I'm talking about the American voter. Likely American voters are tied at this point. And we're supposed to see that as a good thing?

A good thing would be if Obama was ahead.

[Lex]

11. Well, there's realistic, and there's what would be "a good thing."

Obama ought to be pleased he's not plummeted by huge numbers since his timid debate.

[DarthDem]

13. Thanks for your concern. n/t

[progressoid]

14. You're welcome. I'll be manning the GOTV phones this weekend.