Re : The Pew Poll. This Deserves It's Own Thread

[DemocratSinceBirth]

Jennicut (23,483 posts)
58. Only a little over a hundred were done Sunday.

Most of it was Thursday through Friday and some on Saturday per Huffington Post
Little birdie, why do you fly upside down? It's amazing, at the way you get around.
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If the above is correct that suggests the Pew Poll caught all of the debate bounce and none of the ebb from the jobs numbers that PPP,Rasmussen, Ipsos-Reid, and Gallup found.

That doesn't mean Pew is not a credible poll. That doesn't mean their findings are incorrect. However that does suggest they were polling during a volatile period.

I invite your comments and responses.

[quinnox]

1. I think its clear the debate harmed Obama and helped Romney

but its a fluid situation and many twists and turns lie ahead. I'm still thinking Obama is the favorite to win re-election.

[DemocratSinceBirth]

2. According To Gallup Obama Had A Huge Sunday

But Sunday was a very small part of the Pew Survey. It was about 1/10 of it.

Most of the polling was done when Obama was at his lowest point

[woolldog]

8. Look at the job approval numbers in Gallup.

The spread was as high as +12 and narrowed to +2 or so after the debate. It's now back up to +7 and Obama is above 50%. It's a 3 day rolling average so it's a very good sign that there's a floor underneath those debate numbers and he should be working himself back into the lead, imo. And polls subsequent to Pew should be reflecting that.

[DemocratSinceBirth]

11. That's The Answer I'm Looking For

Thank you, mr or ms. wooldog.

[OKNancy]

3. I just look to see what Ohio, Florida and Virginia are doing

Obama looks solid in Ohio. Pretty good in Florida and Virginia.

[Moses2SandyKoufax]

10. Don't forget Colorado and Iowa.

A Selzer/Denver University poll conducted over 10/4 and 10/5 (Obama's two worst polling days of the cycle) gave the President a 4 point lead in Colorado. Absent from this survey was the public's reaction to the good economic news that Gallup, Reuters, and Rasmussen tracking picked up over the weekend.

Speaking of Rasmussen, today, they released two polls showing a significant swing toward Obama in Colorado and Iowa since their last polls in September. Marking the first time Rasmussen has shown President Obama leading in those states.

[Lone_Star_Dem]

4. I think we'll know by Thursday how things stand.

Until then, I'm not getting worked up about much.

This just makes me feel all the more relaxed while I wait.

[winstars]

5. Polls that used Thursday and Friday were better for Mittens, we need new polls to see WTF is going

on... Hopefully by the weekend we can see more clearly. I am sure it will be closer but we will still be OK.

We need to see swing state polls that are done this week, over the coming weekend to really see whats what!!!
Thats all that matters in the end, OH, VA, WI, NC, FL, NH etc...

[cthulu2016]

6. It is one poll taken after a horrible debate

Gallup is registered voters, and was getting tied samples late in the week.

Registered voters in the Pew poll are tied.

[DemocratSinceBirth]

9. They Are Measuring Three Different Universes. I Get That

Gallup is measuring rvs. Pew is measuring rvs and lvs. But Pew is showing a tie among rvs while Gallup is showing a five point lead among rvs. That's a significant difference.

Since Sunday made up such a small part of Pew's sample is it reasonable to assume they captured Romney's bounce but not his ebb.

[Cha]

7. I just want to thank you, DSB..

The More you Know..