I want a clear picture. Who with the political savvyiness, can give us a clear picture

[Baitball Blogger]

of where we stand in this presidential race? I mean, down to the state by state realities? What does Mitt Romney have to do to win, and is it feasible?

How many new registered voters can the Democrats count on in key states? Will the job's report really change anybody's mind? Or did it just take away one of the Republican's talking points?

I hope this thread will be used to educate those of us who are not part of the beltway, rather than serve as another source of flamefest.

Other questions: How much of this voter registration fraud will work in our favor, other than the obvious reasons? In other words, can it result in an investigation into Romney's campaign?

[porphyrian]

1. It's nearly impossible to explain something objectively when you are a part of it.

You can find descriptions from inside all over the place. If you want perspective, see what people outside the US are saying about us. Their version won't be entirely accurate, either, but you can then try to reconcile the versions and come up with something consistent with the reality, at least.

I can't help you more than that. I always think I'm right, so I'm not.

[Baitball Blogger]

3. I don't think going outside the US will help the situation because, they can't figure out

why this country voted for Bush for a second term either.

[porphyrian]

5. They may still have a piece of information that you and I do not.

In comparing notes, you may find a clue.

[rfranklin]

2. Try Nate Silver...still predicting Obama to win 307 electoral votes...

October 7, 2012, 8:10 pm114 Comments
Oct. 7: National Polls Show Signs of Settling
By NATE SILVER
Mitt Romney remains in a considerably stronger polling position than he was before last Wednesday’s debate in Denver. But the polls released on Sunday did not tell quite as optimistic a story for him as those in the debate’s immediate aftermath.

http://fivethirtyeight.blogs.nytimes.com/

[Baitball Blogger]

4. Why is Rasmussen so skewed towards Romney?

[rfranklin]

6. Rasmussen is a Republican shill...

Nate Silver of the New York Times documented an alleged bias favoring Republican candidates in Rasmussen’s 2010 polls. According to Silver, who compared Rasmussen polls to the actual election results, Rasmussen polls overestimated Republican candidate performance by an average of almost four points. Some 2010 Rasmussen polls missed the actual result by 10 or more points. A Rasmussen poll of the Hawaii Senate race missed the final margin by 40 points
http://www.examiner.com/article/rasmussen-now-only-national-poll-showing-romney-the-lead

[Baitball Blogger]

7. Thanks.

All Hail the great Nate Silver!