Pollster Says Obama Can't Win FL, NC and VA

[RandySF]

Pollster David Paleologos of Suffolk University told Bill O'Reilly that his organization will not be doing any further polls in Florida, North Carolina and Virginia because he believes President Obama has no chance to win those states.


http://politicalwire.com/archives/2012/10/09/pollster_says_obama_cant_win_fl_nc_and_va.html#050759a

[theKed]

1. And what he means to say

is that he won't be polling them any longer so as not to discourage loyal Republicans in those states when they read the dismal polls for Romney.

[msongs]

3. or he can't find anybody who will pay him for polling in those places... nt

[Laurian]

2. I'm not listening to anymore of these polling assholes, some of them lie as much as Mitt.

Just like the media, they are milking this election for all the $ they can get.

[freshwest]

16. +1

[ailsagirl]

32. Ditto here. I'm sick and tired of the media's mind games.

[BeyondGeography]

4. That's just goofy...esp. VA

[Sparkly]

5. There are just soooo many "pollsters" this year!

[ailsagirl]

34. Or those who claim to be. Keeping that pot stirred.

[Panasonic]

6. A pollster speaking to O'Lielly

is not a real pollster.

Obama is slated to win FL, NC and VA easily despite what that moron pollster thinks.

[freshwest]

17. Amen to that.

[demwing]

30. That was pre-debate

nothing that happened before the debate matters. Nothing that happens from this point forward (like three more debates) will matter.

There is only today, and today it rains.

[CakeGrrl]

7. Someone tell FLOTUS; she campaigned in VA today.

Methinks the Obama ground game team knows better than the pollster.

[ailsagirl]

33. I saw clips of Michelle's VA speech on Lawrence's program...

and she was just sensational!! Full of vigor and true passion, she was magnificent as she listed the many reasons to vote for Barack (what she called him). And the crowd was right there with her.

[OldDem2012]

8. And he was telling this to O'Reilly on Fox News? That should tell you all you need to know. nt.

[BenzoDia]

9. Calling bull. On this guy. So lame.

[abelenkpe]

10. Grrrrrr

Cmon VA! Make me proud and go blue

[hrmjustin]

11. He sounds like an idiot. where the hell did they find this moron?

[rebuke]

12. "I worship the quicksand he walks in."

"I'm not a member of any organized political party, I'm a Democrat!"
- Will Rogers (1879-1935)

[lonestarnot]

13. So what, he knows the fix is in for FL and VA?

[ProSense]

14. Suffolk University poll, Oct 2: Obama Leads By 3 Points In Florida

Obama Leads By 3 Points In Florida

President Obama leads Republican nominee Mitt Romney 46 percent to Romney's 43 percent in a new poll of Florida from Suffolk University. From their analysis:

Romney continues to struggle with his likability. His 45 percent favorable rating is 3 points higher than in a survey the Suffolk University Political Research Center conducted in May; yet his unfavorable rating is also up 2 points, to 47 percent today.

Obama has been consistently more popular, with a 51 percent favorable and 46 percent unfavorable rating.

<...>

http://livewire.talkingpointsmemo.com/entry/obama-leads-by-3-points-in-florida

Poll Shows Obama Clinging to 2-Point Lead in Virginia

President Barack Obama (46 percent) clings to a 2-point lead over Republican challenger Mitt Romney (44 percent), in a swing-state nail-biter, according to a Suffolk University/NBC12 (WWBT-Richmond) poll of likely general-election voters in Virginia. Seven percent were undecided.

The race is close – with survey results within the statistical margin of error – despite a decided popularity advantage for Obama. He boasted a +8 (52 percent favorable to 44 percent unfavorable) to Romney’s -3 (42 percent favorable to 45 percent unfavorable).

- more -

http://www.suffolk.edu/offices/53562.html

[ailsagirl]

35. "...Obama Clinging to 2-Point Lead in Virginia"

"clinging"??
Why is that particular word used? What's wrong with "leading"?? Gratuitiously negative. Deliberately used to demoralize us. As one DUer wrote, "Enough of this bull----!"

[standingtall]

15. I went to realclear politics

and looked through the state polls, and as far as I can tell the last Suffolk did in Florida had Obama up +3, and +2 in Virginia. So now he goes on Fuax news, and says Obama has no chance at those states? Make sense

[freshwest]

18. OOPS! There it is! Thanks for bringing that.

[Proud Liberal Dem]

19. He actually doesn't need to win any of them

though I suspect that he will win AT LEAST one of them (probably Virginia).

[Tutonic]

20. 250,000 new voters in NC

awesome ground game in VA. I'll wager that $10,000 Mr. Paleologos that NC and VA re blue. I'm guessing that Hispanics will do the job in FL too. Hey folks the Rethugs criticize O for being a community organizer, but the man knows how to organize and register voters. Why do you think that clown in Ohio is appealing the decision re: early voting. Chill out folks, he has got this one.

[Mayberry Machiavelli]

21. Wouldn't this have a bit more credibility if the guy's own last polls didn't show O up in those 3?

I mean it's one thing if he just said there's no money being put up for him to poll there. But wtf.

[progressivebydesign]

22. Lol. Your FIRST clue is that they're talking to Bill O "Reilly. nt

[Julien Sorel]

23. According to Intrade...

Obama has a 26% chance in NC; a 48% chance to win Florida; and a 54% chance to win Virginia. No legitimate pollster would make such a nuthouse statement. I can't find anything on it in the news or on Paleologos' website or blog. Can someone else corroborate this? It would be quite a piece of polling hackery if true.

On edit, after seeing the video, I'm speechless. This guy is either really, really smart, or really, really dumb. I vote for the second.

[exboyfil]

24. Obama wins any of these three states

then I would have to think his career as pollster is over. He would have absolutely no credibility left. Way to burn down your career.

[sadbear]

26. Maybe he'll form a partnership with Dick Morris.

That guy is never right, yet he still manages a regular gig on fox news. Hell, maybe the guy's trying to muscle in on Rasmussen territory.

[dkf]

25. Shouldn't that say "Romney can't win"? I think he's flipped his candidates.

Weird.

[onenote]

27. Translated: No one is paying us to do polls in those states.

[spanone]

28. bwahahahahahaaaaaa

[Drunken Irishman]

29. I think he's right about North Carolina ... but not Florida and Virginia.

[grantcart]

36. I have $ 10 that says that Obama polls better in NC than FL.

300,000 new voters registered.

60,000 Hispanics registered

Every single voter in the state has been identified in what may become one of the greatest GOTV in political history.

How many offices does Obama have in NC? 70? 100?

This article is dated but it gives you an idea



http://www.thenation.com/article/169293/battleground-2012-can-obama-win-north-carolina-again#

Pollsters cannot adjust for huge GOTV efforts, there is no model for them.

[dchill]

31. My guess is that Pollster David Paleologos is really

Dick Morris in disguise.

[AtomicKitten]

37. Good, then it will be a surprise when Pres O wins FL, NC and VA.

I like surprises.